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Zelocita Weather

Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm

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5 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Redevelopment northeast of the Bronx. Watch the radar start blooming in the next two hours!

Looks like that

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let one of our pro mets ....talk us thru this surface prog....bet you could write a book about it!

A_w_sfc_color.thumb.png.7f2757cd8f5dbd0be3566a6702c6143e.png

 

:arrowhead:

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Doorman if you could , can you point out to the novices / me what you are getting at before others chime in and explain to the rest of us what they " thought " you were saying thanks in advance. Maybe I posted this too soon are you saying that the storm is redeveloping and that we are far from done ?

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let one of our pro mets ....talk us thru this surface prog....bet you could write a book about it!
A_w_sfc_color.thumb.png.7f2757cd8f5dbd0be3566a6702c6143e.png
 
:arrowhead:
Doorman keeping the faith

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HRRR still does show a couple bands coming through most of the area 7pm-9pm and also 11pm-3am. Good chance these could put down another 1-3 for most areas, maybe up to an additional 4” for the higher elevations of NWNJ through SNY. Picked up about 2” here in Essex county so another 2” would be 4” total, making it a great forecast by NWS (3-5”)

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Doorman if you could , can you point out to the novices / me what you are getting at before others chime in and explain to the rest of us what they " thought " you were saying thanks in advance. Maybe I posted this too soon are you saying that the storm is redeveloping and that we are far from done ?

 

6 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

redeveloping at or near the bench mark correct ?

Alright I'm gonna get ripped for my misread but I'm jumping in. It looks like a redevelopment due to the southern low swinging around and merging with the upper level low as it comes off the coast. I think it's a bit optimistic because there isn't much holding it back from scooting out and taking it's energy with it. Ya gotta appreciate the enthusiasm though. Thanks Doorman. Now have at it and tell me how wrong I am :) 

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Just now, gravitylover said:

 

Alright I'm gonna get ripped for my misread but I'm jumping in. It looks like a redevelopment due to the southern low swinging around and merging with the upper level low as it comes off the coast. I think it's a bit optimistic because there isn't much holding it back from scooting out and taking it's energy with it. Ya gotta appreciate the enthusiasm though. Thanks Doorman. Now have at it and tell me how wrong I am :) 

Gravity at least you had the Balls to answer my question when none of the other guys took a shot and jumped in so props to you and thanks. Does anyone else care to throw their hat in the ring ? Bueller ? Bueller ? Anyone ?

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I'm not sure any model showed the current radar presentation for 23z.  They are all wrong now LOL
Yeah.. Models are... Forget it today.

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4 minutes ago, larrye said:

The benchmark? Try a few hundred miles off Cape Cod.

Larrye the diagram Doorman posted has edit here = the L's and X's near 66 -- 44  and it says redeveloping---- NO WHERE near Cape Cod so can you explain what Doorman meant without bashing the new guy ? Thanks

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5 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Larrye the diagram Doorman posted has edit here = the L's and X's near 66 -- 44  and it says redeveloping---- NO WHERE near Cape Cod so can you explain what Doorman meant without bashing the new guy ? Thanks

You see the 931 Low? That's hundreds of miles off the coast of Cape Cod.

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2 minutes ago, larrye said:

You see the 931 Low? That's hundreds of miles off the coast of Cape Cod.

Yes Larrye I see it , Now can you or anyone else explain to me what Doorman is getting at with that lovely picture with the 931 low which I see off of Cap Cod ?

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Yes Larrye I see it , Now can you or anyone else explain to me what Doorman is getting at with that lovely picture with the 931 low which I see off of Cap Cod ?
Maybe that the ULL near us is capturing it pulling moisture back towards us?

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1 minute ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said:

Where are u getting these #s lol. Not 931 by any means

Ask Larrye he brought it up it is on the diagram that Doorman posted its there Pauly look again its just below the 992

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1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Ask Larrye he brought it up it is on the diagram that Doorman posted its there Pauly look again its just below the 992

That’s not the pressure. It can’t be. I don’t think those are pressure readings. In fact I believe that said 031 but the line crossing over it makes it look like 931!

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There’s warm advection development going on just northeast of the Bronx. It’s going to come down the next 7-8 hours. Have faith guys the models are better than our radars, right now it started snowing again, it’ll get more humid and it’s going to come down. 

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22 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

Maybe that the ULL near us is capturing it pulling moisture back towards us?

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Barman maybe I don't know either but Doorman asked for one of the more seasoned METS to explain the surface program but none of them have answered the bell. I will be honest I see the diagram, but have no clue myself what Doorman is pointing out

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