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Central PA - Summer 2021


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38 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Somehow this map keeps getting worse.  Some areas of VA have no precip for 16 days.  Will call BS on that but still crazy low totals.  Convection will make this map moot for the Have's. 

 

 

My condolences to you on your CMC QPF total. Ouch!

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12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

The nooners were a two for one special at the qpf losers salad bar. 

But that little bit of precip you do get to break up the perfect game reminds me of another great moment in Pirates history for @sauss06’s viewing pleasure:

 

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25 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

No comment.

But not sure I want to add any more smokiness to the air than we already have.

Probably knocking the top off the heat potential...Bad way to do it though. 

I prefer real clouds over smoke filled ones.....better for the environment n stuff like that.

;)

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4 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Probably knocking the top off the heat potential...Bad way to do it though. 

I prefer real clouds over smoke filled ones.....better for the environment n stuff like that.

;)

Yeah, not sure I enjoy the wildfire smoke either, but I’ll take it if it means the temperature will be even 1 or 2 degrees cooler (less absurdly hot?) than it otherwise would have been.

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14 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

CTP reading American Weather again I see ;)

 

13 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

We may be armchair meteorologists but we’re the best armchair meteorologists in the land.

Outgoing shift met from CTP to incoming shift met - "you might need to issue a headline for (fill in the blank)

Incoming shift met "where are you seeing that on the models?"

Outgoing shift met "No, I read it on the weather forums...it was that Bubbler dude again"

Incoming shift met "WTF?"

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10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

Outgoing shift met from CTP to incoming shift met - "you might need to issue a headline for (fill in the blank)

Incoming shift met "where are you seeing that on the models?"

Outgoing shift met "No, I read it on the weather forums...it was that Bubbler dude again"

Incoming shift met "WTF?"

Hey CTP mets, if you’re reading this, give a shout-out to Pillow the next time it could be relevant in a forecast discussion (e.g., “a chance of showers and thunderstorms east of a Danville to Pillow line”).

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1 hour ago, TimB84 said:

Don’t mean to kill the mood, but...

10F01113-0BC5-4E8E-BD62-86C8CDE4DCA5.thumb.jpeg.ca29ecc226e4343eec4ef1567c8c6440.jpeg

its ok...next day ala GFS (and fwiw, the GFS is about 8-10 below Euro guidance for same timestamp.  Poor midwest tho.  They are just trapped under the heat blanket....sheesh

gfs_T2m_us_42.png

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The obligatory “it’s smoky out” pictures. 
 

2969A983-8961-434E-BEBA-AF300500F671.thumb.jpeg.7b657bef1b185e3fd870e6a7a3736456.jpeg
FF7F6274-ADAA-492C-9D69-4A4D7028C1B6.thumb.jpeg.d6e1a05c394814375604d25723001fc0.jpeg

 

I'm also surprised there isn't an air quality alert in this particular area. It's currently in the "Unhealthy" category with 2.5 PM at 153. Pretty rare for those type of issues around here. 

303782381_ScreenShot2021-07-20at6_46_22PM.png.0f00aa4892d91225e4cd198ebb9fe560.png

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47 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Do we have smoke/haze tomorrow too, or does it clear out some?

It looks like the HRRR smoke product works most of it out later tomorrow with the passage of the shortwave trough... at least at the low levels anyways. After the brief shortwave passage, we continue to be under the general influence of the sprawling 500mb ridge that has been sending it over here. So while it might not be the lower level stuff that is currently causing degraded air quality over a pretty widespread area of the northeastern US, we might continue to see it in the upper levels later this week. 

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1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

18Z GFS says "Sorry about the false alarm" and never once takes MDT over 90 at the 18Z hour.  Has possible 30's at the end of the run for Bradford.  The chess match continues. 

I’ll have to check it out, that Euro run was painful.

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