Atomixwx Posted January 26 Let's just hope this was this winter's huge, embarrassing failure and that we're not cancelling the remainder of winter by this time next week. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 The ICON for the win: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 The ICON literally snows from hour 123 to the end of the model run. You know it can't be right. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 39 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Let's just hope this was this winter's huge, embarrassing failure and that we're not cancelling the remainder of winter by this time next week. that'd be this coming Thursdays non event. Just bustin, but we've sure been tricked a few times at 7-8 days out. Hoping we can stop that trend and from what i saw overnight, the reload after the relax looks to be a decent look once again. Still beats weeks and weeks of shut the shades....I think?? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 GFS looks to be incoming @ 102. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 Sweet mother of Mary..... GO LOOK AT WHAT Z GERMANS ARE COOKING UP!!! its literally breathtaking. Watch the loop and dream a little dream..... Perfect transfer well under us, to a STALLED LP off the chesapeake (like 15hr stall). Just a pummelin verbatim. 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 GFS is not a crush job good thump but the transfer doesn't happen nicely. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gosnow Posted January 26 Wet here with what looks like some melting sleet on the deck. No snow that I saw, but as others have said, it could have been overnight when the 25 or so flakes fell. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 1 minute ago, paweather said: GFS is going to be a crush job. Looking at upper air panels the MSLP stalls and waits for the ULL to catch up, and captures it. Not sure I buy that w/ the progressive nature of systems this winter, but man I wanna believe. Loop the 500's if you want to see it. Digitally it was nice to look at. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Looking at upper air panels the MSLP stalls and waits for the ULL to catch up, and captures it. Not sure I buy that w/ the progressive nature of systems this winter, but man I wanna believe. Loop the 500's if you want to see it. Digitally it was nice to look at. Many more model runs to figure it out, for sure. *Edit - But just give me the ICON and we can call it a winter! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voyager Posted January 26 1 minute ago, paweather said: Many more model runs to figure it out, for sure. *Edit - But just give me the ICON and we can call it a winter! Yeah right...lol No amount of snow is ever enough for a snow lover... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS is not a crush job good thump but the transfer doesn't happen nicely. its just another miller B that misses the phase. Its more likely IMO (based on what we've been seeing so far this winter. More progressive, and no HP anchored to slow the flow. Icon has a 1034mb HP bouncing around to the north which might have aided in the capture it showed. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 Just now, Voyager said: Yeah right...lol No amount of snow is ever enough for a snow lover... True that. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: its just another miller B that misses the phase. Its more likely IMO (based on what we've been seeing so far this winter. More progressive, and no HP anchored to slow the flow. Icon has a 1034mb HP bouncing around to the north which might have aided in the capture it showed. Yeah happens too far north, we turn to rain with no coastal presence. OH WELL, I'll stick to the ICON for now. The ICON has been right so many times so it should be perfect. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 CMC is going to try: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 CMC at 120 is a bit north of ICON, but looking decent. 1036HP nicely placed. Thats the key for the Canook house model to show us the love. GFS doesnt have it. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voyager Posted January 26 Sorry to do this, but... Time sensitive, but it's snowing in Tucson, AZ right now... 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 CMC did it with the transfer just weaker. Well at the very least we know the signal for the storm is there. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
pasnownut Posted January 26 CMC transfers a bit later than ICON and is more progressive and keeps scooting along. I wish we could toss but I'd still take it. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Sorry to do this, but... Time sensitive, but it's snowing in Tucson, AZ right now... I almost fell over when you linked the Flaggstaff cam yesterday. I had no idea that someone else here watched Virtual Railfan like I do! Some of my favorites are from Ashland VA and of course there are 2 for Strasburg RR. (one at the station and the other at Paradise) Steve - I am a train junkie! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Voyager Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I almost fell over when you linked the Flaggstaff cam yesterday. I had no idea that someone else here watched Virtual Railfan like I do! Some of my favorites are from Ashland VA and of course there are 2 for Strasburg RR. (one at the station and the other at Paradise) Steve - I am a train junkie! Me too! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CarlislePaWx Posted January 26 @Voyager Thanks for the video. I happened to tune in about 1 minute before that several miles long train passed by. Meanwhile the wet snow kept changing intensity with even some heavy rates briefly. I took a look at your Flagstaff video also. Flagstaff averages over 100 inches of snow per season, up at 7000+ feet elevation. I visited Flagstaff back in the mid 90's. Drove up from Kingman. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: CMC transfers a bit later than ICON and is more progressive and keeps scooting along. I wish we could toss but I'd still take it. Yeah...hard to get too greedy given our recent history. I honestly thought the Canadians were going to deliver the big bag of goodies. On to the Euro... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26 #2 model for verification, the Ukie, says NO to Monday. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
canderson Posted January 26 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: #2 model for verification, the Ukie, says NO to Monday. That likely means the Euro is a miss, too. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: #2 model for verification, the Ukie, says NO to Monday. Maps? MA Forum says yes to the UK. I don't have access to it. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 OK. Euro. Don't Disappoint Please. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26 19 minutes ago, paweather said: Maps? MA Forum says yes to the UK. I don't have access to it. Admittedly, I was going off what others were saying. I can't read Ukie maps at my age. Poster in the Philly thread that no one in this area got anything. Apologize if I passed errant information! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Admittedly, I was going off what others were saying. I can't read Ukie maps at my age. Poster in the Philly thread that no one in this area got anything. Apologize if I passed errant information! No worries at all! Ten feet of mountain snow, flooding rains to hit California - The Washington Post WOW at least we know the Pacific is incoming and these shortwaves will move east. February could be rockin with something our way. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paweather Posted January 26 Didn't JB always say what latitude a shortwave came in off the pacific would be the same latitude when it reaches the East. I could be wrong but thought I heard him say that for years. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
