Festus Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 26 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: It used to be November was the cloudiest month. About a third of the way down... Pennsylvania Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (United States) - Weather Spark 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 33 degrees yesterday morning, 33 degrees this morning. The high yesterday was 37 degrees. Not a whole lot of movement temperature wise. Did I mention cloudy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 The 0z global ensembles all continue the good pattern change by the 13th/14th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 We will end our cloudy January today. I will post the East Nantmeal Twp. and combined All Chester County climate data tomorrow. However, we will end the month with a much colder January then last year with most stations across the county averaging 6 to 8 degrees colder than 2023 (of course last year was the warmest Jan on record!). We will finish January about 1" below average snowfall for the month... but it will be our 3rd snowiest January in the last 10 years and 4th wettest on record. Dry weather for much of the next week with tomorrow being our warmest day with temps well into the 40's. Records for today: High 65 (1916) / Low minus 4.8 (2019) / Precipitation 1.25" (1914) / Snow 4.3" (2021) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 It used to be November was the cloudiest month.The strangest thing about our mini drought this summer is just how cloudy it was during it. I never saw so many cloudy, heck even light misting, days without any kind of substantial rainfall. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 A low of just 35 here after a high of 38 yesterday. Foggy this morning as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 47 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: A low of just 35 here after a high of 38 yesterday. Foggy this morning as well. Low of 34 but didn't encounter any fog on my way to the train station. Nice boring stretch of weather ahead. Presque Isle, ME coming in with the national low of -20. High was 83 at Glamis, CA. Carry on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Had some flurries here but sky is clearing now. 36. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Low of 34 but didn't encounter any fog on my way to the train station. Nice boring stretch of weather ahead. Presque Isle, ME coming in with the national low of -20. High was 83 at Glamis, CA. Carry on.Top 5 boring stretch of the year. I still have nothing on my 10 day that hints of rain or snow. Going to end up with 2 weeks of bone dry weather. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Top 5 boring stretch of the year. I still have nothing on my 10 day that hints of rain or snow. Going to end up with 2 weeks of bone dry weather. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk That's fine by me. My yard really needed to dry out. Now, as for late February into early March, let's get rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 I am a very happy fan of the team that my avatar represents this morning. This has been a long time coming. When I was growing up in the 1970s, every MLB team wanted to be like Baltimore..."The Orioles Way" was what it was referred to. The franchise that was run right and played the game right. That started fading in the 1980s... Baltimore, and it's baseball fans have deserved so much better for years, and today marks a new beginning with new hope a whole lot to look forward to with the talent that has been assembled. I wasn't sure I'd be around to say that I'm proud of my team again. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 I am a very happy fan of the team that my avatar represents this morning. This has been a long time coming. When I was growing up in the 1970s, every MLB team wanted to be like Baltimore..."The Orioles Way" was what it was referred to. The franchise that was run right and played the game right. That started fading in the 1980s... Baltimore, and it's baseball fans have deserved so much better for years, and today marks a new beginning with new hope a whole lot to look forward to with the talent that has been assembled. I wasn't sure I'd be around to say that I'm proud of my team again. Do we know the two who made the purchase? I'd be awful hesitant of any pride until I knew the fiber of the new head. It could be a Rooney type whom everybody admires. It could be a tight ass like Nutting whom everybody seems to hate. Or it could be Dan Snyder. I was surprised to see the Birds sell. Makes sense, gorgeous ballpark, rich tradition, team with the most upside in baseball currently and probably the largest open championship window (aside from the Dodgers and Braves), all of which make the price tag a nice amount. Have a shock losing season due to injuries or MLB screwing with the baseball and that valuation goes down a mil or two. Now just have to win a playoff game.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Just now, Atomixwx said: Do we know the two who made the purchase? I'd be awful hesitant of any pride until I knew the fiber of the new head. It could be a Rooney type whom everybody admires. It could be a tight ass like Nutting whom everybody seems to hate. Or it could be Dan Snyder. I was surprised to see the Birds sell. Makes sense, gorgeous ballpark, rich tradition, team with the most upside in baseball currently and probably the largest open championship window (aside from the Dodgers and Braves), all of which make the price tag a nice amount. Have a shock losing season due to injuries or MLB screwing with the baseball and that valuation goes down a mil or two. Now just have to win a playoff game. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I can only go by what I've read...I realize it's a risky proposition to make a statement like I did until there's evidence confirming it. I guess maybe I'm being naïve but I feel like this HAS to be a good move. Hey...Cal's a minority owner. It does sound like the wallet will be wide open. There is going to be no fear of spending which the Angelos family did NOT want to do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 12Z GFS has another bowling ball rainstorm turned snowstorm, like it did yesterday...different time frame though. Some very large-scale synoptic changes on each run right now so just for entertainment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 LR 12Z GFS also looking interesting as we head toward V-Day. Trough coming out of Voyager land and headed toward the southeast. An eventual Gorilla in the Gulf forms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 LR 12Z GFS also looking interesting as we head toward V-Day. Trough coming out of Voyager land and headed toward the southeast. An eventual Gorilla in the Gulf forms. This is going to send everybody to the counter to turn dollar bills into poker chips for the "All-in" moment. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Looks like it just missed a phase and escapes a bit too soon for PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 12Z GFS has another bowling ball rainstorm turned snowstorm, like it did yesterday...different time frame though. Some very large-scale synoptic changes on each run right now so just for entertainment. Can you imagine the pounding that depicts with the snow and wind. We would finally have blizzard conditions that verify and I would be outside for the worst of it till I couldn't feel anything. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Can you imagine the pounding that depicts with the snow and wind. We would finally have blizzard conditions that verify and I would be outside for the worst of it till I couldn't feel anything. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It would be a very wet snow as depicted. Paste bomb! Temps are 33-37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 It would be a very wet snow as depicted. Paste bomb! Temps are 33-37. A 3"+/hr wet bombSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 Imagine it just raining, people not taking it seriously, then.....2 hours later, 6" of white pasted everywhere, 40mph winds causing power/tree havoc, and traffic Armageddon. It's been a while since we've had that type of storm. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: Imagine it just raining, people not taking it seriously, then.....2 hours later, 6" of white pasted everywhere, 40mph winds causing power/tree havoc, and traffic Armageddon. It's been a while since we've had that type of storm. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk At least one GFS per week tries to please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 At least one GFS per week tries to please! By law of large numbers one has to be right eventually Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 4 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: By law of large numbers one has to be right eventually Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk That is the motto for the people that manage the Navy NoGaps/Navgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 That is the motto for the people that manage the Navy NoGaps/Navgem. Why do they still run thatSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: Why do they still run that Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk That is their other motto when at the bar after work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 How many of the 12Z Ensemble products had a better pattern at 384? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 How many of the 12Z Ensemble products had a better pattern at 384? I will blame freezing rain at 20 degrees on youSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 How many of the 12Z Ensemble products had a better pattern at 384? I irrationally want to suplex that guy through the ice every time I see him. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 31, 2024 Share Posted January 31, 2024 The reversal/tanking of the SOI continues to gain steam. The negative daily values the last few days are easily the most negative of the whole winter season. Much more in line of what is typically seen during Nino’s of stronger magnitude. And as such, the MJO forecasts continue to look set up for an eventual 8-1-2 run after its loop around in 7 the next several days. Further aligning signals are the currently very positive NAO/AO reversing and eventually developing a stronger +PNA and -EPO. Indications for a pattern shift to favor a more wintry regime in the eastern US later in Feb are strong. I said the other day I favored V-day onward for this to start talking hold and that’s about the consensus of most other folks that talk pattern here and in other sub forums. So I don’t really have much to add in that regard that hasn’t been already discussed and mapped out daily. So with that said, I feel like people’s expectations and patience could be tested in the interim. The opening 10 to possibly up to 15 days of the month look really warm.. a necessary evil unfortunately as the trough starts west and eventually shifts to set up shop in the east near the end of the regular operational ensemble guidance range as we build more Greenland ridging in the NAO realm and Western US/E pac ridging in the PNA/EPO realm. Once the influence of whatever ends up spinning around the SE coast early next week moves away, there’s going to be a period of more significant ridging and + temps that take over for a time as a trough first sets up in the west and + heights are able to build the rest of the way into the East. Here’s how we look on the ensembles the next 14 days… Week 1, stupid warm in central Canada and the northern US Week 2, warmth centered more east with western trough I’m only going to D14 with these here, but when you use the full 15-16days in the ensembles, you can see those + anomalies start fading on those temp anomaly averages (I’m using 7 day average here)… as that’s the period where models are starting to indicate the pattern shift taking hold in the east. This pattern change is a matter of when and not if, IMO.. so what we’ll be trying to nail down the next week or so is how fast/slow this occurs. I think there’s still much TBD with respect to that, since the more wholesale shift is still mostly out past D10 on guidance. This change could even come faster, but it might not… which is why I mentioned it could test people’s patience/expectations. Especially if we line up a storm window within a few days either side of Valentine’s Day and we’re not quite there yet to give many folks a widespread snow event out of it, for example. So we’ll see.. I am certainly positive on the prospects of a good later season winter run, but keeping expectations in check. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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