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Upstate/Eastern New York- Meteorological Fall


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5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I don't know if anybody mentioned it, but 35 INCHES of rain in 24 hours in a city in Italy?!?! Yowzers!

Extreme rainfall in Liguria, Italy breaks Europe record | AccuWeather

So now in the last 6 years, they broke the all time 24 hour snowfall record and put up an incredibly respectable 12 hour rainfall record now too.  You don't think of Italy when you think of extreme weather, but here we are.  

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36 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I don't know if anybody mentioned it, but 35 INCHES of rain in 24 hours in a city in Italy?!?! Yowzers!

Extreme rainfall in Liguria, Italy breaks Europe record | AccuWeather

Extreme events are becoming more common. But then again in the grand scheme of things we have such limited data on what weather actually occurred on this planet the last 4.5 billion years. I'm sure this planet has seen some scary ****

I wish there was a top 10 weather events ever on planet earth since it came into existence. Any guess what they would be? ^_^

1.) Meteor 65 million years ago that wiped out the entire planet

2.) 3000 foot tsunami from a giant rockslide off a mountain

3.) Ice Age that froze every piece of water on the planet

4.) 400" of rain in a few weeks. 

:lol:

 

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2 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

Im heading to the KC-Bills game and dont know if I ever felt low-mid 90s in mid October before. KC forecasted high is around 92-93F on saturday. a group of us are going down Friday-tuesday 

sunday night for the game looks cloudy with temps in the low 70s 

I'm jealous make sure to cheer us on! Biggest game of the season. 

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1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I'm jealous make sure to cheer us on! Biggest game of the season. 

Im pumped. I have seasons for Bills but cant cross the land border. Just finishing my checklist today to fly in though. Negative covid test, sign a CDC form, upload the negative test, download the arrive Canada app for my way home ect.. 

I imagine though it either gets easier in the coming months or I grow accustomed to doing this. 

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40 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

Im pumped. I have seasons for Bills but cant cross the land border. Just finishing my checklist today to fly in though. Negative covid test, sign a CDC form, upload the negative test, download the arrive Canada app for my way home ect.. 

I imagine though it either gets easier in the coming months or I grow accustomed to doing this. 

Crazy, can't just drive to a Bills game fully vaxxed or tested negative.

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51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Extreme events are becoming more common. But then again in the grand scheme of things we have such limited data on what weather actually occurred on this planet the last 4.5 billion years. I'm sure this planet has seen some scary ****

I wish there was a top 10 weather events ever on planet earth since it came into existence. Any guess what they would be? ^_^

1.) Meteor 65 million years ago that wiped out the entire planet

2.) 3000 foot tsunami from a giant rockslide off a mountain

3.) Ice Age that froze every piece of water on the planet

4.) 400" of rain in a few weeks. 

:lol:

 

My birth in 1981 leading to the demise of winter across the Northeastern United States.

#1

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Very impressive warmth this year in the eastern Great Lakes region. These graphics show rankings of temperatures for the period January 1-October 6 at select locations. What I find remarkable is back in 1998, it was just wall to wall coverage of the anomalous warmth which was at the time blamed on a "Super El Nino." Does anyone else find it weird that 20 years later, we are consistently seeing annual temperatures approach and exceed this levels year after year and there's no media coverage whatsoever? It's just like it became the "new normal" or something. Very weird.

Buffalo (Tied 2nd warmest, out of 148 years of data):

image.png.a495711ce99bd568c778cab271de2192.png

Erie (3rd warmest, out of 148 years of data):

image.png.d8c7fbde9f94514f3b5e78aaab0a8a26.png

Syracuse (5th warmest, out of 119 years of data):

image.png.de1ae553af24e384afc4c8935d3384ac.png

Edit: Also impressive to see 2020 at #4, 7 and 6 respectively across the three sites. This has to be approaching the warmest 2-year period on record.

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I'm probably dating myself with that reference to 1998. A lot of you probably weren't even alive yet. But it was like a nonstop media obsession about the so-called Super El Nino, and how warm it was with wild weather across the globe. Even SNL was doing skits on it.

