pasnownut Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 1 minute ago, paxpatriot said: Sterling up with WWA’s and WSW’s on the Maryland side. Definitely one of my pet peeves is when they don’t communicate/coordinate, and end up looking stupid. and THATS the big rub for many of us CTP'rs...sterling taunton, mt holly all post perty colors all AROUND us well in advance, while we wait to see what color we get....if any. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 The 12z RAP has a similar look to the HRRR through the end of its run. Correct me if I'm wrong, because I wasn't following the models closely the last few days, but would this not be quite the early score for the NAM in leading the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 What is the blizzard threshold? Might get it if the winds are not higher than 35 gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 11 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I'm wondering if this will changeover sooner than expected overnight. need quicker transfer to coastal to get column to cool. slower transfer is kiss of death. and thats a tough one, as we've been burnt far too many times waiting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The 12z RAP has a similar look to the HRRR through the end of its run. Correct me if I'm wrong, because I wasn't following the models closely the last few days, but would this not be quite the early score for the NAM in leading the way? Yesterday’s 18Z NAM was the first model to show the southern solution. So you’re correct. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Nam just a smidge faster at hour 18 but fairly similar so far. Pillow just changed to snow at this hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Low of 34 here with .01" of rain. Could we be in for a proper NAM'ing here at 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 989 Deepening low in the Chessie at 9Z. About 2/3 of the LSV over to snow. SE still rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Nam will be better down here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Very Heavy snow for parts of Eastern PA at rush hour...moving fast though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Moving a little faster than 6z, so that will limit amounts I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Very Heavy snow for parts of Eastern PA at rush hour...moving fast though. Ninja'd! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 2M Temps 32-34 where it is snowing (Nam12Z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Still great imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Double digits for some of the Lanco crew. Too fast of a movement for me out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 NAM is rock steady. A wee bit colder which is good but very quick hitter. It's gonna be all about the THUMP. Got to get it while the gettin's good. Should be a fun few hours tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3k should be decent again too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 3k should be decent again too. 3K really shows elevation dependence so think it will be quite a bit lower for valley locales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Fast movement on 3k limits totals down here vs 6z, but still 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 12z NAM kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 12z 3km NAM 10:1 and kuchera snow maps 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 For the record, no headline currently for Lancaster with impacts modeled within 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 3k and 12k are still world's apart with southern totals. Again, how much white rain falls? Elevation, as always, will help tremendously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Very broad swath of accumulation on those NAM maps. That’s good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: 3k and 12k are still world's apart with southern totals. Again, how much white rain falls? Elevation, as always, will help tremendously. Based on both NAM maps, if a forecaster said 2-5” for Lancaster/MDT/York that would probably be fine. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Have to keep laughing at these Franklin County depictions on the 3k, lol. People in the snow hole can walk a block or two to find 2-3 inches of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 Id imagine come midday NWS CTP likely will do WWA for Adams, York, Lancaster for a broad 2-5” and Cumberland, Dauphin and Lebanon WSW for 4-7” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: 3k and 12k are still world's apart with southern totals. Again, how much white rain falls? Elevation, as always, will help tremendously. Its all about rates with that deformation band. If it is puking 2 to 3 inch per hour, it is going to accumulate and fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 12, 2024 Share Posted February 12, 2024 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Based on both NAM maps, if a forecaster said 2-5” for Lancaster/MDT/York that would probably be fine. Lanco's forecaster said not to believe the models.....so don't . Truth told, this one has been a nail biter for some time, notsomuch trackwise or evolution, but as we lack antecedent cold, and the waiting game can be tough thermally down here. We know that all too well. Whether lanco gets into the goods or not, many just to our north and west should enjoy an nice event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now