Hoosier Posted October 17, 2022 Author Share Posted October 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Still a good amount of uncertainty, but I actually am warming up to this type of scenario happening somewhere. It may be farther east in the IWX cwa though. I would even say that I don't know why there won't be snow accumulation well inland from the lake. This setup has a lot going for it and is favorable for heavy precip extending well inland, some of which will intersect with the colder bl temps. Gino brought up what happened in Buffalo in 2006, but an example closer to home is October 7-8, 2000. This airmass seems a little warmer aloft than that one, but that may be countered by it being a week and a half later in the month with somewhat cooler water temps now... in other words, perhaps the airmass doesn't have to be as cold. That one produced a localized 6" in Peotone, IL with amounts trending down as you got closer to the lake. Could this be like an eastward displaced version of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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