Newman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Have not been keeping up with this storm threat but might start doing so now that family is asking all about it ha. That 6z AIFS run is near mint perfection. Like Ralph said, a quick glance at the upper levels and you can tell the fail mode here is a slip east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 24 minutes ago Share Posted 24 minutes ago Have not been keeping up with this storm threat but might start doing so now that family is asking all about it ha. That 6z AIFS run is near mint perfection. Like Ralph said, a quick glance at the upper levels and you can tell the fail mode here is a slip eastI’m more worried about tucking and a NE/interior event. Models sometimes underplay strengths of shortwaves headed from Colorado region. On the plus side the 50/50 is timed absolutely perfectly. I’m still at the “what could go wrong” stage. This is why we play the game though ha. Cautiously extremely excited, those 6z ai runs were pure porn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago 11 hours ago, Heisy said: Ha over on discord I said the H5 sort of reminded me of Jan 31-Feb 1 2021. Idk what it was, some of the model runs had the same look to them as that one. Someone on Philly discord posted the H5 and it’s almost a perfect match My top analog is 2/26/2010. Feels like a last hurrah (after a brief warm-up), and I think this will miss just north, with NYC having a historic snowstorm, while PHL gets 4-6 inches, and BWI/DCA gets close to nothing, as the winter is pretty much over in those cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago The MJO is gonna be in phase 3/4 by this storm period. I’d temper the excitement and brace for a model change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted just now Share Posted just now 15 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: My top analog is 2/26/2010. Feels like a last hurrah (after a brief warm-up), and I think this will miss just north, with NYC having a historic snowstorm, while PHL gets 4-6 inches, and BWI/DCA gets close to nothing, as the winter is pretty much over in those cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted just now Share Posted just now 3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: The MJO is gonna be in phase 3/4 by this storm period. I’d temper the excitement and brace for a model change MJO has a lag effect fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now