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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


Buckethead
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From Ryan Maue

Just exclaimed to an esteemed colleague how gobsmacking it was to see -40°C contour at 500 mb over Indiana on November 10th -- so unlikely to be nearly impossible in 2025 let alone 175-years ago in 1850.

Historic cold -- we get to experience the pre-industrial climate in 2025!

This is extremely impressive. 20251105_180436.jpg

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1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

From Ryan Maue

Just exclaimed to an esteemed colleague how gobsmacking it was to see -40°C contour at 500 mb over Indiana on November 10th -- so unlikely to be nearly impossible in 2025 let alone 175-years ago in 1850.

Historic cold -- we get to experience the pre-industrial climate in 2025!

This is extremely impressive. 20251105_180436.jpg

Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
 

Absolutely amazing ! Guaranteed heavy duty lake effect. Expect Models to uptick Snow Forcasted Amounts if this continues showing up until game time. Also, possibly a Synoptic Snow event as well.

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1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

Maybe an SSW but in general I like seeing the PV in a weakened state. We really don't need an SSW for blocking. Keep the PV weak and we will get our chances. This would lead us into December. 20251105_180019.jpg20251105_180030.jpg

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Agree completely.. sometimes a SSW Event can foul up a good Pattern.

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This is interesting.

Model data continues to struggle with extended range cold fronts.

Week 1 GWHDDs running 25+ points colder than forecast for the next 7 days this time last week.

Operational data has performed slightly better. This might be a case where the "colder" GFS has some merit for week 2.20251106_091014.jpg20251106_091017.jpg

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