wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Even though the end of the range isn't really close enough to point out storm details for us, the RGEM is another tool starting to come into play to see how far north the precip will be before it gets here. The 6z was considerably further south and flatter compared to the 12z Nam, would like to see it correct towards the NAM on this run as it's coming in. it's still suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: it's still suppressed Yea, if anything it looked a little more suppressed than the 6z, thought not by much. It is at the end of it's range at that point, but worth keeping an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 45 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Wow even the 3k NAM coming on board. This is trending to a big event for mtns and foothills. Im down for what ever guys! Sleet, snow, beers.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Really wish we could get the storm to rake up the coast instead of heading almost due east, would help our totals a lot, but I'll take it. Though at this point, the coast stands to see more snow in 24 hours than Boone has all winter, with this storm included lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 A decent event on the GFS pretty much 2-4 Inches for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 GFS is very blah for the leeside areas.. Shows some downsloping and very little snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: GFS is very blah for the leeside areas.. Shows some downsloping and very little snow Just east of here where we are may get affected by downsloping but with each run of the NAM and GFS even that is fading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Just east of here where we are may get affected by downsloping but with each run of the NAM and GFS even that is fading. Downsloping effects me hard and has burned me before like in March 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 For funsies: talk about a freaking nice storm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Downsloping effects me hard and has burned me before like in March 2008 Yeah usually it’s right over head but in this setup it looks to be East of here due to the orientation of the overrunning precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 17 minutes ago, wncsnow said: GFS is very blah for the leeside areas.. Shows some downsloping and very little snow The leeside of the mountains are going to get downsloped big time the way the precipitation is coming in. It will drastically cut down totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The leeside of the mountains are going to get downsloped big time the way the precipitation is coming in. It will drastically cut down totals. yep I'm screwed with these type of setups unless overrunning overperforms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: yep I'm screwed with these type of setups unless overrunning overperforms Yeah you are right unless is comes in more from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah you are right unless is comes in more from the south. Some low level SE flow and we rack up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Just now, wncsnow said: Some low level SE flow and we rack up Maybe I’m wrong but this looks like especially on the NAM that it will be flowing in mostly from the SE to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Maybe I’m wrong but this looks like especially on the NAM that it will be flowing in mostly from the SE to the NE I think once the system gets east of the apps the Lee side may have a better flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 12z UKMET jumping on board with the strip of precip over WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Hvward said: 12z UKMET jumping on board with the strip of precip over WNC. Still light but an improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Still light but an improvement Wow that’s huge. Yesterday the precip line was the I-20 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 idk guys the Euro just isn't having it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 idk guys the Euro just isn't having it Well KAVL went from .1” of accumulating snow to .7” so that’s a 700% increase in frozen precip. I really just think the Euro is struggling. I have seen it do this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 14 minutes ago, wncsnow said: idk guys the Euro just isn't having it Look at what Griteater poster in the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 14 minutes ago, wncsnow said: idk guys the Euro just isn't having it As horrible as the euro has been and if it craps the bed on this one, anyone who mentions it as king or superior needs to be put in timeout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Also looking at the mid to long range EURO things really dont look bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 18z NAM will be telling IMO. I feel like this is the run where it either sticks or completely folds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 18 minutes ago, BooneWX said: 18z NAM will be telling IMO. I feel like this is the run where it either sticks or completely folds. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 On the latest NAM moisture starts to break out around 6 am Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Hour 45 things are still progressing. More moisture breaking out across TN and the Carolinas. We still look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 Okay, now I'm in. Between this and the Euro caving north, I'm liking our odds of something decent. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 18, 2020 Share Posted February 18, 2020 We are still solid at hour 51. A large swath of snow over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.