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Central PA Summer 2022


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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

The floor guys must have seen the HRRR for this afternoon?  53 this AM.  Winter like SLP scooting just to our South Sat AM.  One more North trend and Saturday is a rain out.   Likewise, a south trend and little to no rain Sat.

53 here for the low, the airmass has a fall feel to it this morning.

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11 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Nws has me in the 60% chance of showers this afternoon. The te and carpet people are really downplaying the event.

Maybe they are putting some hardwood in today and are wish casting the rain away?  Has WHTM relented off their mainly dry?  Seems the rain today could be pop up like so not everyone scores most likely.  Sat would be a great event if we get one more jump north.  It has been trending north the last few days. 

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CTP has upped the rain chances today for my area.

Today
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. 
Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

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12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Showers over the Alleghenies this morning will rotate west and south. Additional, widespread, showers and a few thunderstorms will form this afternoon and last into the evening hours. The showers will dissipate later this evening.

Speaking of AFD's just noticed CTP is actually suggesting the Saturday SLP comes farther north.  This is one heck of a great dry pattern.

All medium range guidance supports a return to more humid
and unsettled conditions this weekend into early next week, as
a deep southwest flow develops ahead of a slow-moving upper
trough approaching from the midwest. Model consensus tracks a
lead shortwave over our region Saturday, with an associated
weak surface low passing just south of the state. This feature
should produce a chance of showers over central Pa, with even a
period of steadier rain possible over the southeast counties,
closest the surface low track. Scattered PM showers/tsra appear
a good bet Sunday in high pwat air mass with falling heights and
upper level diffluence ahead of upper trough.

 

 

 

 

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