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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion


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Most spots across the area picked up between 0.10" to 0.25" of rain overnight. We could see another shower this morning before we clear up and turn windy. Today and tomorrow will be not too far from typical temperatures in the low to mid 60's. We look to turn below normal starting tomorrow night and that should last though the rest of the work week. Some of our valley locations that have already seen a couple of freezes may see another one by Friday morning. Our next chance of any rain looks to be tomorrow night into early Wednesday morning.

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Lows this morning ranged from as low as 33.6 in valley locations like Warwick Township to 46.8 at ridge locations like West Grove, Today we should we our warmest day of the week with some valley locations nearing 70 degrees. Higher ridge locations will remain in the upper 60's. A cold front crosses the area overnight tonight with some very light showers. After that we seem temperatures no higher than the 50's for highs and 30's for lows through the rest of the week and into the weekend. For those lower elevation spots that have already had multiple freezes this month you could see a couple more both Thursday and Friday morning. Higher ridge spots look to continue their growing season with lows remaining above freezing through the week.

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12 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

I know the weather has been boring but this subform has been quite dead. We better pick it up or a Mod will post the yearly question do we want to merge with the New York City subforum. Of course the answer is F-NO!

We should merge with the Sports forum since our Philly snow and sports fortunes are so similar :axe:

Picked up .25” overnight, 49F.

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12 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

I know the weather has been boring but this subform has been quite dead. We better pick it up or a Mod will post the yearly question do we want to merge with the New York City subforum. Of course the answer is F-NO!

I think I am the only one who posts here every day....no doubt winter weather will bring the folks back home!!

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Most spots across the area saw between 0.10" to 0.22" of rain last evening through the overnight hours. With that frontal passage last night, we will turn back to below normal temperatures for much of the rest of the week and likely to finish the month of October. This means we will probably finish October with below normal temperatures. This would be our 5th below normal temperature month over the 1st 10 months of 2025. Our valley locations will likely see another freeze each morning between Friday and Sunday. The higher ridge spots (above 600 feet ASL) will likely see no more than some patchy frost and continue their growing (freeze free) season into November. The growing season has ended for most valley locations across our area. We look dry for at least the next week.

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2 hours ago, MGorse said:

0.27” of rain last night. Definitely more than what I was expecting. 

 

2 hours ago, MGorse said:

0.27” of rain last night. Definitely more than what I was expecting. 

I wasn't really expecting anything but maybe a quick shower. Looked at the radar at 9:00 p.m. and said that's going to be more than a shower. If cold that would have been a nice little snow surprise...1-2" with a little more in some areas.

..

.

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8 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Sandy redux on the 12z Canadian late next week. Could be some interesting days of tracking ahead.

All I know is this scenario model run better not happen. After looking at the CMC noon run, this would make Sandy look like a baby.  With all of the dead ash trees in Eastern PA  now and especially in the LV and urbanized and major riverine flooding,  this would be a one hell of a disaster for our area. I would see unbelievable debris dams in the waterways from these fallen limbs and trees that would wipe out major bridges in our area. The power outages would be unmanageable and you will not find a generator in stock for 250 miles from our region.  The fact this scenario is already showing up  for one week away warrants further discussion by all pro's. Even a slight hit would be a huge concern.  There will nothing left at the NJ beaches for next year beaachgoers and NYC will get one hell of test of its new subway drainage pumping system.  Definitely will keep an eye on these model runs as the media and so-called internet weather gurus on facebook/youtube   will play this up real good in the next few days if the the model runs continue to show this tonight and tomorrow. Can you say Panic? 

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7 minutes ago, pl0k00n111 said:

Hopefully halloween will be spared, I put on a nice halloween in our yard. Would hate that!

Wouldn't sweat anything just yet. Long way to go with it. This mornings 6Z GFS has it hitting us. Euro takes it just off the coast with a glancing blow S and E CMC backs the storm up about two days. Lots of work to do with this one. 

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The NWS has issued a Frost Advisory for tonight for the entire area. However, many spots below 500 ft ASL in Chester County have already seen multiple freezing mornings. Those valley spots may again see freezing temperatures while some higher spots could see some frost but likely staying above freezing. For the rest of October, we should see below normal temperatures with daytime highs falling from the upper 50's today to the low 50's for highs by the start of the new work week. Lows should be frosty most mornings with a widespread freeze possible by next Monday and Tuesday mornings. We stay dry until our next chance of showers on Tuesday night.

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10 hours ago, Albedoman said:

All I know is this scenario model run better not happen. After looking at the CMC noon run, this would make Sandy look like a baby.  With all of the dead ash trees in Eastern PA  now and especially in the LV and urbanized and major riverine flooding,  this would be a one hell of a disaster for our area. I would see unbelievable debris dams in the waterways from these fallen limbs and trees that would wipe out major bridges in our area. The power outages would be unmanageable and you will not find a generator in stock for 250 miles from our region.  The fact this scenario is already showing up  for one week away warrants further discussion by all pro's. Even a slight hit would be a huge concern.  There will nothing left at the NJ beaches for next year beaachgoers and NYC will get one hell of test of its new subway drainage pumping system.  Definitely will keep an eye on these model runs as the media and so-called internet weather gurus on facebook/youtube   will play this up real good in the next few days if the the model runs continue to show this tonight and tomorrow. Can you say Panic? 

We haven't had a catastrophic event in a while..,..I'm in.

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