Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Gotta say the primary ticked w a bit and the words slotted and skipped started bouncing around in my noggin but ended up being music to my ears. Coastal pummels. Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Thats a good way to sign off. Getting close enough that I know its gonna snow. Tomorrow is a big day, and I'm gonna get some sleep and be ready to enjoy every minute of a hopefully memorable event. And to the night shift...if the King shits the bed, just ban me from the forum....you wont wanna hear what I have to say. I'm officially sucked in and have upped my bar to 10-14. Pushes all chips in................................... Night all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. In truth the easter solutions save our thermals in the LSV, even if it takes away from true central, its our way to the promise land here in Lanco. gnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Para jackpots mdt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Yup! Some win, some “lose” but this beats the shit outta 2020 “winter.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Some of us are just talking about depictions and not rooting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Para jackpots mdt. Do you have a map? Weatherbell does not have the Para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 CMC! 7pm Monday just massive, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 welcome to Macungie PA the Mammoth Springs Ca of the east. This snow map clearly wins the PA snow weenie award map of the decade: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. Yes, this low develops nicely to our south and stalls at the DelMarVa and then cranks well into the night on Monday into early Tuesday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Do you have a map? Weatherbell does not have the Para. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Gfs para was pretty good again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= How many DC weenies died looking at this? 20? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 Foot. I'll put that as be high mark!. It seems right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, canderson said: How many DC weenies died looking at this? 20? Ha. Dc snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Let's just go tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Here is Tom Russell (CBS 21) map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Well it’s really going to come down to low position. East, west and when does it stall. Won’t be able to nail this down till nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: Here is Tm Russell (CBS 21) map. This seems....conservative lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Tim Russell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Tim Russell? Tom. I’ve had a 6 pack of nugget nectar sue me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 * SorrryTom smell this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: This seems....conservative lol. It’s just a tad lower than NWS forecast. They have MDT at 8-12”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Until it's on the ground, Tom Russell might be correct. I think he's way underdone, especially northeast of Harrisburg, but until it's actually happening, I think we should at least be respectful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Honestly, the ONLY model currently showing anything as low as what he has on that map is the 0z 3K NAM. It's as if he doesn't think we'll get anything from the coastal out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Let's stay above the line and not tear up mets. We can end up looking mighty foolish. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Honestly, the ONLY model currently showing anything as low as what he has on that map is the 0z 3K NAM. It's as if he doesn't think we'll get anything from the coastal out this way. Yep, that's a fair assessment. Could be right..don't know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Until it's on the ground, Tom Russell might be correct. I think he's way underdone, especially northeast of Harrisburg, but until it's on the ground, I think we should at least be respectful. NE of MDT? Respectful we are I' am not but have you looked at the models today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Back in 2000 there was a Miller B that was modeled and forecast to give me 24"+ up until 8 hours before gametime. I ended up with partly cloudy skies. It was an incredible bust. It happens even when every model says it won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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