Bubbler86 Posted January 31 Just now, pasnownut said: Gotta say the primary ticked w a bit and the words slotted and skipped started bouncing around in my noggin but ended up being music to my ears. Coastal pummels. Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 31 Thats a good way to sign off. Getting close enough that I know its gonna snow. Tomorrow is a big day, and I'm gonna get some sleep and be ready to enjoy every minute of a hopefully memorable event. And to the night shift...if the King shits the bed, just ban me from the forum....you wont wanna hear what I have to say. I'm officially sucked in and have upped my bar to 10-14. Pushes all chips in................................... Night all. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. In truth the easter solutions save our thermals in the LSV, even if it takes away from true central, its our way to the promise land here in Lanco. gnight Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bubbler86 Posted January 31 Para jackpots mdt. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 31 Just now, paweather said: I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Yup! Some win, some “lose” but this beats the shit outta 2020 “winter.” 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bubbler86 Posted January 31 Just now, paweather said: I'm not sure who is rooting for the east side or west side but this is a huge event. Long duration. Some of us are just talking about depictions and not rooting. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Para jackpots mdt. Do you have a map? Weatherbell does not have the Para. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 CMC! 7pm Monday just massive, Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Albedoman Posted January 31 welcome to Macungie PA the Mammoth Springs Ca of the east. This snow map clearly wins the PA snow weenie award map of the decade: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky. Yes, this low develops nicely to our south and stalls at the DelMarVa and then cranks well into the night on Monday into early Tuesday am. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bubbler86 Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Do you have a map? Weatherbell does not have the Para. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather5 Posted January 31 Gfs para was pretty good again. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 31 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc= How many DC weenies died looking at this? 20? 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 2 Foot. I'll put that as be high mark!. It seems right now. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bubbler86 Posted January 31 Just now, canderson said: How many DC weenies died looking at this? 20? Ha. Dc snow hole. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 Let's just go tomorrow. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 31 Here is Tom Russell (CBS 21) map. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather5 Posted January 31 Well it’s really going to come down to low position. East, west and when does it stall. Won’t be able to nail this down till nowcasting. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wmsptwx Posted January 31 1 minute ago, canderson said: Here is Tm Russell (CBS 21) map. This seems....conservative lol. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 31 Just now, paweather said: Tim Russell? Tom. I’ve had a 6 pack of nugget nectar sue me lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 * SorrryTom smell this: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: This seems....conservative lol. It’s just a tad lower than NWS forecast. They have MDT at 8-12”. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31 Until it's on the ground, Tom Russell might be correct. I think he's way underdone, especially northeast of Harrisburg, but until it's actually happening, I think we should at least be respectful. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CarlislePaWx Posted January 31 Honestly, the ONLY model currently showing anything as low as what he has on that map is the 0z 3K NAM. It's as if he doesn't think we'll get anything from the coastal out this way. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31 Let's stay above the line and not tear up mets. We can end up looking mighty foolish. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Honestly, the ONLY model currently showing anything as low as what he has on that map is the 0z 3K NAM. It's as if he doesn't think we'll get anything from the coastal out this way. Yep, that's a fair assessment. Could be right..don't know yet. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 31 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Until it's on the ground, Tom Russell might be correct. I think he's way underdone, especially northeast of Harrisburg, but until it's on the ground, I think we should at least be respectful. NE of MDT? Respectful we are I' am not but have you looked at the models today? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31 Back in 2000 there was a Miller B that was modeled and forecast to give me 24"+ up until 8 hours before gametime. I ended up with partly cloudy skies. It was an incredible bust. It happens even when every model says it won't. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
