Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,955
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gajax93
    Newest Member
    Gajax93
    Joined

Central PA Spring 2025


Recommended Posts

Warm/hot weather lovers...it's coming: (from MU)

Fortunately, the large-scale weather pattern will do a "complete 180" during the first week of June. The high-latitude blocking that developed over Greenland during the middle of May will finally vanish in the next 7 days. As a result, the persistent trough, or dip in the Jet Stream, over the eastern United States and pattern of slow-moving, upper-level lows will be replaced by faster, zonal (west-to-east) flow and even a subtle northward bulge in the Jet Stream. A subsequent warming trend will take place from Monday through at least the middle of next week, and it could be a big one. The week will probably kick off on a sunny but rather cool note with high temperatures in the mid 70s, but southwesterly flow on the backside of a high pressure system over the western Atlantic should return by the middle of the week and boost highs back into the 80s by Tuesday. While uncertain, the mercury may even make a run at the 90-degree mark at least once or twice between next Wednesday and Saturday. In addition, the large-scale subsidence, or sinking motion, associated with the high pressure system should promote much drier/brighter conditions and spell an end to our soggy pattern. However, dewpoints could climb into the uncomfortable 60s or perhaps even low 70s later in the week, so steamy/sultry conditions may replace unseasonably chilly ones within the span of just 3-5 days.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Low of 52 with .23” of rain. Doubt the temp budges much today. This was a pretty big forecast miss with regard to timing. I checked every single model yesterday and I don’t think a one of them had rain moving in as early as last evening, nor did they have me getting anywhere close to a quarter inch prior to 6am. Consensus was rain moving in during the pre-dawn to early morning hours. That’s wildly off for being less than 24 hours out. Anyway, should be a nice miserable walk into the capital city this morning. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 52 with .23” of rain. Doubt the temp budges much today. This was a pretty big forecast miss with regard to timing. I checked every single model yesterday and I don’t think a one of them had rain moving in as early as last evening, nor did they have me getting anywhere close to a quarter inch prior to 6am. Consensus was rain moving in during the pre-dawn to early morning hours. That’s wildly off for being less than 24 hours out. Anyway, should be a nice miserable walk into the capital city this morning. 

I got up yesterday and saw that Elliott was predicting that rain would arrive in Lanco just after the evening commute. I had to do a double take to verify that he meant yesterday. At any rate, not sure what he saw but he said we'd be wet by 9pm. Rain started at my house at 8:45pm. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

So far in East Nantmeal we have received 0.17" of rain. Over a half inch has already fallen across southern areas of Chester County and down into Northern Maryland. We all should see upwards of another inch of rain today with very chilly temperatures remaining in the mid to upper 50's. This could be yet another top 5 low max temperature this afternoon for some stations in the county. We look to dry out a bit on Thursday before more shower chances arrive tomorrow night into Friday. We should clear it up by later Saturday, but we should see it continued below normal temperatures to close out the month. Of note May appears likely to finish with below normal temperatures for the County. This will mark the 4th below normal month in the last 6 months with December, January, February and now May featuring colder than normal average temperatures.

image.png.a66903baf1ce50b2ebbdadad4e5f30a2.pngimage.thumb.png.ee330abfc1dbf206f34c5f1c4f9c4117.png
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, canderson said:

Signs heat arrives by next weekend and not really leaving. Above normal temps for the summer it seems are likely. 

I said to the wife this morning that we do extremes quite well here. Told her that once the pattern flips we'll probably go extended dry and warm/hot.

Not that I'm complaining about it. Just that it probably happens... :D

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I said to the wife this morning that we do extremes quite well here. Told her that once the pattern flips we'll probably go extended dry and warm/hot.

Not that I'm complaining about it. Just that it probably happens... :D

Bring on that much needed heat we been missing and those sultry dewpoints as well.

200.webp

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I got up yesterday and saw that Elliott was predicting that rain would arrive in Lanco just after the evening commute. I had to do a double take to verify that he meant yesterday. At any rate, not sure what he saw but he said we'd be wet by 9pm. Rain started at my house at 8:45pm. 

Oh wow, good on him.  I was just speaking to model-gazing, but that's why he's a pro.  It does look like he's had to up his predicted amounts substantially.  It looks like the record min max for MDT of 57 from 1996 has a chance to go down, although the station has spiked to 55 recently.  I'll have to check the flight log. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Oh wow, good on him.  I was just speaking to model-gazing, but that's why he's a pro.  It does look like he's had to up his predicted amounts substantially.  It looks like the record min max for MDT of 57 from 1996 has a chance to go down, although the station has spiked to 55 recently.  I'll have to check the flight log. 

Yep. His original call was for .50" - 1.00" of rain which he doubled this morning.

Just hit 1.00" of rain at home. Not sure I'll add more than another couple of tenths. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...