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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


MAG5035
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35 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

regardless of what happens with this weekend storm, you couldn't effing pay me enough money to sit in the stands in happy valley to watch a hockey game, January 31st. F that

They still managed 106,000 for the playoff game in similar conditions. They'll get a good crowd.

 

At this point, with how the wrestling program has teabagged the field, I think you could put the Resilite on the 50 on Saturday and get 100,000 people. 

 

Couldn't pay me to go inside to watch basketball.

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Just now, WmsptWx said:

They still managed 106,000 for the playoff game in similar conditions. They'll get a good crowd.

 

At this point, with how the wrestling program has teabagged the field, I think you could put the Resilite on the 50 on Saturday and get 100,000 people. 

 

Couldn't pay me to go inside to watch basketball.

The basketball program is an embarrassment and sticks out because almost all the other programs are at least competitive.  Been waiting since I was a little kid to see any positive momentum.  Every time it looks like they are moving in the right direction....it falls off a cliff.

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16 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

They still managed 106,000 for the playoff game in similar conditions. They'll get a good crowd.

 

At this point, with how the wrestling program has teabagged the field, I think you could put the Resilite on the 50 on Saturday and get 100,000 people. 

 

Couldn't pay me to go inside to watch basketball.

 

Spoiler

 

I wouldn't have gone to that game either. :whistle: ive frozen my ass off there in November :drunk:I've been to 3 outdoor classic games. but this one is going to be cold. I've tried to get hockey tickets for years. Its tough to find games where my daughter isn't working a Bears game. This year it panned out. We are going up for Fridays indoor game. 

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after 120 hits the wall n scoots.  Prior it was decent.  still going to be another day or 2 till resolved.  Goalposts are wide.  If I have time I'll go to ens slp clusters and see what they show.

Blizz if you are around and can look, please do.

 

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8 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

after 120 hits the wall n scoots.  Prior it was decent.  still going to be another day or 2 till resolved.  Goalposts are wide.  If I have time I'll go to ens slp clusters and see what they show.

Blizz if you are around and can look, please do.

 

whats causing it to hit a wall? the arctic air?

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10 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

whats causing it to hit a wall? the arctic air?

IMO yes.  We've seen this before.  SLP comes more W n a bit better tucked, GFS wester solution is not at all unreasonable and right now W goalpost.  SLPs fighiting over whos king of the fishies down south also play a BIG role in where/how SLP climbs up coast.  

WAY too far from being worried.  I know we live in a world where we all want instant gratification with everything at our fingertips.  Mo nature doesnt buy into that notion very often.  Base state is ripe for a good one, and thats the first checkmark needed.  36-48 hrs at least till we get an idea of where this thing is headed.

 

 

 

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23 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

after 120 hits the wall n scoots.  Prior it was decent.  still going to be another day or 2 till resolved.  Goalposts are wide.  If I have time I'll go to ens slp clusters and see what they show.

Blizz if you are around and can look, please do.

 

Trough too east and it closed the low too late - it’s on the SC coast moving east. 

This is a thread the needle event. I trust the GFS less than I trust Tom Corbett to keep gas taxes low. 

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I just checked both EPS/GEFS clustes on pivot, and both suggest more members being west.  I think at this range, Ens guidance still holds weight and then once inside 72 ops take over.

I remind everyone in this group to think about where we were 5 days ago for last weekend....and where we ended up.  Biggest moves were inside 48-60hrs

@candersonI dont disagree, trouch axis not ideal, BUT if you get 500 to dive in (many showing little phasing), that could absolutely help pull this west and if vertically stacked, notably diff outcome.  GFS was not horrid last weekend, so while an outlier, i'll not discount, yet. 

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7 minutes ago, canderson said:

Trough too east and it closed the low too late - it’s on the SC coast moving east. 

This is a thread the needle event. I trust the GFS less than I trust Tom Corbett Shapiro to keep gas taxes low. 

FYP as it was a little dated.  I just updated to current status. 

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Just now, pasnownut said:

I just checked both EPS/GEFS clustes on pivot, and both suggest more members being west.  I think at this range, Ens guidance still holds weight and then once inside 72 ops take over.

I remind everyone in this group to think about where we were 5 days ago for last weekend....and where we ended up.  Biggest moves were inside 48-60hrs

@candersonI dont disagree, trouch axis not ideal, BUT if you get 500 to dive in (many showing little phasing), that could absolutely help pull this west and if vertically stacked, notably diff outcome.  GFS was not horrid last weekend, so while an outlier, i'll not discount, yet. 

The problem is that this storm went from EURO leading the way to GFS leading the way.  Not usually a good result when that happens. 

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5 hours ago, pasnownut said:

lmao.  That's friggin "gold" right there.  Well done.  

I got snow, so I won, no matter the trophy.  I'm surely not a participation trophy kinda guy.

Well i'm not so sure Blizz was flatterd .  I'm sorry @Blizzard of 93 nothing personal dude I was just trying to make it as ridiculous as I possibly could. Boundaries are not my strong suit. I can tell you I had a  f****** blast making  it though. Especially when deciding what bllizard actually looks like :D . You guys might not find my jokes entertaining, but you ought to see me while i'm writing them.  

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20 minutes ago, anotherman said:

The problem is that this storm went from EURO leading the way to GFS leading the way.  Not usually a good result when that happens. 

While I make no claims to be a data guru, I'll say that GFS was sniffing out last week early as well.  Hence my reluctance to shift.  They ALL are going to go through various iterations until this gets closer. Last week we had a general consensus and only once inside NAM's range did we see thermal challenges shown by NAM despite strong CAD/antecedent airmass in place.  also, post mortem, the primary never ceded to the secondary pop, and us southers know how that worked for us.  

Call me what you will, but there are no KINGS in weather models anymore.  

As stated many times, I look for consensus at this juncture, and at this juncture the only consensus, is that there will be a storm.  

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12 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Well i'm not so sure Blizz was flatterd .  I'm sorry @Blizzard of 93 nothing personal dude I was just trying to make it as ridiculous as I possibly could. Boundaries are not my strong suit. I can tell you I had a  f****** blast making  it though. Especially when deciding what bllizard actually looks like :D . You guys might not find my jokes entertaining, but you ought to see me while i'm writing them.  

hoping he's still diggin out.  Im sure he knows this is all in fun.  

My trophy was the snow and always will be, and to that end, we were all winners. 

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