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5 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Very impressive warmth this year in the eastern Great Lakes region. These graphics show rankings of temperatures for the period January 1-October 6 at select locations. What I find remarkable is back in 1998, it was just wall to wall coverage of the anomalous warmth which was at the time blamed on a "Super El Nino." Does anyone else find it weird that 20 years later, we are consistently seeing annual temperatures approach and exceed this levels year after year and there's no media coverage whatsoever? It's just like it became the "new normal" or something. Very weird.

Buffalo (Tied 2nd warmest, out of 148 years of data):

image.png.a495711ce99bd568c778cab271de2192.png

Erie (3rd warmest, out of 148 years of data):

image.png.d8c7fbde9f94514f3b5e78aaab0a8a26.png

Syracuse (5th warmest, out of 119 years of data):

image.png.de1ae553af24e384afc4c8935d3384ac.png

 

There is media coverage about it, especially with the wildfires out west and the droughts. They are more focused on the debt ceiling and covid. Global warming is the biggest issue to humans. The earth will be fine but the rate of population growth, fossil fuels and tear down of our forests I'm glad I'll be dead by the time it gets too ugly. 

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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Extreme events are becoming more common. But then again in the grand scheme of things we have such limited data on what weather actually occurred on this planet the last 4.5 billion years. I'm sure this planet has seen some scary ****

I wish there was a top 10 weather events ever on planet earth since it came into existence. Any guess what they would be? ^_^

1.) Meteor 65 million years ago that wiped out the entire planet

2.) 3000 foot tsunami from a giant rockslide off a mountain

3.) Ice Age that froze every piece of water on the planet

4.) 400" of rain in a few weeks. 

:lol:

 

5) Thei struck earth giving us the moon and tides.

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11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Good time to work on the radar as we continue this "dry spell" over the next 7-10 days...We have had "only" 0.46" through the first week of October, average is a touch over 5" for the month..

p168i (30).gif

qpf_acc.conus (12).png

And just don’t the road in Roc I have 1.74 so far this month. That storm on Sunday Monday overachieved IMB.  

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4 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I'm probably dating myself with that reference to 1998. A lot of you probably weren't even alive yet. But it was like a nonstop media obsession about the so-called Super El Nino, and how warm it was with wild weather across the globe. Even SNL was doing skits on it.

I assure you most of us are not teenagers or freshly in college. lol

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12 hours ago, DeltaT13 said:

I still wonder if this is a mixing thing.  Perhaps personnel are arriving on site around that time and zooming around in vehicles and such.  Or maybe an early FedEx plane lands and stirs things up a bit.  

A few smudge pots around an orchard is enough to modify the temp over a fairly large area, seems like its possible that the air around the airport might be susceptible to mechanical mixing factors.  It certainly wasnt too sunny yesterday so UHI effects shouldn't have been too strong.

Yes I like that idea.. it's something "out of the box".  Maybe there is construction going on in that area overnight and they have spot lights going or something?  This morning was just so weird.  Temp shot way up at 4am then hovered 3-4 degrees above control average for about 4 hours.  Previous nights in late September saw similar but rather unexplained warm spikes mainly in the overnight and early morning hours dusk to dawn.  There were many nights were KBUF was right in line with the control group (within 1 degree of average) for the entire overnight, but still a few anomaly nights in the mix.  Day time temps are generally right on average with surrounding stations both warmer and colder.  I don't even know what to make of it anymore.  Some sort of random overnight temperature contamination around the ASOS site is all I can think of.    

OCT 7 TEMP MAP.png

SEPT 19-20 DEPARTURE.png

SEPT28-29 TEMP MAP.png

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7 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I'm probably dating myself with that reference to 1998. A lot of you probably weren't even alive yet. But it was like a nonstop media obsession about the so-called Super El Nino, and how warm it was with wild weather across the globe. Even SNL was doing skits on it.

You know what the media loves... is catch words like el nino.  Yeah I remember the hype.  When it was first talked about didn't they try and say it was an effect from global warming?  What else have we had... oh the "polar vortex" they beat the heck out of that one 2014-2015.

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2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

If you want"cooler" weather go downstate lol Or interior New England..Once again eastern lakes take the brunt of it..

MaxT4_northeast (1).png

It's so ridiculous. Warmer here than D.C...... even if they have cloudcover down there, it's STILL ridiculous. I can't believe how many times it's hotter in Sizzlecuze than places hundreds of miles south.

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