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BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

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Summer solstice is a week away. Looks like a chance of storms this weekend and early next week. Temps look to remain around normal in the upper 70s. A sunset from a few nights ago, and a picture from Emery park today. Hope everyone is enjoying summer! 

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3 hours ago, vortmax said:

DPs in low-70s...impressive for mid-June. Very soupy out there.

Incredibly soupy. DP of 74 here is about as high a DP as I can remember for this area. 

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1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said:

Incredibly soupy. DP of 74 here is about as high a DP as I can remember for this area. 

Back around 1995, the DP reached 79 or so in KROC around midnight...right before a major derecho came through.

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So it’s official, as of yesterday I own a home in Altmar (will be fully moved in a couple of weeks),  unfortunately for me I have been dealing with some health issues (of course it has to be now), hoping to start trending upwards and contribute a little more often..

Take care guys...

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7 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

So it’s official, as of yesterday I own a home in Altmar (will be fully moved in a couple of weeks),  unfortunately for me I have been dealing with some health issues (of course it has to be now), hoping to start trending upwards and contribute a little more often..

Take care guys...

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Looks beautiful wolf! Nice spot for some frozen pond hockey. Hope you feel better soon! Might take a road trip up there during one of the big LES events if you allow me and devin. ^_^

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Pretty serious heat wave it looks like next week... GFS predicting 105 heat index next Sunday, h850s up to around 22-24.

Does anyone recall the last time we saw it get that hot? Especially in June

Screenshot_20180624-080742.png

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Had a good friend that went to a wedding Friday night, wasn't feeling well. Went for a walk with his mom and sister around the pond, than had a brain aneurysm and died on the spot at 26 years old. Enjoy each day with your family and friends. 

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2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Had a good friend that went to a wedding Friday night, wasn't feeling well. Went for a walk with his mom and sister around the pond, than had a brain aneurysm and died on the spot at 26 years old. Enjoy each day with your family and friends. 

Very sorry for your loss. I can only imagine how difficult it is to lose someone close so quickly and tragically.

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6 hours ago, southbuffalowx said:

Pretty serious heat wave it looks like next week... GFS predicting 105 heat index next Sunday, h850s up to around 22-24.

Does anyone recall the last time we saw it get that hot? Especially in June

Screenshot_20180624-080742.png

That would be excessive heat warnings around these parts. Looks insanely hot around here end of the upcoming weekend beginning of next week. We’ll see if the models back down or not but that kind of heat would be something we haven’t seen around here in a long time. 

 

The 12z GFS has a high of 97 degrees at KBUF on 7/3 which would be the highest temperature recorded since 7/15/1995 when we also hit 97 degrees. Would be a once in a generation type heat so very excited to see if the models can stay consistent on this. 

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Don't think I've ever seen a forecast like this in WNY. 7 straight days of low 90s. 

Friday
Sunny, with a high near 89. West wind around 9 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Saturday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 102. Breezy, with a southwest wind 11 to 21 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph.
Sunday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Monday
Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Independence Day
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 91.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Thursday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90.
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...Dangerously High Apparent Temperatures Likely This Weekend...

Record heat in the 90s will combine with dew points in the 70s to
produce very uncomfortable...and potentially dangerous...apparent
temperatures through at LEAST this weekend...as an anomalously
strong sub tropical ridge will dominate the Lower Great Lakes and
Mid Atlantic region. The heart of this impressive ridge will be over
the Ohio Valley as we open this period Friday night...then as we
advance through the holiday weekend...it will drift to the east
across Pennsylvania. Putting the strength of the ridge into
perspective...the +2 to 3 STD feature has a late June return
interval of 5 to 10 years with its corresponding heat (H7/85
temps) having a climatological recurrence of 10-20 years.
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6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:
...Dangerously High Apparent Temperatures Likely This Weekend...

Record heat in the 90s will combine with dew points in the 70s to
produce very uncomfortable...and potentially dangerous...apparent
temperatures through at LEAST this weekend...as an anomalously
strong sub tropical ridge will dominate the Lower Great Lakes and
Mid Atlantic region. The heart of this impressive ridge will be over
the Ohio Valley as we open this period Friday night...then as we
advance through the holiday weekend...it will drift to the east
across Pennsylvania. Putting the strength of the ridge into
perspective...the +2 to 3 STD feature has a late June return
interval of 5 to 10 years with its corresponding heat (H7/85
temps) having a climatological recurrence of 10-20 years.

I can tell you for sure this is the first time I can ever remember an entire week of temperatures forecasted at 90+. I can remember a couple 3 day heat waves of 90+ but never anything close to 7+. Unfortunately I think we could be looking at some serious illnesses for anyone who does not have air conditioning especially the elderly with how long this heat wave is going to last. Also could be power issues if everyone is using their a/c around the clock for a week straight so it’s definitley going to be interesting to see how we come out of what will likely (and hopefully) be the hottest part of this summer, and the longest heatwave I can ever remember. 

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I'm certainly glad I moved to VA for warmer weather. It's going to be warmer for you guys then it will be down here.  

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5 minutes ago, LivingstonWx said:

I'm certainly glad I moved to VA for warmer weather. It's going to be warmer for you guys then it will be down here.  

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I lived in Nashville, where the average high for months during the summer is close to what’s forecast for Buffalo next week. If a 10-20 year extreme here is only slightly worse then an average summer day in the southeast, I’ll take this every time.

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Temps raised again.

Saturday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 105. Southwest wind 14 to 18 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 74. South wind 7 to 13 mph.
Sunday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Heat index values as high as 108. Southwest wind 8 to 13 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 6 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 93.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Independence Day
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 92.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 93.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 71.
Friday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 92.

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Numerous all time records are possible this upcoming week along with the daily high temperature records...

*Warmest Temp Ever 99* 8/27/1948

Could be close on Sunday...

 

* Warmest July Temp Ever 97* 7/6/1988

Possible to be broken Sunday.

 

* Longest streak of consecutive days 90*+ 7 days 7/5-7/10/1988

Current forcast has 7 straight 90*+ days...

 

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8 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Numerous all time records are possible this upcoming week along with the daily high temperature records...

*Warmest Temp Ever 99* 8/27/1948

Could be close on Sunday...

 

* Warmest July Temp Ever 97* 7/6/1988

Possible to be broken Sunday.

 

* Longest streak of consecutive days 90*+ 7 days 7/5-7/10/1988

Current forcast has 7 straight 90*+ days...

 

The winds are out of the SW for today and tomorrow. I'm not sure we see high 90s any of the days close to the lakeshore. Going to be a close call at the airport but think the highest temp will be 96/97. 

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15 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The winds are out of the SW for today and tomorrow. I'm not sure we see high 90s any of the days close to the lakeshore. Going to be a close call at the airport but think the highest temp will be 96/97. 

I don't think KBUF makes it past 92 tomorrow. I'll go 92 for BUF, 98 for IAG, 99 for ROC, and 98 for SYR. Highest heat index tomorrow I'll guess 101 for BUF, 109 for IAG, 110 for ROC, and 107 SYR.

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