Call maps for christmas storm

[deltadog03]

deleted...new one coming soon.

[downeastnc]

I will take it

[Itunis]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Putting a lot of weight on the Euro it seems. Looks good (though the weenie inside me wants numbers!)

[ICEAGE NOW]

Looks good !

I'm in the bulls eye, bring it on !

[tgarren]

hey deltadog hope you don't mind, i took your map and tried to make it pretty. if you wanna use it that would be cool with me. be glad to do this for other mets if graphics are not their specialty.

[deltadog03]

Cool, thanks!! I like making graphics, but don't have a good system to use.

[tgarren]

Cool, thanks!! I like making graphics, but don't have a good system to use.

try out gimp its pretty neat and has most the features of photoshop. should run on just about any system.

http://www.gimp.org/

love you map since i am pretty much in what appears to be the bullseye haha!

[WidreMann]

try out gimp its pretty neat and has most the features of photoshop. should run on just about any system.

http://www.gimp.org/

love you map since i am pretty much in what appears to be the bullseye haha!

He said he wanted a *good* system to use.

[eyewall]

DELETED UPDATED LATER IN THREAD.

[tgarren]

He said he wanted a *good* system to use.

if you cant make decent looking weather maps with gimp than it is you that sucks not the system. could use inkscape as well the vector tools it has are quite better than GIMP. certainly alot better than using mspaint

[deltadog03]

map change coming later...will look much different, with accum...

[eyewall]

DELETED SEE LATER POST.

[deltadog03]

Sorry this took so long to get put up....

[kanc2001]

^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Ill take it

[superjames1992]

Looks good, Delta!

I made this preliminary call map last night. It's outdated now, but I'll post it nonetheless. I'll try to make another after the 0z model runs tonight. I'm sure it will still suck, though,

[rosie]

Thanks! Have a super Christmas!

[Snow haven]

wow now those two maps are totally different. I dont know about the snow going all the way down to florida?

[deltadog03]

More than likely just some flurries into the northern portions of Florida...Not really going to be that big of a deal in that lightest shade of blue.

[magpiemaniac]

Sorry this took so long to get put up....

Thanks for the update. If this verifies IMBY, I'll send you a ham.

[superjames1992]

wow now those two maps are totally different. I dont know about the snow going all the way down to florida?

Mine is from last night before the awesome model runs that happened today (I forgot to post it here). I will revise mine up more tonight, probably.

[eyewall]

DELETED UPDATED BELOW

[deltadog03]

Looks good bud!!! Someone will get lolipopped with over 10"

[FoothillsNC]

On the RUC, its becoming obvious I think that this southern stream system isnt' going to bypass us to the south. Long story short, on the last panels you can clearly see full phase and negative tilt shortwave trough well west into Louisian and southern Mississippi. If the RUC is right, a tremendous explosion of moisture is going to expand over Alabama, all of GA, eastern Tennessee, and all the Carolinas by late Saturday. A good bulk of the southeast. Surface low should begin sudden dropping and bombing in the Northeast Gulf tomorrow evening, spreading very heavy snow from eaastern Alabama across Atlanta ( should be start as rain, quickly to snow due to evap cooling and intense rates) and just west of Columbia and Fayetteville, up to RDU . The snow shield will become an axis of heavy rates along the northwest flank, roughtly I-85 corridor and as the low deepens to near 1000 mb around the Florida panhandle, the extreme divergence and cold conveyor belt processess will create heavy banding with Thundersnow possible near the immediate north side of the dissolving phasing Vort, probably near ATL and western SC. As the low deepens into the 995 mb or so along the coast of Georgia , the axis of heavy snow is covering most of the Carolinas and eastern Tennesse (i'm going further west based on RUC and trends), while the eastern sections near the coast have rain and sleety/ mixing will get close to 95 over night, but all heavy wet snow just west of there and the inverted trough is already showing up along the Savannah River Valley for the Upstate and Foothills/western Piedmont, where the inflection point and upper dynamics cause stationary bands of heavy snow all night. An 850 low develops in western South Carolina which usually creates high snow fall rates as well through cyclonic pva aloft and excellent dynamics (thundersnow possible)

By morning, the snow may still be going if the 5H cuts off over the Tennessee Valley, meanwhile this stalls and deepens the coastal along the Outter banks, or possibly just inland. Extremely heavy snow for eastern Carolinas at that time, with winds increasing, and any areas that changed to rain or mix, go back to heavy snow. The storm deepens and slowly crawls the coast as a blizzard.

