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Monday 12/2 Threat Disco

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1 minute ago, SnowEMass said:

Look at it this way...compared to last Dec, many of us are already ahead of the game on day one. 

I had 6.3. Inches. 11/15/18

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Man, snow still coming down at a good clip here. I'll measure in about a good 25 Minutes. That will give me my total for this day by 12 Midnight.

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Just now, weathafella said:

I had 6.3. Inches. 11/15/18

I had 9 inches on 11/15/18.  That was a great SWFE for SNE.  This is a dud here for sure, and compared to that,  this is a nothing burger.   But the rest of the winter last year wasn’t too good. So maybe this year we do better than last?  

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1 minute ago, kingbaus said:

I don't how accurate the hrdps is but it looks good for all areas.

The HRDPS and RGEM vary a ton from winter to winter.  They were awful last year.  Today the RGEM was very good hitting the heavy totals from Albany to MA.  The HRDPS not as much 

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33 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The HRDPS and RGEM vary a ton from winter to winter.  They were awful last year.  Today the RGEM was very good hitting the heavy totals from Albany to MA.  The HRDPS not as much 

So somebody got 30"?

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

1/4-1/2SM, but only 0.15" in the can the past hour. Seems kinda high.

I’m not sure we’ll ever see the throttling we put up in March with 0.3”+/hr melted and 4-5” per hour of man snow. 

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OKX sounding a little worried, def low confidence fx.

The other challenging factor is the transition back to snow
across the area on Wednesday. Using a consensus approach, this
changeover occurs across the Lower Hudson Valley and interior NE
NJ during the late morning hours, then works east in the
afternoon and evening hours. A changeover to all snow is
expected across much of the area by midnight. Timing of this
transition in conjunction with the deformation zone will be key
to the amount of snowfall that falls across the region. There
will likely be significant differences in snowfall amounts over
short distances. Forecast amount changes are highly likely as
this event unfolds.

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