SnoSki14 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No snowstorms on the models. Hope we don't waste this pattern. They might not show up until we get closer in. 13/14 was like that We just need rains to break the dry spell first. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No snowstorms on the models. Hope we don't waste this pattern. No use looking out past 5 days for an actual storm. Lets just keep a decent pattern and see what materializes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 30 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No snowstorms on the models. Hope we don't waste this pattern. Didn't go down that rabbit hole. You should know better than that. How many times have we had snowstorms on the models for 2-3 weeks out and then they are gone? Pull it together..lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 32 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No snowstorms on the models. Hope we don't waste this pattern. There are definitely signs of some stuff coming down the pipe. I don’t think you’ll necessarily see it Show up 12 days out. 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 11 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We talking about Dec in here, not the entire season, and the pattern is cold and dry first half. If frozen crabgrass lawns tickle some then the bar is set very, very low. You can get rather potent N stream systems appear with relatively short lead times. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There are definitely signs of some stuff coming down the pipe. I don’t think you’ll necessarily see it Show up 12 days out. Ninjaed. Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You can get rather potent N streams systems appear with relatively short lead times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Well, its time....F5 already fired up and now time to invoke Wxbell. Looks like game-on for at least a while here in the early season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You can get rather potent N stream systems appear with relatively short lead times. For Interior and ematt, sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: For Interior and ematt, sure. Right....the coast and the interior. That about covers it. Is there an underground world that I'm not privy to, which is immune to Miller B systems? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Right....the coast and the interior. That covers it. Is there an underground world that I'm not privty to that is immune to Miller B systems? Ematt covers the entire coast? News to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 oh yea…that’s right. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ematt covers the entire coast? News to me. South coast climo is void of Miller B impact?? News to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: South coast climo is void of Miller B impact?? News to me. Didn’t say it was. But claiming interior and ematt “covers it all” is lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Who knows, maybe it could be cold and dry, but as the ridge moves further west, that does open up the door for chances after the 5-6 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Didn’t say it was. But claiming interior and ematt “covers it all” is lol. You implied as much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 We need a seperate seasonal banter thread for all of the neurotic, fatalistic defense mechanisms born of the past several seasons of trauma that are sure to foster incessant bickering. 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You implied as much. I did not. Ridge is too far east for my liking initially. Resorts build a pack from upslope and the center of the universe can sneak in a late bloomer. I’ve been pretty clear about this. Need pac ridge more west and ease up on the atl. Then non ematt like Wolfie can prepare to rev up their sleds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: For Interior and ematt, sure. You did. Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I did not. Ridge is too far east for my liking initially. Resorts build a pack from upslope and the center of the universe can sneak in a late bloomer. I’ve been pretty clear about this. Need pac ridge more west and ease up on the atl. Then non ematt like Wolfie can prepare to rev up their sleds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Man, I like the angle of the dangle....that PV is oriented right in our direction. Definitely going to at least feel wintry. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Euro looks much more realistic now...1-3" for N ORH hills and maybe 2-5" in the Berkshires before the turkey day rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Look like phases 1/2 as we start January, albeit not too strong of a wave. I think Ninas typically are colder December into the first half of January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Looks like I will clearly be too warm for December, but hopefully I'm not wrong about January, as I felt that would be the best month going in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ridge is too far east for my liking initially. Resorts build a pack from upslope and the center of the universe can sneak in a late bloomer. I’ve been pretty clear about this. Need pac ridge more west and ease up on the atl. Then non ematt like Wolfie can prepare to rev up their sleds. Luke, I understand that concern...if you had included that in the intial response, then I would have reacted differently. I have 3 little ones with a 4th imminent, so I'm not that engaged on here when its quiet. I have no clue what you have or haven't been clear about. It looked to me just like a butt-hurt, eastern Mass envy post. I agree that its not perfect, but we have a fighting chance, which is a welcomed change from the past two seasons and really the majority of the past decade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 After the 5th I think the ridge placement on the mean looks good. Granted GFS has it more girthy into the Plains, but after the 7-8 that changes too. That’s not a suppression look. Could the PV come south and squash? Maybe? But man I’ll take that look any day over the garbage we have had since 2011 aside from a week or two here or there. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 If that ridge goes west into western AK then you have Ginxy rubbing it out to the EPO index as Cleveland west gets buried. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: There are definitely signs of some stuff coming down the pipe. I don’t think you’ll necessarily see it Show up 12 days out. I agree. the reason why these patterns can appear cold and dry for a time before threats pop up is because of setups like this... this is the type of vort that can easily trend more amped and lead to miller B or strong clipper 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If that ridge goes west into western AK then you have Ginxy rubbing it out to the EPO index as Cleveland west gets buried. epOoooooo Noooooo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: I agree. the reason why these patterns can appear cold and dry for a time before threats pop up is because of setups like this... this is the type of vort that can easily trend more amped and lead to miller B or strong clipper And trust me, lord knows I can be negative so if I see something crappy I’ll call it out with no hesitation. But I don’t see that currently after next week. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: epOoooooo Noooooo!!! LOL it’s so true though. It’s a cold index, but when it comes to storms it’s much more precarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Just now, CoastalWx said: LOL it’s so true though. It’s a cold index, but when it comes to storms it’s much more precarious. we've seen that Rex block look with a monster -EPO trapping a black hole over San Fran multiple times over the last few years. sickening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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