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This part right here....made me sick...and some people STILL won't heed the warnings...

The current track is going to bring UNSURVIVABLE surge up Barataria
and Terrebonne Bays. Much of coastal LA is just marsh so this surge
will penetrate well inland and unless you are within the Hurricane
Risk Reduction System you are putting your life in danger and do not
expect to receive any help if you are caught and cut off. This
includes both west and east of the mouth of the MS River in SELA.
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34 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Seeing some lightning off in the distance but looks to miss here just to the north..More convection in Canada probably weakens before getting here..

WUNIDS_map - 2021-08-28T230853.707.gif

WUNIDS_map - 2021-08-28T230906.214.gif

I feel like EVERY time I look at the radar this summer Southern Ontario is getting thunderstorms. It's about as guaranteed as Sizzlercuse making it 5 degrees above forecasted highs every day...

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I thought you Syracuse sizzle guys would enjoy this, from today's BGM forecast discussion:

Another big temperatures gradient expected today, from east to west:
ranging from 70-75 across the Catskills/Poconos, around 80 for the I-
81 corridor from Cortland south to Binghamton and Wilkes-
Barre...with low to mid-80s expected across the valleys of the
central souther tier, Finger Lakes and Syracuse area.
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9 hours ago, Buffalo Bumble said:


With all eyes on Ida thought I would post a pic of tropical BUF…Taken this evening from top of break wall at Outer Harbor (I paddle boarded out to it).  Water temp very warm in this area of the lake, must be upper 70’s.  

 

image.thumb.jpeg.9a6e1c09521c960098042d5a1c343a3c.jpeg

 

Beautiful....and think how beautiful it could be in 3 months when a sharp cold front crosses and there's cold unstable air rushing over it.

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146463157_COD-GOES-East-local-New_Orleans_02.20210829.121617-overmap-bars.thumb.gif.7b5ebd965bce8c558dc3f7b25e009623.gif
Some incredible imagery of IDA this morning from the visible sat, wow! Very bad situation down there and not just for NO but for pretty much everyone in the path and to the East with lots of tornadoes and water spouts so theres not much more to say other than what the Mayor just said, Shelter in Place!!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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As the day progresses the warm front will continue to push through
the remainder of our region. Instability will increase through the
afternoon hours, likely reaching 1000 to 1500 J/KG of SBCAPE.
PWATS remain high 1.5 to 2.0 inches, and winds aloft are
slightly stronger than previous days. This may bring enough
storm motion to limit higher end precipitation totals from
drenching storms. Still the threat for flooding from training
storms or backbuilding storms will need to be monitored within
this very humid airmass. Will include heavy rain from
thunderstorms within the forecast.

The other concern today will be heat index values. Dewpoints will
rise into the lower 70s for our region...to even mid 70s near Lake
Ontario. However surface temperatures will be a few degrees cooler
than recent days as we should have a fair amount of clouds around
during the day. These clouds, keeping the region generally in the
80s may be enough to keep heat index values from reaching advisory
criteria for areas along the southern Lake Ontario shoreline. None
the less, today will be again very warm and humid.

Tonight convection will briefly wane with the setting sun. A surface
low crossing central Quebec tonight will push a cold front towards
our region late tonight. Ahead of this cold front showers and
thunderstorms are expected to form with this line of storms reaching
much of the region in the last few hours of the night. The 0-6 km
bulk wind shear vectors continue to remain weak within this near
zonal flow aloft...and the primary threat for storms late tonight
will again be heavy rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
A mid level trough and associated surface low will move eastward
across central and northern Quebec Monday, with a trailing surface
cold front crossing the eastern Great Lakes. The passage of the cold
front and the southern tail of the mid level trough will still
support a likelihood of showers and scattered thunderstorms early
Monday morning across much of the area. Rain will then end from
northwest to southeast from mid morning through mid afternoon as mid
level drying and subsidence moves into the eastern Great Lakes in
the wake of the trough passage. Expect at least partial sunshine to
develop in the afternoon with the arrival of drier air. Highs will
reach the low to mid 80s on the lake plains and upper 70s across
higher terrain. Dewpoints may still be in the lower 70s early in the
morning, then start to drop back into the 60s in the afternoon as
the first installment of somewhat drier air arrives.
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3 hours ago, cny rider said:

I thought you Syracuse sizzle guys would enjoy this, from today's BGM forecast discussion:

Another big temperatures gradient expected today, from east to west:
ranging from 70-75 across the Catskills/Poconos, around 80 for the I-
81 corridor from Cortland south to Binghamton and Wilkes-
Barre...with low to mid-80s expected across the valleys of the
central souther tier, Finger Lakes and Syracuse area.

Haha...I fully expect mid to upper 80s for the Hellmouth known as Syracuse.

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