Duca892 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: It’s not even out yet you fucking clown Very much assuming he is talking about the AI that is being discussed on the MA Forum which did not continue trends from GFS/CMC etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Just now, Duca892 said: Very much assuming he is talking about the AI that is being discussed on the MA Forum which did not continue trends from GFS/CMC etc. thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Very much assuming he is talking about the AI that is being discussed on the MA Forum which did not continue trends from GFS/CMC etc. well the maybe he should say that instead of shitting all over the thread with inaccurate one liners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: well the maybe he should say that instead of shitting all over the thread with inaccurate one liners. He just repeats whatever is said in MA forum... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Well now the regular Euro is out and it is indeed trash. Not sure about any precip from the IVT since those maps aren’t out yet, but the coastal misses by hundreds of miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 51 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: We also need Friday’s storm to get out of the way to allow heights to rise on the east coast. Otherwise even a very amplified system is staying mostly south of PA. Yep, the Euro went the wrong way with this and heights don't respond at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Like a March 2001 but with less rugburn because the writing was already on the wall 24 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago In the span of 24hrs literally every model caved to pretty much a nothingburger that the EURO has been showing. FFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Like a March 2001 but with less rugburn because the writing was already on the wall 24 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Duca892 said: In the span of 24hrs literally every model caved to pretty much a nothingburger that the EURO has been showing. FFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago Euro misses with the IVT too. Worst case scenario for the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Euro misses with the IVT too. Worst case scenario for the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago All it takes is toggling through the GFS, CMC, and Euro to see they all look wildly different. The Euro even looks different from the AIFS. There's just so much energy flying around, it'll take at least a day or two more to gain any sort of confidence. The GFS and CMC improved, the Euro got worse. We just need to see which way models trend. Any slight ticks towards the Euro is no good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 hours ago, anthonyweather said: Who are you forecasting to? . LOL!! All the spots I post to including FB, Twitter, multiple forums like this one and several on Discord....lots o copy and pasting every morning!! Some of my clients wonder how I keep up with my full time job! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hopefully nothing will EVER rival March 5, 2001. And it was such a looong run pull too. Starting Friday night, they slowly started scaling back accumulations all weekend long until Monday morning when I went to work under cloudy skies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7" snowcone depth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: Hopefully nothing will EVER rival March 5, 2001. And it was such a looong run pull too. Starting Friday night, they slowly started scaling back accumulations all weekend long until Monday morning when I went to work under cloudy skies. Everyone was on that bandwagon, I remember Paul Kocin on TWC Friday night showing a graphic with SEPA in the bullseye with 2 to 3 feet of snow. Then on Saturday a coworker saying it wasn’t going to snow, and I was like wtf get out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, Blue Dream said: He just repeats whatever is said in MA forum... He should stay there tbh 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: He should stay there tbh Ralph are there any other periods that you personally find intriguing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The 18z ICON is actually much better than 12z wrt the actual upper level low/vort closed off over the Ohio Valley. But what do you know... There's a confluent vorticity streamer trailing the 50/50 low, lingering over New England and keeping heights suppressed. Feel like we've heard that story before this winter one too many times. If we got that out of the way (i.e. improved wave spacing) that thing was coming up the coast. 18z RGEM, if extrapolated, would've been a banger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 52 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Ralph are there any other periods that you personally find intriguing? 3rd period USA-Sweden olympic men's hockey. Should.be a banger. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 34 minutes ago, Newman said: The 18z ICON is actually much better than 12z wrt the actual upper level low/vort closed off over the Ohio Valley. But what do you know... There's a confluent vorticity streamer trailing the 50/50 low, lingering over New England and keeping heights suppressed. Feel like we've heard that story before this winter one too many times. If we got that out of the way (i.e. improved wave spacing) that thing was coming up the coast. 18z RGEM, if extrapolated, would've been a banger 18z GFS got better too. Only 18z model that's a dud so far is the NAM, and it still improved at H5. Interested to see what the Euro does. I don't expect it to be a hit, but I'd welcome any improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 18z GFS got better too. Only 18z model that's a dud so far is the NAM, and it still improved at H5. Interested to see what the Euro does. I don't expect it to be a hit, but I'd welcome any improvements. Wow GFS much better, continues to bring better ticks on almost all facets for this storm. And "much better" is probably an understatement, ha. The Delmarva/Jersey coast gets absolutely destroyed on this run! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago starting to look like a southern special 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z GFS annihilates the Delmarva. I have friends in OCMD. If I thought it had a chance to be correct, I’d chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The RGEM (and therefore the CMC) at 18z, and the GFS at 18z, both made additional improvements at H5. I swear the Euro will probably be down in the Bahamas in about an hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUnit Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Clearly a trend towards a more tucked solution on the past few GFS runs. Though its always good to keep expectations in check since it is happy hour and it is the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago These are some grim dreary post apocalyptic feeling days stringing along here can't wait for the sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is trying really hard to bring this back to a SECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Last 4 run trend of the GEFS. Look at the western ridge, it continues to get more stout and back up further west. That'll allow our energy to dive into the country further west and allow more time for amplification. There's also more separation in general between the 50/50 and our coastal system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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