Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

[Jns2183]

I do love October storms like this. Definitely going to sleep tonight with an open window so I can wake up the breezy heavy rain bands. The only thing better would to have winds Friday at the same time as the rains. I have multiple family members in Massachusetts and have had the pleasure of experiencing big noreasters in Gloucester, South Shore, and central Highlands. Only rainstorms unfortunately but man oh man. Having 40+mph sustained winds for 36 hours in a house a few miles from the ocean was beautiful. You could taste the ocean on that northeast wind. Combined with torrential rain, the sounds that a house from the 1850's makes in a storm like that, a big fireplace, good hearty soup, rye whiskey, and a home bar with 3 taps had me wanting never to leave. I wish we could experience more of the rain/wind combo here at least.

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[ChescoWx]

We continue our stretch of chillier than normal weather with our 9th straight day with below normal temperatures. The beneficial rainstorm is still on track to arrive overnight tonight and continue well into tomorrow night. The NWS has much of the area receiving 1.5" to 2.0" of needed rain. Tomorrow looks to be the warmest day of the week with temperatures maybe a couple of degrees above average with highs well up into the 50's to near 60 degrees. We turn chillier again over the weekend but dry.

[mahantango#1]

With the projected heavy rain at times and wind gusts projected on some of the models of 40+ we should have a substantial leaf drop till Saturday.

[canderson]

2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

With the projected heavy rain at times and wind gusts projected on some of the models of 40+ we should have a substantial leaf drop till Saturday.

The color has basically sucked so good.  

[mahantango#1]

which one will be right?

 

 

[pawatch]

30 for the low this morning ,another frost.

Getting ready to get out fishing before the rain.

[pasnownut]

2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 45. A nice rain event for tonight through tomorrow and then cold and windy for trick or treat night ugh. 

Yeah...looking at qpf maps currently and I'd say this is a Susquehanna Special.  We need it, and welcome it.

 

 

[pasnownut]

1 hour ago, Jns2183 said:

I do love October storms like this. Definitely going to sleep tonight with an open window so I can wake up the breezy heavy rain bands. The only thing better would to have winds Friday at the same time as the rains. I have multiple family members in Massachusetts and have had the pleasure of experiencing big noreasters in Gloucester, South Shore, and central Highlands. Only rainstorms unfortunately but man oh man. Having 40+mph sustained winds for 36 hours in a house a few miles from the ocean was beautiful. You could taste the ocean on that northeast wind. Combined with torrential rain, the sounds that a house from the 1850's makes in a storm like that, a big fireplace, good hearty soup, rye whiskey, and a home bar with 3 taps had me wanting never to leave. I wish we could experience more of the rain/wind combo here at least.

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Boy to you have a way with words.  Almost caught myself snuggled up (on opposite end of the couch - of course) 

I'd be close to the home bar as well, and before i read this, I was thinkin what kind of soup do i want to make?  Get firewood in and ready.  

 

smart minds.....

 

[pasnownut]

49 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

With the projected heavy rain at times and wind gusts projected on some of the models of 40+ we should have a substantial leaf drop till Saturday.

Yeah tonight would be a good night to check gutters and storm drains in your areas. 

[ChescoWx]

Today back in 2011 Chester County experienced our greatest October snowstorm on record with as much as 9 inches of snow falling across the area. 

[Itstrainingtime]

I think today might be nicer than yesterday was. More sun this afternoon. 

[Jns2183]

Boy to you have a way with words.  Almost caught myself snuggled up (on opposite end of the couch - of course) 
I'd be close to the home bar as well, and before i read this, I was thinkin what kind of soup do i want to make?  Get firewood in and ready.  
 
smart minds.....
 

That trip was a fisherman's stew with fresh seafood from Turners Seafood Market. My uncle had drafts of Stella, some new England IPA, and Guinness (full nitrous setup!). My brother and I brought Oban and Thomas H. Handy Sazerac Rye Others brought appetizers, wine, beer, etc. it was Wednesday November 7, 2012. We were up that week to help out other family in Connecticut recovery from Sandy and on a whim my aunt and uncle had everyone over that was up helping that week. Everyone, all 16 of us, soon abandoned any pretense of traveling the few hours back and we went hard till midnight we all slept on the floor with blankets, sleeping bags, pillows, 3 dogs, 2 cats, a roaring fire, and storm shaking the house hard. One of those amazing nights that edge in ones memory since it seemed preordained with how it came together.

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[Jns2183]

I have questions regarding this 3 hour flash flood guidance. The demarcation seems very close to the river basins. Are The drastic differences caused purely by recent rainfall amounts, or is the basin itself playing some role?

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[Jns2183]

@Voyager this is your storm. Forecast close to 3" up that way. If only this were white.

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[canderson]

Today not only be is that amazing 2011 snowstorm with thunder snow and Cantore down the street from us but also Sandy hitting our region in 2012.

[Jns2183]

Today not only be is that amazing 2011 snowstorm with thunder snow and Cantore down the street from us but also Sandy hitting our region in 2012.

Ah.....the good old days when interesting weather happened to us......when a storm like tomorrow is just a nothing-burger instead of the only hope for something a bit more interesting than the absolutely boring string of wearher

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[mahantango#1]

With 2 days of low temps in the mid 20s I thought it would kill my Petunias. It didn't. I also thought it would kill the yellow jackets, but it didn't . I killed a yellow jacket yesterday and today with the fly swatter both were the German  yellow jackets.

[Jns2183]

Currently 3/5 the way through a wonderful 5 mile jaunt. I can almost smell that rain with every uptick of a slowly building breeze. These showers are hauling ass and seem to hit with a nice gust front. Hopefully that is a good omen for the morning bands. A nice firehouse from the Atlantic or Chesapeake would hit like a lottery jackpot this year.

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[canderson]

Radar looks great for a really beneficial long rain event 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

My low actually bottomed out at 41 early this morning, a drop of four degrees from the 45 I reported when leaving the house shortly after 6am. Impressive. The sweet sound of rain in the gutters, aaahhhh, night all. 

[Jns2183]

Radar looks great for a really beneficial long rain event 

I appreciate this so much more after our July, August, September. I laugh at my naivete back in 2019-2020 thinking the previous decade of insane moisture would not abate. The short term models show a beautiful band from ocean city Maryland to here combining with a more north south orientation band causing a nice blowup of intensity around rush hour

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[mahantango#1]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
422 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-310830-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
422 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and even an isolated
tornado are possible late this morning and afternoon. Wind gusts may
exceed 40 MPH at any time today, especially on the higher hill tops.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

[mahantango#1]

[mahantango#1]

1.07 rain so far.

[Jns2183]

1.35"

Lighting now showing up by border near Hagerstown town. That blob has got some serious lift going on. It's building to the southeast

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[Blizzard of 93]

.79 in Marysville so far.

[Jns2183]

We may get some rumbles with this batch

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[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 48 with .78" of rain so far.

[ChescoWx]

Rainfall so far since last night East Nantmeal 0.75" / Warwick Twp. 0.83" / Nottingham 1.12" / Glenmoore 0.96" / Chester Springs 0.74" / Kennett Square 0.85" / West Bradford Twp. 1.04" / Devault 0.71" / West Chester 0.89". Some spots could see up to another 1" to 2" today. The rain should end this evening. Between the rain today and wind tomorrow we should see quite a few of the remaining leaves coming down by tomorrow night. Temperatures near to below normal look to continue through much of the next week.

[Itstrainingtime]

1.72" of rain so far with numerous lightning strikes shaking the house, one in particular was VERY close around 8:15am.