First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[CoastalWx]

6z AI close to 00z. 

[dendrite]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Those maps are ridiculous.

1-11” for PWM

Good luck with your prep.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

1-11” for PWM

Good luck with your prep.

I don’t understand how it goes out like that without someone seeing it?

[CoastalWx]

Can we get Nam dynamics with gfs/euro position?

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS came in a little colder too. Maybe we’ll get a GFS/Euro convergence today. 
 

 

Yes GFS is definitely converging. From up over RI to this. Soundings are saturated here below 0 c with a bump to 33/34 at the surface. Thumpity my name is Humpity 

[HoarfrostHubb]

That BOX map is only thru 7PM Tuesday.  Still several more hours of precip 

but yeah.  It’s awful 

[moneypitmike]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

1-11” for PWM

Good luck with your prep.

I think this is the intended.  Those amounts and the rainy coast look NAMish.

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes GFS is definitely converging. From up over RI to this. Soundings are isothermal here below 0 c with a bump to 33/34 at the surface. Thumpity my name is Humpity 

Gfs too warm. Even euro borderline.

[CoastalWx]

I already heard the “daytime” argument for accumulations and pavement temps. Christ we never learn.

[CoastalWx]

Euro is lean with QPF. Meh. Shoot the horse.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I think this is the intended.  Those amounts and the rainy coast look NAMish.

I think what they’re saying is we really don’t know

[Kitz Craver]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes GFS is definitely converging. From up over RI to this. Soundings are saturated here below 0 c with a bump to 33/34 at the surface. Thumpity my name is Humpity 

Does central CT go isothermal with this look?

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I already heard the “daytime” argument for accumulations and pavement temps. Christ we never learn.

BOX had that in their AFD yesterday.  Apparently, the sun angle is only low enough for day time accumulation between December 18 and December 24th.

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs too warm. Even euro 

Here where you can insert model bias in. GFS notorious for warming boundary layer too fast. Euro qpf outputs underestimated

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

BOX had that in their AFD yesterday.  Apparently, the sun angle is only low enough for day time accumulation between December 18 and December 24th.

Any meteorologist saying that should get a mafia style slap across the face. That worked real well on 10/29/11.

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Does central CT go isothermal with this look?

Man its so so tight.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Here where you can insert model bias in. GFS notorious for warming boundary layer too fast. Euro qpf outputs overestimated

Yeah, I could see you thump at 33 or 34 but it’s so marginal. It’s aloft that I don’t like. 925 and just below. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Any meteorologist saying that should get a mafia style slap across the face. That worked real well on 10/29/11.

The OKX AFD that day was written by a 5th grader 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, I could see you thump at 33 or 34 but it’s so marginal. It’s aloft that I don’t like. 925 and just below. 

Totally agree so so marginal here

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

BOX had that in their AFD yesterday.  Apparently, the sun angle is only low enough for day time accumulation between December 18 and December 24th.

I got a little sunburn on my face last Saturday!

[Chrisrotary12]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

 

32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

0.5”-10” for IZG lol

WTF are these?

[moneypitmike]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Man its so so tight.

that's what she said.

[Ginx snewx]

Let's just ride a 6z horse right out of here call it a day. 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's just ride a 6z horse right out of here call it a day. 

 

Is there any hope on the EC for mid-level enhancements in coastal Maine?  Looks pretty ugly up there.

 

*asking for a friend.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

Is there any hope on the EC for mid-level enhancements in coastal Maine?  Looks pretty ugly up there.

 

*asking for a friend.

Slide that all north. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's just ride a 6z horse right out of here call it a day. 

I get the Jack again!