January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, Ji said:

I’m going to bed

G-nite.

[Weather Will]

WB OZ AI GFS is not suppressed, but is warmer.  Surface temps stay at or below freezing NW.  850s go above freezing for a time but after heaviest precipitation goes through on Sunday.

[stormtracker]

Pretty much ready to call it on the GFS..but wanna see if that s/w finally moves out survives and won't get crushed

[stormtracker]

Precip moving north at 150...light snow into the area. Looks like its from the nrn stream 

[bncho]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Precip moving north at 150...light snow into the area.

is it trying to turn up the coast or something?

[Weather Will]

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

I’m going to bed

 Bad post.  Storm is over before this period.

[stormtracker]

Just now, bncho said:

is it trying to turn up the coast or something?

Nah, looks like it's from the nrn stream s/w energy

[stormtracker]

Yeah, we get more..not heavy..but it does try to turn north...

[stormtracker]

It's a lite event.  Don't have snowfall maps, but im sure there is some accumulation

[stormtracker]

Well..that was different

[Ji]

Nah, looks like it's from the nrn stream s/w energy

Might be helping to draw it up lol….it ain’t a clipper

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, we get more..not heavy..but it does try to turn north...

Baby steps!!

[bncho]

It's actually 2-5", the more south the better

[anotherman]

Baby steps!!

Or the GFS is just garbage.

[Terpeast]

Kinda a new development… even more suppressed, then a nrn stream wave pops down and tries to give us some cold smoke. 

Definitely different from the last two runs.

We don’t have the final solution yet.

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z AI GFS is NOT SUPPRESSED.

[winter_warlock]

Definitely a improvement 

[Amped]

Cmc looks nice. Not suppressed like the gfs.

[NorthArlington101]

[Ji]

Well..that was different

I’m gonna guess this map won’t verify

[stormtracker]

Yeah, Canadian looks better sfc and h5 wise so far

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

I’m gonna guess this map won’t verify

That's a wise guess

[bncho]

CMC will be better !!!

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

I’m gonna guess this map won’t verify

Agreed!!!

[wxdude64]

23 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

So there are some differences up top in Canada with what Imma call our egg s/w.   Flip more horizontalIy than vertical.   Not sure what that means.    Egg s/w is trademarked

Noted. lol

[bncho]

That fucking 1055 high better not screw the CMC up or I will burn this planet down.

[stormtracker]

CMC looked good coming in, but starting to get smooshed

[stormtracker]

Yeah, that High kills us

[Terpeast]

Think I’ll take the under on 1055 on that high

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

CMC will be better !!!

Are we looking at the same cmc?  Because I see an arctic fropa