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LawdogGRNJ

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Everything posted by LawdogGRNJ

  1. LawdogGRNJ
    No big surprise this storm is not getting farther north. Take a look a the monster Tuesday's snow became. Impressive.
  2. LawdogGRNJ
    Given your username, I'd expect you to be his greatest champion...lol
  3. LawdogGRNJ
    Good image of the shear map and it's affect on Lee. I'd expect reorganization and intensification after moves into more favorable conditions to the west.
  4. LawdogGRNJ
    On a (slim) positive note, Ian will wipe the FL drought map clean.... https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?FL
  5. LawdogGRNJ
    Meant to share this yesterday. This is a hyperlapse (10 seconds of video compressed into 1) I took yesterday of the "weak rotation" spotted in the cell that passed through Bloomfield NJ at 12:38 PM DST. This is looking south just as damaging winds (possible RFD?) hit my area. Thankfully, it dissipated quickly and doesn't appear to have touched ground. Fun to see, but not that close to my home. NOTE: the video was intentionally darkened to bring out the cloud details so the rotation can be seen, otherwise, the sun angle burns out the details. 20220721_123827 (1).mp4
  6. LawdogGRNJ
    The Great Ice Storm of 1998 was no joke either. 1 - 3 inches of ice in parts of NH are reported in the article, but I witnessed a few microclimate pockets first hand that saw 5+ The trees in those areas of forest that looked straight out of WW1, very surreal. Nothing but shattered trunks, if anything was still standing at all. Long days and nights of constantly crashing trees and branches.. It was a once in a lifetime event....I hope. Side note: The estimated load of one inch of icing on a 25 ft tree is 1 ton of ice. Put 3 inches of ice on a 75 tree and look out below!
  7. LawdogGRNJ
    Which coincides with the Blizzard of 1978...(snow weenie mode intensified)
  8. LawdogGRNJ
    And those were winters with record breaking snowfalls in New England...hmmmm (snow weenie mode activated)
  9. LawdogGRNJ
    A lot of comments are pointing to Henri, as the sole contributor to the wet conditions in the tri-state area prior to Ida. In reality, it was the just the last in a series of flooding rain events leading up to Ida. July 2021 was the 8th wettest on record for NJ. Rutgers has a great write-up on it recapping each event. You can find it here: https://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim/?section=menu&target=jul21 The region was already very wet, Henri just kept the party rolling.
  10. LawdogGRNJ
    Cheers neighbor. Yah, REALLY not looking forward to another hosing. Can I chose "the lotion" instead?
  11. LawdogGRNJ
    What are the odds that Ida strengthens, even just a little, when it hits the Atlantic? The regions it will be passing through are far wetter than normal and the LLC seems to be holding it together.
  12. LawdogGRNJ
    I know its just visual, but the latest satellite imagery makes Ida look like she split into two, and now has 2 LLCs, Twister (the movie) style
  13. LawdogGRNJ
    Amazing. Every sizeable burst of convection is put on the express West to Norther NJ. Guessing the west hook models where half right. The core may go north but the convection is streaming WNW Next wave due in about an hour or so.
  14. LawdogGRNJ
    Is there a non-banter thread for Henri? The tropical Headquarters thread is pretty dead.
  15. LawdogGRNJ
    Thanks!
  16. LawdogGRNJ
    What's the latest confirmed location on the LLC core? Channel 13 IR appears to have it peaking through at 30.2 N by 74W ish with the convection making a run at wrap around it. NOTE: Still learning so know visuals are often deceiving.
  17. LawdogGRNJ
    A trampoline is a horizontal sail. Your average summer thunderstorm can bounce one down the neighborhood, or send it over the trees.
  18. LawdogGRNJ
    The explosion of convection from 14:00Z to 16:00 Z is quite impressive.
  19. LawdogGRNJ
    Think you've answered your own question already...
  20. LawdogGRNJ
    Ahh, missed it in the flurry. Cheers.
  21. LawdogGRNJ
    Surprised that no one has mentioned that the next full moon is at 8:02 AM EST....on Sunday.
  22. LawdogGRNJ
    I was thinking that too, but the ensemble split has left everything such a coin toss so far. Once there's more model agreement, the page count will jump.
  23. LawdogGRNJ
    Looks like Henri is starting to move out of the stronger shear, more pinwheel than pumpkinseed. Still tilted a bit, but still traveling due west. The next 12 - 24 hrs are going to be interesting.
  24. LawdogGRNJ
    Still a learner, but what's going on with the convection exploding just north of the Lesser Antilies? Soon to be Invest 96?
  25. LawdogGRNJ
    Much of the path will still be saturated from Fred. Flooding will be a major issue, regardless of strength.
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