January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Ralph Wiggum]

7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, that's out of the way with nothing...we look out west.  H5 is (shocker) a bit different than the 6z GFS.   Seems positive if it can traverse across the country like that...but...our luck, don't bet on it

I have my eyes on the Baja Blast upper low around 144. Thats the thing I like for the 27-29 window. If that gets hung up out there im perfectly fine with several days of impulses ejecting east from that if the bowling ball doesnt hold together. Noted prior, biggest fail for that window attm is a slider or suppression. But we'll see. No ssense dissecting into too much detail on that at this point.

Edited to fix typos from my fat ass fingers.

[stormtracker]

So here's the thing....it looks to be coming out, but might be too much of a good thing...might be so amp'd out front.   Way too early to tell tho, 

[jayyy]

Don’t think the GFS is gonna do it on this run, but booooy the potential is there for something big to come across the country.

[TSSN+]

So far this looks interesting… 

[bncho]

Just now, stormtracker said:

So here's the thing....it looks to be coming out, but might be too much of a good thing...might be so amp'd out front.   Way too early to tell tho, 

There are like 5 strong arctic highs of 1035-1055 to the north of us on the GFS, hopefully they do their job

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

If that s/w just off of Cali don't get crushed by the UL of death, or if it doesn't decide to cut off and hang back there, this could be interesting

Gooning as you do the pbp on this.

[stormtracker]

There's some moisture slug leaning NE to SW approaching the area..heavies in over KY...moving ENE...let's see if we hold the cold

[bncho]

One time, dealer. Just one time...

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

So far this looks interesting… 

you late

[Ralph Wiggum]

The Allen Iverson GFS buries the baja upper low in the SW fwiw. However, ensembles support it ejecting East attm.

[Heisy]

Woof woof



.

[stormtracker]

So listen....

[bncho]

lotta moisture, but metros will cut it close

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, stormtracker said:

So listen....

You know u wanna say it!

[stormtracker]

bncho....wait

[jayyy]

So listen....

FO… ?

[Scraff]

Just now, stormtracker said:

So listen....

The next word from you better start with the letter F. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

bncho....wait

Do it damn it 

[bncho]

that 1052 high will make or break this system

[stormtracker]

snowing at 192, heavies just to the west

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Do it damn it 

slow and steady wins the race.  I've seen shit look good and poof the next panel

[peribonca]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

that 1052 high will make or break this system

And Ji would be complaining about seeing the back edge.... In Nevada

[stormtracker]

if the CAD can hold....guys

[Heisy]

So here's the thing....it looks to be coming out, but might be too much of a good thing...might be so amp'd out front.   Way too early to tell tho, 

Yeah, without wxbell you’re ahead, this might be too much ugh


.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, stormtracker said:

snowing at 192, heavies just to the west

I think we have pieces coming out. There will be another behind this for the next window too imo. But THIS is nice! Where are Chuck and Arlington? 

[bncho]

Just now, stormtracker said:

if the CAD can hold....guys

CAD fails, flip to sleet

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GFS 7am Sunday

[DDweatherman]

Such a pusspop for an hr192 frame. Who cares if it’s folks or not it’ll look different in 6 hrs, just say it. No one cares if it goes flat, we’re deprived. 

[NorthArlington101]

if the CAD can hold....guys

We 100% flip, but even that has its own fun

[Ralph Wiggum]

Allen Iverson GFS has a BIG system on the 29th as well fwiw. Alot of fucking potential guys.