Kevin Reilly Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, Ruin said: How does this model have rain north west of the snow lol Heavier rates dragging cold air from aloft do temps are marginal in those cases but most likely a product of the model not seeing dynamics or smoothing things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk. Temperatures are better.... if precip gets up here then it'll be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Temperatures are better.... if precip gets up here then it'll be snow. That tpv in Quebec needs to lift out if it has any chance, and that's assuming our slp wouldn't just slide out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 hours ago, bncho said: January 15th has been trending better slowly. The h5 wave is deeper and slower, exactly what we want. Someone mentioned to me that vortex east of James Bay could act as a 50/50 low if it continues to trend ESE. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 17 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk. Nice look. I'm a little more optimistic on the look. I think it'd try to climb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, bncho said: Someone mentioned to me that vortex east of James Bay could act as a 50/50 low if it continues to trend ESE. Any thoughts? It's doing that already on the Icon, but may be too strong and/or unable/unwilling to move. Even if it cooperates, however, we still need the vort controlling our storm to cooperate as well. Iow, the Canadian vortex is only 1/2 of our problem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 13 minutes ago, bncho said: Someone mentioned to me that vortex east of James Bay could act as a 50/50 low if it continues to trend ESE. Any thoughts? Alright I gotta a bone to pick with the whole concept of a 50/50 low...why does that feel like it happens about as much as a storm making it's own cold air? Lol Like I hear y'all say "If we could get a 50/50..." but I don't think that's happened since I've been following (unless 2016 was one) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 So far at 162 GFS h5 is yet again different from previous run. Let's see where this goes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Alright I gotta a bone to pick with the whole concept of a 50/50 low...why does that feel like it happens about as much as a storm making it's own cold air? Lol Like I hear y'all say "If we could get a 50/50..." but I don't think that's happened since I've been following (unless 2016 was one) 1st Jan storm last year that gave DC like 7" had a 50/50 low 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 31 minutes ago, bncho said: Temperatures are better.... if precip gets up here then it'll be snow. That's probably rain for I-95. NW of I-95 it might be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Hmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Hmm I agree—interesting. Very interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Hmm Yeah, if the Gfs can dip and then hook that storm NE, it may get big near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 GFS trying to bring it...snow creeps over us at 186 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Nice snow over us at 189. Nothing huge it appears, but...it's digital blue. So yeah, this one goes on the watchlist 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 It's pretty compact, but getting bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: It's pretty compact, but getting bigger. It's a modest hit for us, but I mean..2-4/3-5 type deal per shitty SV maps. Northarlington will be along with the prettier maps. Knowing SVs map, it's probably really a 1 to 3 inch deal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Meh, a little too far south for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, stormtracker said: It's a modest hit for us, but I mean..2-4/3-5 type deal per shitty SV maps 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, mitchnick said: Meh, a little too far south for my liking. I keep forgetting you dumped us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yup. SV maps are fucking horrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: i'll take it and run (ya ninja'd me ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Meh up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Pass. We can do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I keep forgetting you dumped us I had no choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens. It gets us decently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens. It’s a little too late but looks like a hair from something pretty epic to be clear it snows but we need it to bomb earlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 So I should come back on 15 Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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