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Tim from Springfield (IL)

March 26-28 Severe Threat

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EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
923 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
  
ILC141-201-290245-  
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-200329T0245Z/  
OGLE IL-WINNEBAGO IL-  
923 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR  
NORTHEASTERN OGLE AND SOUTHEASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTIES...  
          
AT 923 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER STILLMAN VALLEY,  
OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OREGON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  

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Wow, really did not expect anything this close to the state line with the way instability was held down all day. Storm is tracking just a little northwest of the path of the April 2015 EF4. Some good rumbles here a few minutes ago,  too.

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now radar indicted

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
929 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
  
ILC141-201-290245-  
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-200329T0245Z/  
OGLE IL-WINNEBAGO IL-  
929 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR  
NORTHEASTERN OGLE AND SOUTHEASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTIES...  
      
AT 928 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
WAS LOCATED OVER STILLMAN VALLEY, OR NEAR ROCKFORD AIRPORT, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF   
         PRODUCING BRIEF TORNADOES!  

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Just now, Arishtat said:

Is that cell moving NE of Peoria still producing anything ? All I have is weatherbug and it looks fairly benign now. 

warning cancelled

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A small glimpse of what might have happened in IL today. Evidently that Oregon-Davis Jct. storm found a brief window of the right balance of ingredients.

I would like to thank the atmosphere for making today an easy no-go for me even with a Day 2 moderate risk so close to home.

  • Haha 1

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1 minute ago, Buckeye05 said:

Watching to see if this thing cycles. A lot of population and subdivisions to get through all the way up into the Poplar Grove, IL area.

Tightening up again NW of the old rotation, right over downtown 

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ILC141-201-290248-  
/O.EXP.KLOT.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-200329T0245Z/  
OGLE IL-WINNEBAGO IL-  
945 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
  
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN OGLE AND SOUTHEASTERN  
WINNEBAGO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 945 PM CDT...  
                  
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE  
LIMITS, AND NO LONGER APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  
THEREFORE, T

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If I’m reading radar correctly, seems like it’ll just miss the Poplar Grove area by sliding more directly north than directly NE.

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Hearing mixed reports regarding the damage severity in Newburgh. Some sources are just saying trees down, while others are reporting major damage.

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24 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

Lost power here briefly during a svr thunderstorm.

Lucky you lol.  That OFB from this morning settled just N of IND.  Every round of storms ended up riding it veering just to my south. It feels and sounds like garden variety Aug thunderstorms out there for the last 2 hours.  Heck of a light show.  Saw some models late last night ramp some storms up after midnight with the cold front.  Not looking too sporty now.

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Cells to my west not looking too robust at this point but will keep watch.

Pace of the warm frontal movement looks sufficient for a nonzero tornado threat into Chicago in the next couple hours.

chi_sfc.gif.496503e5fafc148894b7853f91414aaf.gif

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1116 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

INC075-290330-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200329T0330Z/
Jay IN-
1116 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
JAY COUNTY...

At 1115 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Portland, moving east northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southern Jay County, including the following locations... College
Corner, Boundary City, Liber, Blaine, Collett, Bluff Point, New Mount
Pleasant, Salamonia, Brice and Como.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 4032 8522 4037 8522 4051 8480 4033 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 252DEG 53KT 4037 8499

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

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10 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Lucky you lol.  That OFB from this morning settled just N of IND.  Every round of storms ended up riding it veering just to my south. It feels and sounds like garden variety Aug thunderstorms out there for the last 2 hours.  Heck of a light show.  Saw some models late last night ramp some storms up after midnight with the cold front.  Not looking too sporty now.

Missed the hail from this afternoon's storms just north of me.  Had some rain but nothing as heavy or svr as this evening's storm.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL  
1048 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020  
   
.TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON  
   
.DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.  
  
            ..REMARKS..  
  
0918 PM     TORNADO          4 SW STILLMAN VALLEY    42.07N 89.24W  
03/28/2020                   OGLE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR     
  
            EXTENSIVE DAMAGE PATH, SEVERAL HOMES DAMAGED   
            WITH AT LEAST ONE WITH ROOF TOTALLY LOST.   
            NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED ON THAT PROPERTY,   
            WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE, POWERLINES DOWN,   
            SOME AREAS RESPONDERS ARE HAVING TO GET TO   
            BY FOOT DUE TO ROADS BLOCKED. 

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Special weather statement for Cook county has the storm movement at 85 mph!

Did it get a ticket? lol.  As much as this system was a "dud" so to speak it certainly was a distraction from whats been going on, especially since the next couple weeks are looking dismal weather wise in our forum and health wise worldwide.  The big tornado in AR, I can't imagine with the stress of the last couple weeks and to have that on top of it, no way.  I really hope as we move further into severe season it stays dull as hell until we get a grip on this virus thing.  The weather nerd in me is screaming no but I can't imagine the stress of losing life and property on top of what's going on.  Hope we have a mellow severe season through June as much as that pains me to say.  

Cheers :beer:

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Certainly not often you can say “good thing we were isolated at home due to a virus”, but it is sounding like that is the case in Jonesboro. Reports and aerial photos are showing heavy damage to the mall and business district, an area reportedly nearly empty due to virus precautions. Certainly numerous injuries and fatalities avoided.
 

You would certainly normally consider a mall taking a direct hit at 5-6pm on a Saturday a worst case scenario. 

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