Snow totals should be hefty and even some accumulations near the Florida border is possible. Some areas of the piedmont and coastal plain of Georgia and the Carolinas probably are going to exceed 10"

This is the most dynamic setup for the Southeast as far as snow and wind potential in a long time, and some analogs are January 22, 1987. Its rare to have a 500 mb system cutoff so far south, see a phasing of the streams, negative tilt trough possibly, and experience snow rates and a "bombing" low so far south, but thats what appears to be on order.

Drive safe, make plans now to be snowed in a couple of days in some areas. The cold comes in with a vengeance afterwards, but looks like a warm up is on the way by middle of next week.

[HWY316wx]

Looks good bud!!! Someone will get lolipopped with over 10"

Delta, even though you have moved Way up Yonder, LOL... We appreciate you coming back here and walking through this with us.

Care to make a distinct call on ATL over to AHN? To my untrained self I see 2-4" Saw your map said 3-5. Any change on that thought? Any reason why our local yocals are still at midnight saying 1/2" if we are lucky?

[jrips27]

One word sums that all up Foothills: HAWT!!!!!

[HWY316wx]

On the RUC, its becoming obvious I think that this southern stream system isnt' going to bypass us to the south. Long story short, on the last panels you can clearly see full phase and negative tilt shortwave trough well west into Louisian and southern Mississippi. If the RUC is right, a tremendous explosion of moisture is going to expand over Alabama, all of GA, eastern Tennessee, and all the Carolinas by late Saturday. A good bulk of the southeast. Surface low should begin sudden dropping and bombing in the Northeast Gulf tomorrow evening, spreading very heavy snow from eaastern Alabama across Atlanta ( should be start as rain, quickly to snow due to evap cooling and intense rates) and just west of Columbia and Fayetteville, up to RDU . The snow shield will become an axis of heavy rates along the northwest flank, roughtly I-85 corridor and as the low deepens to near 1000 mb around the Florida panhandle, the extreme divergence and cold conveyor belt processess will create heavy banding with Thundersnow possible near the immediate north side of the dissolving phasing Vort, probably near ATL and western SC. As the low deepens into the 995 mb or so along the coast of Georgia , the axis of heavy snow is covering most of the Carolinas and eastern Tennesse (i'm going further west based on RUC and trends), while the eastern sections near the coast have rain and sleety/ mixing will get close to 95 over night, but all heavy wet snow just west of there and the inverted trough is already showing up along the Savannah River Valley for the Upstate and Foothills/western Piedmont, where the inflection point and upper dynamics cause stationary bands of heavy snow all night. An 850 low develops in western South Carolina which usually creates high snow fall rates as well through cyclonic pva aloft and excellent dynamics (thundersnow possible)

By morning, the snow may still be going if the 5H cuts off over the Tennessee Valley, meanwhile this stalls and deepens the coastal along the Outter banks, or possibly just inland. Extremely heavy snow for eastern Carolinas at that time, with winds increasing, and any areas that changed to rain or mix, go back to heavy snow. The storm deepens and slowly crawls the coast as a blizzard.

Snow totals should be hefty and even some accumulations near the Florida border is possible. Some areas of the piedmont and coastal plain of Georgia and the Carolinas probably are going to exceed 10"

This is the most dynamic setup for the Southeast as far as snow and wind potential in a long time, and some analogs are January 22, 1987. Its rare to have a 500 mb system cutoff so far south, see a phasing of the streams, negative tilt trough possibly, and experience snow rates and a "bombing" low so far south, but thats what appears to be on order.

