pasnownut Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Some crud forming off way out ahead of the frontal outflow - not sure what that means honestly this mornings view of some mesos showed a couple lines forming, but wasnt a strong look as most showed the main show for dinner time taking center stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Looks like the baby bow echo is formed along the state line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Some crud forming off way out ahead of the frontal outflow - not sure what that means honestly How strong is our low level jet?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Rain aplenty here which is great rain on rain action after Friday. No winds or other severe issues yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: How strong is our low level jet? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Mobile so limited capability to check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Mobile so limited capability to check This has to remind you of some Texas days where shit just takes off and spins at the slightest nudgeSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 minute ago, canderson said: Mobile so limited capability to check 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 Just now, Jns2183 said: This has to remind you of some Texas days where shit just takes off and spins at the slightest nudge Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Every 2nd and 3rd week in April - absolutely It’s raining here lightly. Way out ahead of any severe stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Thank you - you get today’s Gold Star! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Line from Bedford to Romney getting a slight bow look to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 18Z HRRR. Faily thick line for that high dBZ's. Tornado watch up for the LSV if it was not mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Line from Bedford to Romney getting a slight bow look to it This is the main show I suspect Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 You can see the squall line beginning to take form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: This is the main show I suspect Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Agree, that was my insinuation/thought as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, Newman said: You can see the squall line beginning to take form Yep. Was thinking the same thing a few minutes ago at last look. Not diggin it, and if the mesos are right that bow is over my head at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 I’m an idiot and can’t read skew charts. Can someone look at MDT and see what the shear value is currently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Good bit of discrete cellular stuff firing from the ridge and valley eastward in the corridor of PA where the sun really came out this afternoon. Parameters (bulk shear/BRN) are very favorable for such things in all of C-PA today. Helicity values aren’t super noteworthy but they aren’t zero either, and that coupled with the best CAPEs being right up the whole Sus Valley currently means an area of 1-2 EHI values. Spin-ups are definitely possible just about anywhere. Tornado warnings now in northern Lycoming with a pair of decent looking couplets on BGM radar. The cell previously responsible for the tor warning in State College still looks pretty strong as it heads toward Sunbury. Everything severe is on the table today (esp severe wind) but I think the tornado/hail threat probably maximizes with the discrete stuff developing up front. This likely switches to a more clustered and/or linear type deal as we get into the late afternoon/ early evening and all those storms traversing WV/western MD and the Pa southern tier push into the Sus Valley. Of particular note there is the solidifying line from Bedford/Fulton south into MD/WV. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Skies starting to look kinda angery around here, but my expectations are low. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m an idiot and can’t read skew charts. Can someone look at MDT and see what the shear value is currently? Is this what you are looking for....between 40 and 50 closer to 50. Pretty darn high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 10 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m an idiot and can’t read skew charts. Can someone look at MDT and see what the shear value is currently? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Haha, 3500 cape and 40-50kt shearSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coop_Mason Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Line from Bedford to Romney getting a slight bow look to it Lots of damage in Fairfield area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Well that was a disappointment. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Is that lapse rate 8.0?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 Thanks all. Primed and loaded. That line coming out west is CRAWLING too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Coop_Mason said: Lots of damage in Fairfield area Warning text for Hagerstown cited tennis ball sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Coop_Mason said: Lots of damage in Fairfield area We missed all of that. We got about 1/2" rain (HGR has close to 1 1/2") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coop_Mason Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: We missed all of that. We got about 1/2" rain (HGR has close to 1 1/2") Big core formed right over town and ran up 116 to Gettysburg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Haha, 3500 cape and 40-50kt shear Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk That is a prog forecast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 That line is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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