Sundog Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Euro is still 105 for Tuesday, the only model that hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 17 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: that 88 at JFK is very obviously wrong, if Farmingdale hits 101 and Islip hits 100, JFK is going to be AT LEAST 101 (there has never been a case when Islip and/or Farmingdale were 100 or higher and JFK was not.) Yea that's why you can't take the numbers at face value out here. Globals aren't like the higher resolution models. The GFS thinks JFK is in the ocean. JFK should at least be in the 90's there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: Yea that's why you can't take the numbers at face value out here. Globals aren't like the higher resolution models. The GFS thinks JFK is in the ocean. JFK should at least be in the 90's there To be fair the higher resolution models are much cooler than the inferno Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Sundog said: Can you post 5PM map? Still has 100 for NYC at 5pm, cools off fast though after this. I don't know if I buy the 74 at East Hampton lol, that realistically would be more like 76-78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Sundog said: To be fair the higher resolution models are much cooler than the inferno Euro. I think the Euro is too hot for places like the city and inland. RGEM has 98 for Monday in NYC, don't think NYC will see 100 Monday. Mid to upper 90's likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 7 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: I think the Euro is too hot for places like the city and inland. RGEM has 98 for Monday in NYC, don't think NYC will see 100 Monday. Mid to upper 90's likely 93 I would say CPK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Sundog said: To be fair the higher resolution models are much cooler than the inferno Euro. Rather than any model I would much rather rely on climate knowledge and what has happened in the past here. Let the past be your guide to the future as the saying goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: I think the Euro is too hot for places like the city and inland. RGEM has 98 for Monday in NYC, don't think NYC will see 100 Monday. Mid to upper 90's likely 100 for all us likely on Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 19 minutes ago, Sundog said: Euro is still 105 for Tuesday, the only model that hot. 100 likely, 105 not likely, you don't get that kind of heat in June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 27 minutes ago, Sundog said: To be fair the higher resolution models are much cooler than the inferno Euro. Sorry to say this about models, but they aren't very smart Look at this from a climate history perspective. June 26, 1952 at JFK -- 99 degrees on a SSW wind at 13 mph!! and it's hard to believe it did not hit 100 at JFK in between hours on this date, when it was 99 on a SSW wind and then the wind switched to WSW and it was 99 for two more hours..... https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1952-6-26 12:00 PM 94 °F 75 °F 54 % SW 18 mph 0 mph 29.78 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 1:00 PM 95 °F 74 °F 50 % SW 17 mph 0 mph 29.76 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 2:00 PM 98 °F 73 °F 44 % SW 15 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 3:00 PM 99 °F 72 °F 42 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 4:00 PM 92 °F 73 °F 54 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Fair 5:00 PM 99 °F 68 °F 36 % WSW 20 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 6:00 PM 99 °F 69 °F 38 % WSW 15 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 7:00 PM 94 °F 74 °F 52 % SW 12 mph 0 mph 29.74 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 32 minutes ago, TWCCraig said: Yea that's why you can't take the numbers at face value out here. Globals aren't like the higher resolution models. The GFS thinks JFK is in the ocean. JFK should at least be in the 90's there Did you see this that I just posted lol Sorry to say this about models, but they aren't very smart Look at this from a climate history perspective. June 26, 1952 at JFK -- 99 degrees on a SSW wind at 13 mph!! and it's hard to believe it did not hit 100 at JFK in between hours on this date, when it was 99 on a SSW wind and then the wind switched to WSW and it was 99 for two more hours..... https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1952-6-26 12:00 PM 94 °F 75 °F 54 % SW 18 mph 0 mph 29.78 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 1:00 PM 95 °F 74 °F 50 % SW 17 mph 0 mph 29.76 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 2:00 PM 98 °F 73 °F 44 % SW 15 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 3:00 PM 99 °F 72 °F 42 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 4:00 PM 92 °F 73 °F 54 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Fair 5:00 PM 99 °F 68 °F 36 % WSW 20 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 6:00 PM 99 °F 69 °F 38 % WSW 15 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 7:00 PM 94 °F 74 °F 52 % SW 12 mph 0 mph 29.74 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, LibertyBell said: Did you see this that I just posted lol Sorry to say this about models, but they aren't very smart Look at this from a climate history perspective. June 26, 1952 at JFK -- 99 degrees on a SSW wind at 13 mph!! https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KJFK/date/1952-6-26 12:00 PM 94 °F 75 °F 54 % SW 18 mph 0 mph 29.78 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 1:00 PM 95 °F 74 °F 50 % SW 17 mph 0 mph 29.76 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 2:00 PM 98 °F 73 °F 44 % SW 15 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 3:00 PM 99 °F 72 °F 42 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 4:00 PM 92 °F 73 °F 54 % SSW 13 mph 0 mph 29.75 in 0.0 in Fair 5:00 PM 99 °F 68 °F 36 % WSW 20 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 6:00 PM 99 °F 69 °F 38 % WSW 15 mph 0 mph 29.73 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy 7:00 PM 94 °F 74 °F 52 % SW 12 mph 0 mph 29.74 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy on a side note, I can't believe it didn't hit 100 at JFK on this date when it was 99 on a SSW wind and then the wind switched to WSW and it was 99 for two more hours one would think that JFK hit 100 in between hours..