blizzard00 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 on the conservative side with all the inconsistencies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 He said he's upping it further tomorrow morning. Its actually not all that conservative because he was going for trace-1" and 1-3" at 6 PM lol And he said he was leaning more towards one foot rather than 6 inches-- and potential to trend upward again tomorrow morning because all models were showing 1" + QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 They're not going to have much more time to wait beyond the 12Z runs... every run has started the overrunning in the MA earlier and earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Individual GFS ensembles re total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 west again. Thats the 00z GEFS btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can anyone get surface temps from the Euro for the Delmarva for me? I'd appreciate it! at hr 36 they are in the 30s above freezing. By hr 42 once steadier precip comes into the area they wet bulb down to 32 or below...the southern pt of delmarva and beaches go to 32 or below last...by hr 48 everyone is at or below frz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Individual GFS ensembles re total precip Most of those push 1" QPF well back into VA and on northward from there. Well west of OP. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Thats the 00z GEFS btw oh, lol... I thought the 3Z SREFS were in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 at hr 36 they are in the 30s above freezing. By hr 42 once steadier precip comes into the area they wet bulb down to 32 or below...the southern pt of delmarva and beaches go to 32 or below last...by hr 48 everyone is at or below frz Thanks looking like all snow! Appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Can anyone get surface temps from the Euro for the Delmarva for me? I'd appreciate it! For SBY during the height of the storm suface temps are +.9 and +.4 so 34 and 33 respectively, the last 6 hours of snow they drop below freezing. Probably a very wet snow but its probably snow at those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 oh, lol... I thought the 3Z SREFS were in They are coming in right now... out to 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Forget the Winter Storm Watches for now. Don't people in places like Long Island need to warned soon off possible coastal flooding. Am I reading this potential wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For SBY during the height of the storm suface temps are +.9 and +.4 so 34 and 33 respectively, the last 6 hours of snow they drop below freezing. Probably a very wet snow but its probably snow at those temps. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREF's still great at 03z, .5 back to Rockville, MD and up NE. All of I-95 greater than .5 at hr 60 and around .5 for DC/BAL hr 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For SBY during the height of the storm suface temps are +.9 and +.4 so 34 and 33 respectively, the last 6 hours of snow they drop below freezing. Probably a very wet snow but its probably snow at those temps. very wet snow + high winds may cause some power problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 very wet snow + high winds may cause some significant power problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 any word on euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 any word on euro ensembles? Way west of the 12z run.. supports the operational and all the other 0z shift west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You gonna make. A 6z thread? By the way, from the Other board. Euro ensembles well west of 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BOXING DAY SNOWSTORM 2010 I would just like to conclude tonights GFS run with a SNOWFALL FORECAST since coolwx finally updated the maps. So-- BASED ON 00Z GFS: @ 10:1 RATIO RIC: 8"-10" DC: 8"-10" ANNAPOLIS: 10"-12" BWI: 10"-12" PHL: 10"-15" ATLANTIC CITY, NJ: 10"-12" NYC: 12"-15" POUGHKEEPSIE, NY (35 MILES NORTH OF NYC): 17"-20" BOSTON, MASS: 10"-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 any word on euro ensembles? Supports advisory snow into that area...warning snow for PHL and northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Supports advisory snow into that area...warning snow for PHL and northeast. euro ens west of OP-- so inside BM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I feel like the HPC is entering Baghdad Bob territory. But then again I certainly understand the need to play it safe. It'll be interesting to see how long they continue to sing the same tune. POST OF THE YEAR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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