2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[BretWx]

3 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

Well, it certainly appears we will not be dealing with that old pesky warm nose this time! That said, I expect the discussion to ramp up with the WPC/NWS with the possibility of a Watch hoisted by tomorrow afternoon.

The yard here is still entirely ice. I'd love to see anything covering the grass. Especially some fine powder. And to watch it fall for a solid amount of time!

[Met1985]

I'd take 5 to 8 inches in a heartbeat.  Especially with frozen ground and an arctic high moving in. Yes sir. Let's do it.

[CheoahBald1]

I'd take 5 to 8 inches in a heartbeat.  Especially with frozen ground and an arctic high moving in. Yes sir. Let's do it.

Yeah working for the DOT that will keep us busy enough for days lol


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[Met1985]

Just now, CheoahBald1 said:

Yeah working for the DOT that will keep us busy enough for days lol


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Ah nice! All that OT money. 

[franklin NCwx]

6 minutes ago, CheoahBald1 said:

Yeah working for the DOT that will keep us busy enough for days lol


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Im sure yall stay busy on snowbird and the skyway.  I thought they contracted that out to Adams?

[franklin NCwx]

6 minutes ago, CheoahBald1 said:

Yeah working for the DOT that will keep us busy enough for days lol


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Im sure yall stay busy on snowbird and the skyway.  I thought they contracted that out to Adams?

[CheoahBald1]

Im sure yall stay busy on snowbird and the skyway.  I thought they contracted that out to Adams?

Yeah I think you’re right. I actually work way more outta Jackson, Macon , Haywood co.


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[Met1985]

1 minute ago, CheoahBald1 said:

Yeah I think you’re right. I actually work way more outta Jackson, Macon , Haywood co.


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You in district 13?

[CheoahBald1]

You in district 13?

My job is based outta Jackson co but I cover all of Division 14. Basically from Murphy to Haywood co.


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[Met1985]

3 minutes ago, CheoahBald1 said:

My job is based outta Jackson co but I cover all of Division 14. Basically from Murphy to Haywood co.


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Yeah ok 14 that's right. 

[franklin NCwx]

20 minutes ago, CheoahBald1 said:

Yeah I think you’re right. I actually work way more outta Jackson, Macon , Haywood co.


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I gotcha! Yeah... I see the Adam's trucks around swain and graham.  I only see dot around macon and Jackson 

[Ja643y]

Hey all, sorry to ask again, but trying to decide if it is worth making the trip up. You all know the micro climates of the area better than the models. Thoughts on 4-6” for basically Parkway and 226? I’ve only been up there once and that was for Jan 2022. Not expecting that, but want to see your guys thoughts on my location for this one on the escarpment. 

[Met1985]

14 minutes ago, Ja643y said:

Hey all, sorry to ask again, but trying to decide if it is worth making the trip up. You all know the micro climates of the area better than the models. Thoughts on 4-6” for basically Parkway and 226? I’ve only been up there once and that was for Jan 2022. Not expecting that, but want to see your guys thoughts on my location for this one on the escarpment. 

I've got no clue in that area but highlands is nice and sets up in elevation.  There's still a lot to iron out.

[GoAPPS]

15 minutes ago, Ja643y said:

Hey all, sorry to ask again, but trying to decide if it is worth making the trip up. You all know the micro climates of the area better than the models. Thoughts on 4-6” for basically Parkway and 226? I’ve only been up there once and that was for Jan 2022. Not expecting that, but want to see your guys thoughts on my location for this one on the escarpment. 

That's a good bet, but I'd wait until Friday morning before making a final decision.

[Moonhowl]

3 hours ago, ncjoaquin said:

It's probably blasphemy to say that I would be thrilled with 7 inches and let the ENC fellows have the 24 inches that the GFS shows. There are too many problems that come with 2 feet of snow! I know I am a stranded loner on an island by myself with that opinion, lol!

I mean. Don't  get me wrong. I would take it ! But, any decent snow works for me. 

You're not alone with those thoughts.  I had the full experience of the blizzard of 93 when I was renting, lol; hiked to friends house right up the middle of Merrimon Ave in Asheville wearing a motorcycle helmet.  Now an older and wiser home owner, I don't need to see anything like that again.  Let the trees stay upright, keep power on, and have about 4 or 5" of snow to go for a nice walk and I am happy   

[franklin NCwx]

3 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I've got no clue in that area but highlands is nice and sets up in elevation.  There's still a lot to iron out.

I wonder if he meant 276?

[GoAPPS]

Latest GSP Forecast Discussion has some interesting tidbits.

By Saturday, guidance digs the potent
upper low in the vicinity of the Upstate as it evolves into a
negative tilt and instigates subsequent surface cyclogenesis along a
coastal baroclinic zone. The upper low will be anomalously deep with
H5 heights in the bottom 1st percentile to near all time record low
for the southeast.

 

This will be an unusually cold snow event for the western Carolinas
and northeast Georgia with very cold temperatures in place as the
snow occurs. Some members of guidance depict temperatures in the
low 20s to teens during peak snowfall rates on Saturday and even the
warmer solutions keep temperatures at 30 degrees or lower.
Furthermore, forecast soundings indicate incredibly cold profiles
with a deep dendritic growth zone and plenty of forcing in part from
strong DPVA with the upper low. This will result in rare SLRs
ranging from 15:1 to 20:1. Surprisingly, guidance is in very good
agreement with SLRs with only small differences between the 10th and
90th percentiles. Thus, it won`t take much liquid QPF to realize
several inches of snow. The very cold temperatures will also
increase impacts to travel with snow sticking very efficiently to
roads.

[Met1985]

The forcing they are talking about will be tremendous with this setup. I cannot stress that enough.  When we have very strong forcing and the temps are extremely cold great things will happen. 

[BhamParker]

Just booked a cabin in Gatlinburg off Ski Mountain road at about 2500 feet. That location never fails me when their is flow involved. Leaving tomorrow and look forward to spending a weekend in this thread with all of you!

[Met1985]

Looks like we are getting NAM'd.

[Met1985]

Beautiful

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

[BretWx]

18Z NAM is a beaut! 

[ncjoaquin]

2 minutes ago, BretWx said:

18Z NAM is a beaut! 

Now, that is perfect! 

[BretWx]

1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said:

Now, that is perfect! 

Not too much, not too little. But with the ratio's who knows. I would still take the low end and some fluffly white to cover the yard! 

[BlueRidgeFolklore]

[BretWx]

Even the ICON inched in our favor w/ this run. 

[BretWx]

3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

I would GLADY lock in 4-6in and call it a WIN. 

[strongwxnc]

3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

Straight GAs here .

The GSP AFD is a great read today. 

Love ratio SLR talk  

[BlueRidgeFolklore]

Just now, BretWx said:

I would GLADY lock in 4-6in and call it a WIN. 

I wouldn't be surprised to see it tick upwards, either.

[CheoahBald1]

RGEM is something else


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