Thinksnow18 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: SE Ridge flipped to PAC Ridge with no cold air in sight. That has an odd look to it. One thing is guaranteed is the models are struggling like Joe Namath on Monday night football a decade or so ago talking to Suzy kolber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I mean if the PV is strong where is the cold over the arctic? And to boot there is no HP over greenland so where’d the cold go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 35 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: That has an odd look to it. One thing is guaranteed is the models are struggling like Joe Namath on Monday night football a decade or so ago talking to Suzy kolber Almost 20 years now.... "I just wanna kiss you" Lakes should open up early December for you lucky folk. Those of us in need of synoptic stuff will still need to wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 42 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I mean if the PV is strong where is the cold over the arctic? And to boot there is no HP over greenland so where’d the cold go? I think the arctic air comes mid/late December. Before then its all PAC and system generated temporary cool pockets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 Euro weeklies. I like week 4 as it allows the transport of some cold air into lower 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Looks like a little more snow for the folks to our north and west.. Canadian guidance seems a bit to"generous" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Pretty solid band of Lake effect precip over Madison county. Checked the webcams, and sure enough, it looks like a thin strip of the Canastota area is getting clobbered pretty good. Based on temps and what I've observed here, I am guessing it's heavy graupel falling there...making for easy accum. on the roads. The thruway looks dicey. Here in NW Onondaga it's the usual Yaaaaawn. Mixed light rain and graupel showers. Always thankful for webcams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 59 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think somebody asked for the EPO earlier. Here ya go. Will it ever go Negative again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 We’ve got a mixture of rain and snow here in Brewerton. Surfaces are getting covered with a slushy accumulation. The temperature has fallen all evening and currently stands at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 That GFS run was LIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think it will haha. I don’t put a ton of stock into the very long range yet. I think we’ll see a good 4-6 week period from mid-December through much of January that’s driven by the Pacific. Of course, something can be + on the means but exact location of the ridging/trough matters a lot. Our best LES events are in a -EPO - NAO. Give me that combo all day. Toss a little -AO in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Model watching season has commenced. Can only get worse from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 0z euro has a storm system come in to central NY next Monday and gives us cold rain at the moment but with a caveat...it then redeveloped east of NY and retrogrades west and delivers area wide lake enhanced snows for Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe. Something to finally watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Solid dusting of snow overnight. Probably .2"-.3" if I were dedicated enough to measure the small events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 A rather substantial lake effect band set up over me last night. Unfortunately temperatures were a degree or two too warm through most of it. Towards the end the temperature fell to 32 and we were able to get a small slushy accumulation. I measured 0.75 inch of liquid this morning. If it was all snow at lake effect ratios there might be a foot of snow on the ground this morning. As it is I measured 0.4 inch of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 This summarizes every snowfall so far this late Fall/early winter...the snow hole of Northwestern Onondaga... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 True Miller A out of the gulf we have here, just misses phasing in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Either way some fun stuff to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Miller A? What are those? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Just now, vortmax said: Miller A? What are those? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 So the 12z GFS...well...would be a monster if this scenario bears out...and shifts about 100 miles East...for the November 30th December 1st timeframe...queue whoever can post it because I’m useless in this area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 22 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: So the 12z GFS...well...would be a monster if this scenario bears out...and shifts about 100 miles East...for the November 30th December 1st timeframe...queue whoever can post it because I’m useless in this area... GGEM shows the same thing. More lake effect to follow after 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2020 Author Share Posted November 24, 2020 Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sarcasm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Yup fun times on the Canadian especially for wny.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yup fun times on the Canadian especially for wny.. Lock this in, two days of sw flow lake effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 Now we wait all week and see what happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 26 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GGEM shows the same thing. More lake effect to follow after 240. We might have something here fellow weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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