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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion


LVblizzard
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4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro is exactly where we want ... weak and a little south with the bullseye.

Really do feel like we leave this with an area wide 2+ inch system. I like this storm where it is at on a lot of these models. Stay south for today and tomorrow and start a slow nudge north. 

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6 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Another failure by the models here. They all had about an inch last night pretty consistently for days. We got nothing but virga and maybe a flurry. This is honestly just as frustrating as a bigger bust because it seems like such a simple setup that just never materialized for some reason.

It was south over southern Pa and NJ

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3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I am fine with this and then touching 70 by the following week. Would be a fitting finale to a really good winter!

I would love just one last warning level snow and then gladly move right on to spring 

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17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I am fine with this and then touching 70 by the following week. Would be a fitting finale to a really good winter!

13 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

I would love just one last warning level snow and then gladly move right on to spring 

I'm so torn on this. Part of says yes, give the winter snow guys one last storm, but part of me is quite happy seeing more and more bare ground each day.

I'm not sure I want to start the melting process all over again.

 

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21 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I'm so torn on this. Part of says yes, give the winter snow guys one last storm, but part of me is quite happy seeing more and more bare ground each day.

I'm not sure I want to start the melting process all over again.

 

I think the Berk county crew deserves a cherry on top. 

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1 hour ago, Voyager said:

I'm so torn on this. Part of says yes, give the winter snow guys one last storm, but part of me is quite happy seeing more and more bare ground each day.

I'm not sure I want to start the melting process all over again.

 

It’s gonna melt fast

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Man I still really like where the GFS is at this timeframe. Unless it bucks the theme all year of most storms trending north 18z is a great spot again 

Thing is there is a huge difference between the gfs progression vs euro. CMC is towards euro, though I guess you could call it a compromise. Posted this in mid Atlantic forum, but you can see why the gfs is almost a day earlier with the wave vs euro. With a euro progression we could still cash, but it’s later on in the cold press. Until the models decide which camp is right you can’t trust either one of them

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2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

It was a good winter, no complaints. Snow threat next week shit the bed and the warmup looms the following weekend just in time for Daylight Savings time. Bring on spring!!

Yup looks like that’s how it’s trending. I see 60’s on my (albeit awful) Apple forecast and I am just ready to turn the page 

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1 hour ago, Heisy said:

While the warm stretch is coming, and I can’t wait, don’t write off the end of March for a sneaky surprise with the PV split occurring early month.

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Late March snow would be fun!  But that's probably just 40 degree rain lol.

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Late March snow would be fun!  But that's probably just 40 degree rain lol.

Yea odds are always low, we also may get MJO help as the month progresses. It would be pretty crazy if we go from a stretch of 70s early month to a March 20-25 major snowstorm lol.
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Just now, Heisy said:


Yea odds are always low, we also may get MJO help as the month progresses. It would be pretty crazy if we go from a stretch of 70s early month to a March 20-25 major snowstorm lol.

That sounds pretty great to me.  I still remember getting like a foot on March 21st in 2018.

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