Prospero Posted October 4, 2020 I decided to look up "Gamma" on the internet, to see what I could learn. Now I think forever to me, "Gamma" was the tropical storm that was in early October 2020. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cptcatz Posted October 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, Prospero said: I decided to look up "Gamma" on the internet, to see what I could learn. Now I think forever to me, "Gamma" was the tropical storm that was in early October 2020. First thing I think of is the robot from the video game Sonic Adventure for Dreamcast. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted October 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, cptcatz said: First thing I think of is the robot from the video game Sonic Adventure for Dreamcast. That came up in the search results. I'm not knowin' as bout Dreamcast, but that was the most interesting of all results I think. Other than "Gamma" being the third letter of the Greek alphabet, I wish I never looked it up. TROPICAL STORM GAMMA That's it for me. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxmx Posted October 4, 2020 It's moving a bit faster than forecasted. About to get it's feet wet. I think it will get a bit farther north than the forecasted track before turning west, southwest 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted October 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, wxmx said: It's moving a bit faster than forecasted. About to get it's feet wet. I think it will get a bit farther north than the forecasted track before turning west, southwest Yea. Is it "for certain" a hard left is coming? I see the models. Not too many years ago storms would take their own path. I know technology and predictions have improved. But "for sure" a hard left? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tiger_deF Posted October 4, 2020 I'm really suprised how good Gamma looks right now with all the shear in the gulf Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxmx Posted October 4, 2020 That's because that awesome outflow channel is evacuating the upper levels of the cyclone nicely, forcing strong connection to popup over Gamma. The next 24 hours it'll see the strongest shear, relaxing a bit gradually afterwards Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sam Kane Posted October 4, 2020 Beware of Delta!! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bowtie` Posted October 4, 2020 12 hours ago, Prospero said: I decided to look up "Gamma" on the internet, to see what I could learn. Now I think forever to me, "Gamma" was the tropical storm that was in early October 2020. 100% off-topic but Gamma for me ill always be the Ronnie Montrose (RIP) band whose second album artwork is one of the all-time greatest. The sharkfins in the grass with the sun-bathing feet, fantastic. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted October 4, 2020 2 hours ago, Sam Kane said: Beware of Delta!! Gamma did not watch out for Delta this GFS run. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bdgwx Posted October 4, 2020 And on the 6Z parallel GFS it is the other way around. Gamma ends up swallowing up Delta. It does seem like odds are increasing that we see a binary interaction. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted October 4, 2020 GFS and CMC both make landfall in S MS. However they differ on timing, intensity and whether it's Delta or Gamma making landfall. One of the more interesting model wars I've seen. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted October 5, 2020 Interesting disco tonight Tropical Storm Gamma Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020 1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 04 2020 Gamma has moved much farther northeast than previously anticipated. With little in the way of low or mid-level large-scale steering flow currently in place, it seems likely that upper-level southwesterlies, also responsible for the shear affecting the tropical storm, are causing this recent northeastward motion. This may be either through reformations of the center closer to the convection or a direct contribution to the net steering. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating Gamma and so far has found max SFMR winds of 47 kt but flight level winds of only 45 kt. Given the data so far, there is no indication that Gamma is any stronger than the 50 kt intensity, but it seems prudent to let the plane finish its pattern before lowering the winds at this time. Gamma's future track is highly uncertain. The track guidance spread is much higher than usual, and confidence in the forecast is accordingly low. Most of the global models indicate that Gamma will soon begin moving generally west-southwestward as a mid-level ridge briefly builds over the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico. Unfortunately, there is little agreement on exactly when this will happen or how fast Gamma will move once it turns. After about 48 h, Gamma could interact with Tropical Depression Twenty-Six, which is forecast to move over the northwestern Caribbean Sea at that time. Current dynamical models are notoriously bad at forecasting such interactions, but if the two systems do interact it will likely cause Gamma to move inland over the Yucatan. Whether such an interaction occurs or not, continued shear and proximity to land should cause the tropical storm to gradually weaken, and Gamma could dissipate if it moves over land (and stays there) in a few days, as shown by the GFS. The ECMWF shows the vortex remaining over water but dissipating nonetheless, while a couple other global models maintain the vortex longer and show it moving north over the central Gulf of Mexico late in the forecast period. The NHC forecast is a compromise between those solutions, showing a remnant low moving north over the southern Gulf of Mexico by day 5. In general, the NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, but slightly lower to account for the system potentially moving inland. Due to the uncertainty in the forecast at this time, future advisories may feature larger than normal changes to the track or intensity forecast. It is also worth noting that several dynamical model trackers appear to lose Gamma and jump to tracking Tropical Depression Twenty-Six when it reaches the Gulf of Mexico, resulting in unrealistic depictions of the intensity and track forecasts. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Gamma is expected to produce heavy rainfall for several days over portions of southeastern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Central America, and far western Cuba. This rainfall could result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, particularly in the mountainous regions of southeastern Mexico and Central America. 2. Even though Gamma is just offshore, tropical storm conditions are likely along portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula on Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 22.8N 87.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 05/1200Z 22.7N 87.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 06/0000Z 22.3N 88.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 06/1200Z 21.8N 89.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 07/0000Z 21.3N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 07/1200Z 20.3N 90.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 08/0000Z 20.2N 90.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 09/0000Z 22.0N 90.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER 120H 10/0000Z 24.0N 91.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Zelinsky Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted October 5, 2020 What a 5 day track lol 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LawdogGRNJ Posted October 6, 2020 I shudder to think of the destruction Delta will bring considering the massive volume of water Gamma dumped on the Yucatan. Even in its post tropical state the NHC forecast calls for an additional 8 inches of rain in some regions. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CheeselandSkies Posted October 6, 2020 The subtitle of this thread did not age well... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Gelavis Posted February 19 This costed us $100 millions guys, that's pretty much! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites