CentralNC Posted Monday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:07 PM Shoot, I would just take a good old-fashioned rainstorm at this point. Last January was brutally dry and this January is starting out the same way unfortunately. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 07:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:16 PM EPS is pretty cold long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:33 PM 1 hour ago, Upstate Tiger said: Out to 330 but overall the Euro is much dryer than the GFS up to this point At least that period looks “interesting”. As said above, VERY few times do we get anything that isn’t at least hinted on by models in advance and that is especially true this year with the total lack of any systems at all even in warm stretches 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:23 PM FINALLY a happy happy hour 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: FINALLY a happy happy hour Not bad. At least it’s interesting and some of us can enjoy the warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted yesterday at 01:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:45 AM FINALLY a happy happy hourI’d almost book that snow in Danville. Having spinal fusion surgery on the 14th so it will snow that weekend just like my hip replacement late dec 2016 featured brutal cold n snow the following weekend. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted yesterday at 02:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:37 AM 51 minutes ago, Jimbo! said: I’d almost book that snow in Danville. Having spinal fusion surgery on the 14th so it will snow that weekend just like my hip replacement late dec 2016 featured brutal cold n snow the following weekend. . This forecast is just as accurate as the weather models.. and a lot cheaper. Let’s see if it verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted yesterday at 02:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:41 AM This forecast is just as accurate as the weather models.. and a lot cheaper. Let’s see if it verifies.Lmao surgeries and birthdays man. Like clockwork something always goes down.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 03:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:32 AM I’ll take southern stream energy flying around under a Rocky Mountain ridge. Been a long time this year to finally see some of that showing up even in fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted yesterday at 05:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:56 AM baby steps. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gtg947h Posted yesterday at 08:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:22 AM 5 hours ago, Jimbo! said: Lmao surgeries and birthdays man. Like clockwork something always goes down. The 2018 snows in Savannah and Atlanta bookended the trip for my wife's first brain surgery at Emory that year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 01:03 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:03 PM The models actually trended worse overnight and most developed a SE Ridge... I wouldn't pay much attention to last night's GFS. It already switched up at 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 01:34 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 01:34 PM Lots of players on the field in the long range. I like (Borat voice). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 01:35 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 01:35 PM 31 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The models actually trended worse overnight and most developed a SE Ridge... I wouldn't pay much attention to last night's GFS. It already switched up at 6Z One minute its SER, the next its cross polar flow and snowfall again for the oil rigs in the Gulf. Hoping we find some balance here soon (we won’t). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted yesterday at 01:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:43 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Euro is struggling to find anything in the STJ and is shearing out everything coming from the NW. very Nina look. Very dry. We will continue to see the dry looks unless we find a way to eject some energy east from the Baja lows that keep showing up. What has/continues to worry me is the complete and utter failure of the southern stream and wave breaking even if we get a decent PNA ridge. One would think some energy would slide under it as the NS is constricted but we keep seeing cutoff Baja lows that never move east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM 31 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Euro is struggling to find anything in the STJ and is shearing out everything coming from the NW. very Nina look. Very dry. We will continue to see the dry looks unless we find a way to eject some energy east from the Baja lows that keep showing up. What has/continues to worry me is the complete and utter failure of the southern stream and wave breaking even if we get a decent PNA ridge. One would think some energy would slide under it as the NS is constricted but we keep seeing cutoff Baja lows that never move east We need more help from the pacific jet. You can see on models just how retracted it gets later in runs. It’s funny that we always get too much of the pacific jet or too little but never just enough lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted yesterday at 02:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:42 PM Seems like the sort of pattern where we may get frequent shots at light accumulation but no big storm threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM 14 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Seems like the sort of pattern where we may get frequent shots at light accumulation but no big storm threat. It screams overrunning potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted yesterday at 03:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:14 PM Juneuary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 03:31 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:31 PM 12 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Juneuary 1. The good news is that this is very old news as regards the models. 2. In addition, for the SE this for the most part will likely not be nearly as warm as the late Dec torch nor as long. 3. This refers to today through Monday. But in reality the warmth ends with a transition by Sat night. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted yesterday at 03:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:34 PM Oh heck, why not post this 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted yesterday at 04:36 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:36 PM 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Oh heck, why not post this Captain of chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted yesterday at 04:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:38 PM Oh heck, why not post this Like I said surgery on the 14th lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 04:40 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:40 PM Tried to upload the GFS AI loop but alas. Either way, I like the evolution it shows. We lose our PNA a little bit for some time but cold really dumps from the lakes south. There’s several instances where the trough orientation digs sharply. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted yesterday at 06:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:49 PM Looks like us border counties have some potential around the 15th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted yesterday at 07:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:18 PM I am still thinking there is potential between the 15-20th this month looking at todays 12Z ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM The snow means are pitiful but something could pop up still. I think the mountains could get a decent NWFS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted yesterday at 09:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:44 PM I love this board! it's a roller coaster of emotion though. When I check in later tonight everyone will be cliff diving again! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: I love this board! it's a roller coaster of emotion though. When I check in later tonight everyone will be cliff diving again! I jumped off the cliff, crashed out, and landed in nothing but hopium below. This hobby won’t let you go that easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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