Philadelphia Wx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Is it possible for anyone to tell me the timing of this event? Will I be able to drive around 10 a.m. on Saturday in upper (far) northeast Philadelphia? Hope someone replies. I have someplace I have to be, and am very nervous I won't be able to get out of my house! Thank you so much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: It looks like only Chester and Delaware Counties in PA are not included in the WSW. I get these areas won't hit the snow thresholds but suspected due to travel issues they would issue a warning and then move it to a WWA tomorrow. But what do I know... I’m fairly certain Mt Holly will make adjustments tomorrow to the Watches and or Advisories. I can see them them converting to Warnings even if areas don’t meet the snowfall criteria due to the IP/ZR accums. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Philadelphia Wx said: Is it possible for anyone to tell me the timing of this event? Will I be able to drive around 10 a.m. on Saturday in upper (far) northeast Philadelphia? Hope someone replies. I have someplace I have to be, and am very nervous I won't be able to get out of my house! Thank you so much! Personally I think you'll be fine (Philly)if you take your time. Then again, I'm the type of guy who likes to drive in horrendous conditions even when media is urging people not to drive. Overall, no one knows but you should kinda see which way we're headed by Friday... .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: throw this map out. No way does this storm produce the mixed lines like this. None of these boundary lines follows physical geography. What a waste. Historical weather patterns in my lifetime point to the evolution of the storm producing pingers in the last two hours of the storm event, then to a quick shot of freezing rain and then the final cake frosting of freezing drizzle in the LV with a normal thump of 6-8 inches of snow. That is a safe bet right now. All I can say is it will be one hell of back breaking shoveling event. Snow blower special indeed., Under a winter storm watch now too Also very rarely will a storm flip back to snow from ZR or sleet. Unless it’s an intense storm, the warm nose will take over and not budge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago I think what will be interesting to watch with this storm is if it really does over perform. It’ll show what we can expect from storms for the rest of the winter year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: I think what will be interesting to watch with this storm is if it really does over perform. It’ll show what we can expect from storms for the rest of the winter year. I wish it was that simple... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Probably the most accurate looking map I’ve seen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Dafuq is the NAM smoking? Frozen still happening Sunday AM now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 44 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Probably the most accurate looking map I’ve seen add 3-5 inches to the snow totals in the purple and state that sleet totals maybe bring the final totals down and you would be spot on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Dafuq is the NAM smoking? Frozen still happening Sunday AM now. Guessing storm slows moving in the eastbound and a piece drops down from the North / North-northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Dafuq is the NAM smoking? Frozen still happening Sunday AM now. Actually wait maybe the Nam is trying to take a weak primary low to near Pittsburgh and then transfer its energy to a new low near the coast and develop and slow down / blocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 24 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Actually wait maybe the Nam is trying to take a weak primary low to near Pittsburgh and then transfer its energy to a new low near the coast and develop and slow down / blocked. May be true but it sounds like a drinker/stoner thought. Well, it is the holidays so carry on... 36F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago NWS pretty bullish 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago GFS another tick north i just dont know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Finally got the chance to see the Grinch er um i mean the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I would like to think this doesn’t turn into a complete nothing burger but models keep trending north…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The new NAM even further southwest The pivotal vs tidbits NAM outputs are in different universes What on Earth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago NYC thread is scared to even mention what the new NAM been doing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 20 minutes ago, RedSky said: The new NAM even further southwest The pivotal vs tidbits NAM outputs are in different universes What on Earth We desperately need the NAMs to score a win....though we know they likely wont. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago We desperately need the NAMs to score a win....though we know they likely wont.Complete trash model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We desperately need the NAMs to score a win....though we know they likely wont. The new NAM was great with the last storm- weenie handbook page 67 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: Complete trash model . Wow. And this is what we are 'upgrading' to? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wow. And this is what we are 'upgrading' to? The future Ralphie 12z run smoked us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 34 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Wow. And this is what we are 'upgrading' to? this is true!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago This is the problem with going bananas about a storm at the 5 day range (Monday) yes it looked nice. But this is a sleet/ice storm (which is great just as well in my books) I don’t even think the Lehigh valley sees more than 2” of snow. We’ve seen this song and dance just so many times . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Wow 0z NAM is gonna be a DISASTER . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Wow 0z NAM is gonna be a DISASTER . Yeah big changes yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Dont panic wait for the new NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Geezus the NAM oh well IIce storm it is. At least for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Wow 0z NAM is gonna be a DISASTER . Wow even NyC hardly sees a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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