Drive safe, make plans now to be snowed in a couple of days in some areas. The cold comes in with a vengeance afterwards, but looks like a warm up is on the way by middle of next week.

First, I hope everything is ok with your mom!!!

Second, O.M.G. If you are right, the EURO was not crazy after all. If this plays out, it is the best Christmas present ever and will run the ATL weather service off the map and our local METS will eat crow.

Merry Christmas Robert!

[WeatherNC]

On the RUC, its becoming obvious I think that this southern stream system isnt' going to bypass us to the south. Long story short, on the last panels you can clearly see full phase and negative tilt shortwave trough well west into Louisian and southern Mississippi. If the RUC is right, a tremendous explosion of moisture is going to expand over Alabama, all of GA, eastern Tennessee, and all the Carolinas by late Saturday. A good bulk of the southeast. Surface low should begin sudden dropping and bombing in the Northeast Gulf tomorrow evening, spreading very heavy snow from eaastern Alabama across Atlanta ( should be start as rain, quickly to snow due to evap cooling and intense rates) and just west of Columbia and Fayetteville, up to RDU . The snow shield will become an axis of heavy rates along the northwest flank, roughtly I-85 corridor and as the low deepens to near 1000 mb around the Florida panhandle, the extreme divergence and cold conveyor belt processess will create heavy banding with Thundersnow possible near the immediate north side of the dissolving phasing Vort, probably near ATL and western SC. As the low deepens into the 995 mb or so along the coast of Georgia , the axis of heavy snow is covering most of the Carolinas and eastern Tennesse (i'm going further west based on RUC and trends), while the eastern sections near the coast have rain and sleety/ mixing will get close to 95 over night, but all heavy wet snow just west of there and the inverted trough is already showing up along the Savannah River Valley for the Upstate and Foothills/western Piedmont, where the inflection point and upper dynamics cause stationary bands of heavy snow all night. An 850 low develops in western South Carolina which usually creates high snow fall rates as well through cyclonic pva aloft and excellent dynamics (thundersnow possible)

By morning, the snow may still be going if the 5H cuts off over the Tennessee Valley, meanwhile this stalls and deepens the coastal along the Outter banks, or possibly just inland. Extremely heavy snow for eastern Carolinas at that time, with winds increasing, and any areas that changed to rain or mix, go back to heavy snow. The storm deepens and slowly crawls the coast as a blizzard.

Snow totals should be hefty and even some accumulations near the Florida border is possible. Some areas of the piedmont and coastal plain of Georgia and the Carolinas probably are going to exceed 10"

This is the most dynamic setup for the Southeast as far as snow and wind potential in a long time, and some analogs are January 22, 1987. Its rare to have a 500 mb system cutoff so far south, see a phasing of the streams, negative tilt trough possibly, and experience snow rates and a "bombing" low so far south, but thats what appears to be on order.

Drive safe, make plans now to be snowed in a couple of days in some areas. The cold comes in with a vengeance afterwards, but looks like a warm up is on the way by middle of next week.

Robert, based on everything I have seen over the past 24hrs, this is what is going to happen. Feels almost sublime, that I can hardly believe this is going to happen, but the real time data suggests otherwise. This is going to be a major and borderline historic event for some in the SE. 987, 50-100 miles east of HAT is going to make a white mess.

[superjames1992]

Here's my final call for North Carolina. I'm kind of tired and threw this together real quick before bed, so I'm not sure how great it is, but alas.

DISCLAIMER: Take my call map with ten shakers of salt. I am NOT a professional. This is for entertainment purposes only.

[Stormsfury]

Generalized outlook for my thoughts on overall general snowfall amounts across GA and the Carolinas at this time.

[deltadog03]

I REALLY like your map Mike!!