GrandmasterB Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago This is what I was nervous about before the 12Z runs and both the GFS and more so the Canadian both moved this sharp cutoff northeast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 years ago today it was 66, we had severe storms ripping across the state dropping 1.5"-2" of rain. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: 5 years ago today it was 66, we had severe storms ripping across the state dropping 1.5"-2" of rain. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk That was a little over a week after many of us got around 10 inches of snow that got wiped out by the storm you are referencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago While we will not have a White Christmas we did have 2 of what we here at ChescoWx call Christmas Season Snows during the present holiday season. Christmas Season Snow represents measurable snow events during the 12 days of Christmas. Based on historical data this occurs here in Chester County on average 2 of every 3 years or 66% of seasons. Below are all of the stats regarding White Christmas chances here in Chester County from 1893 through 2025. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, GrandmasterB said: This is what I was nervous about before the 12Z runs and both the GFS and more so the Canadian both moved this sharp cutoff northeast: While it is a tad concerning, based on SLP being a tick S of 6z when the goods are in the hood, i'd not worry too much. qpf distribution is driven more by SLP placement and going to weeble wooble a bit. IF the future runs do the norther shift, then you n I need to worry more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, GrandmasterB said: Canadian mb could also be byproduct of being SE of them there mtns and not having the forcing mechanism as it is only a 1005-8 mb slp, so qpf might not be crazy without good forcing down here in the perverbial jip zone. I'm still rooting on the weaker option so that whatever falls has less WAA to worry about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago FWIW - MU is also on team sleet. Coating to 2" for most. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summit Snow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 119 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 NYZ025-044-045-055>057-062-PAZ039-040-044-048-072-250630- /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.A.0013.251226T1800Z-251227T1700Z/ Tompkins-Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan- Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Lackawanna-Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Owego, Honesdale, Norwich, Waverly, Hallstead, Equinunk, Delhi, Milford, Binghamton, Damascus, Cortland, Ithaca, Montrose, Scranton, Walton, and Monticello 119 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 10 inches possible. * WHERE...In New York, Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Sullivan, Tioga, and Tompkins Counties. In Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Northern Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, and Susquehanna Counties. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18z 12km NAM really limits snowfall in all of PA but keeps it a sleet-fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18z 12km NAM really limits snowfall in all of PA but keeps it a sleet-fest.What's freezing rain graphics look like?I hope we have a balloon launch close to kmdt Friday at 12z to get a good hold on the layersSent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago My guess is precip rates will be too heavy for much zr accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Significant ZR is confined to mostly western PA per the latest NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'd rather not freezing rain but given I'm in the valley, a cold rain despite CAD usually occurring wouldn't surprise me. Nor would the screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Frozen is frozen. I just want it to look like a winter wonderland Saturday morning. Give your family a big hug. Found out today that my daughters good friend mom passed away today from sepsis all from a cut on her knee. It all happened with such shocking speed it's almost unbelievable. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago One forecast now says sleet turning to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago Friday Freezing rain and sleet, mainly after 1pm. High near 34. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Night Freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet before 4am, then a chance of sleet. Low around 26. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday A chance of sleet, possibly mixing with freezing rain after 7am, then gradually ending. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, WmsptWx said: Friday Freezing rain and sleet, mainly after 1pm. High near 34. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Night Freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet before 4am, then a chance of sleet. Low around 26. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday A chance of sleet, possibly mixing with freezing rain after 7am, then gradually ending. Cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Similar to HBG: Friday A slight chance of snow and sleet between 10am and 1pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 32. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible. Friday Night Freezing rain and sleet, possibly mixed with snow before 10pm, then freezing rain and sleet between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of freezing rain after 4am. Low around 27. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday A slight chance of snow and freezing rain before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago One forecast now says sleet turning to rainRemember the rule with CAD. It's almost always under modeled. If anything where you are I'd worry about more serious icing than they are portraying. Would not worry about temperature going above freezing overnight Friday. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 13 minutes ago Share Posted 13 minutes ago Next briefing from NWS is in 30 minutes at 6pm. Another interesting aspect is the Pinstripe bowl Saturday at noon. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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