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago We just hit 90 here at 2:30 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2PM EWR: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 89 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 LGA: 87 TTN: 87 JFK: 86 TEB: 86 JFK: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 14 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2PM EWR: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 89 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 LGA: 87 TTN: 87 JFK: 86 TEB: 86 JFK: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 90 here at 2:30 perhaps JFK gets it in between hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 15 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 2PM EWR: 89 PHL: 89 JFK: 89 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 LGA: 87 TTN: 87 JFK: 86 TEB: 86 JFK: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 wait you have JFK listed twice Tony, actually three times but only with two different temperatures lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I think somebody in the area has a shot at their first June 105° reading on Tuesday since this will be a 3 day heat build. The Euro was correct with the low 90s today as the GFS only had upper 80s. The heat away from the local sea breezes will begin ramping up tomorrow and build higher each day. My guess is that the best shot for 105° will be around Newark and Corona, Queens Tuesday. Maybe even an area we don’t expect further east into Nassau or NW Suffolk where the best compressional warming occurs right along the sea breeze front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: I think somebody in the area has a shot at their first June 105° reading on Tuesday since this will be a 3 day heat build. The Euro was correct with the low 90s today as the GFS only had upper 80s. The heat away from the local sea breezes will begin ramping up tomorrow and build higher each day. My guess is that the best shot for 105° will be around Newark and Corona, Queens Tuesday. Maybe even an area we don’t expect further east into Nassau or NW Suffolk where the best compressional warming occurs right along the sea breeze front. it was 90 here at 2:30 pm and then the sea breeze came in here around 3 pm and knocked temperatures down 4 degrees. the temperature spike occurs right before the sea breeze comes in sounds a lot like the heaviest snow / largest snowflakes occurring right before the changeover hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: I think somebody in the area has a shot at their first June 105° reading on Tuesday since this will be a 3 day heat build. The Euro was correct with the low 90s today as the GFS only had upper 80s. The heat away from the local sea breezes will begin ramping up tomorrow and build higher each day. My guess is that the best shot for 105° will be around Newark and Corona, Queens Tuesday. Maybe even an area we don’t expect further east into Nassau or NW Suffolk where the best compressional warming occurs right along the sea breeze front. I'm thinking the seabreeze on Monday afternoon knocks down the heat building effects. We are not going to see 90 degrees at 2AM early Tuesday morning like models were showing several days ago. No doubt if the Euro is right though Tuesday will be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Sundog said: I'm thinking the seabreeze on Monday afternoon knocks down the heat building effects. We are not going to see 90 degrees at 2AM early Tuesday morning like models were showing several days ago. No doubt if the Euro is right though Tuesday will be very bad. not *very bad* but a time to celebrate a once a decade occurrence! you should be a fan of weather extremes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: not *very bad* but a time to celebrate a once a decade occurrence! you should be a fan of weather extremes! If I knew for a fact their wouldn't be any power issues I would care if it got very hot every once in awhile. That's were my biggest concern lies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Sundog said: If I knew for a fact their wouldn't be any power issues I would care if it got very hot every once in awhile. That's were my biggest concern lies. it should be okay for 1 day, this is a fairly short heatwave. Con Ed really sucks though so you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Up to 91 here for a high now at 88 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 88.5, gorgeous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It's 91 here right now. Doesn't feel too bad out there with dewpoints in the low 60s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: It's 91 here right now. Doesn't feel too bad out there with dewpoints in the low 60s. Im heading to piscataway now. Ill see if I can feel the 2° difference lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, FPizz said: Im heading to piscataway now. Ill see if I can feel the 2° difference lol LOL. Yeah my location a little west of NYC is always one of the warm spots. We hit 92 a little while ago. Have a good time in Piscataway tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: LOL. Yeah my location a little west of NYC is always one of the warm spots. We hit 92 a little while ago. Have a good time in Piscataway tonight! Thanks. I grew up there and moved away only 9 years ago. Im still there often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: LOL. Yeah my location a little west of NYC is always one of the warm spots. We hit 92 a little while ago. Have a good time in Piscataway tonight! you probably get a lot more snow than NYC too lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago moosonee canada south of hudson bay will be in the 50's on tuesday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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