E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[KamuSnow]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Nice burst of light snow here with some stickage. First measurable snow of the season. Aaaaand we're off and running

We got some of that here too! Pleasant surprise, not a bad thing at all.

[JTA66]

No stickage here that I noticed, just a white rain event.

[RedSky]

Heavy dusting 

.30" 

[LVblizzard]

Starting to become interested in next Saturday. Models have a weak Miller B setup and some of them hit us with a moderate snow event.

[Newman]

Really tricky forecast for Tuesday across Berks, Lehigh, Northampton counties per usual. Expecting the R/S line to make it to the 78 corridor, but never know. How much snow falls in these areas will depend on how quickly/heavy the initial WAA snows come in and how quickly (or not) the warm nose aloft lifts north. Southern parts of these counties won't do as well as the northern parts. I'd expect sleet to mix in more than expected, but we'll have to see what the CAMs show the next few cycles. Regardless, small shifts will make a big difference in these counties and it'll probably be a nowcast to see where the R/S line is on CC radar.

2-5" is a good call, 2 being the low end and 5 the 75th percentile or so. Reasonable worst case scenario is probably 6 or 7 inches