December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[WintersComing]

8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is the area I have pegged for highest.  I'm still the 3-5" in my back yard.

 

Have a feeling you might need to extend that circle a bit further west past Kevin's area.  Just my 2 cents

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Do we rain here? I’d be shocked if we reached 6” here... looks like we are another tick from being cooked 

[Greg]

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is the area I have pegged for highest.  I'm still the 3-5" in my back yard.

 

I certainly agre KTAN.  I like the consesus today. You do fairly well in this.  Ray and I in Wilmington do well also.  I think the Common might reach 6" with this, Logan Airport will be right at the waters edge literally with this storm.  I think a 4-8" storm is a lock.  I hope the thermal layers and especially the BL's are a little colder than progged so we can all get a 1-2" enhancement.  But this looks good for most of eastern Mass, with the exception of the far southshore , Cape and islands.

[weathafella]

11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is the area I have pegged for highest.  I'm still the 3-5" in my back yard.

 

I’m inside your circle.  Therefore we are still friends.

[Damage In Tolland]

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Kev wasn't it a day or two ago someone told you on twit you were only getting 1-2"?  lol

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WintersComing said:

Kev wasn't it a day or two ago someone told you on twit you were only getting 1-2"?  lol

That clown in S CT. Joe I think 

[WxBlue]

This storm is still an overachiever. Asheville, NC is already outpacing 6-10" forecasts, as they're up to 5" with many hours of snow left.

[HoarfrostHubb]

51 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We talk about deformation and frontogenesis every year.

I know...but this seems to be the word of the day.

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

3” here... nice... maybe by go time it’ll be all rain 

[HoarfrostHubb]

37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Dave just woke up

Whoosh

Your area could do well.  

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

This storm is still an overachiever. Asheville, NC is already outpacing 6-10" forecasts, as they're up to 5" with many hours of snow left.

That's sort of a first initial wave of forcing. We'll get a second one later tonight and tomorrow. I don't know if I equate what's going on today and compare it to here tomorrow, but hopefully it works.

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

3” here... nice... maybe by go time it’ll be all rain 

That's closer to 5" for you. 3" here 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

3” here... nice... maybe by go time it’ll be all rain 

I bet you'll get at least 4-5". 

[CoastalWx]

It's also Kuchera which may be compacting...and also grid sizing with those.

[HoarfrostHubb]

27 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is the area I have pegged for highest.  I'm still the 3-5" in my back yard.

 

Agreed.  Although there might be a secondary a little NW of that

[8611Blizz]

So from the looks of the euro maybe noyes is correct.  

[HoarfrostHubb]

Is that 10" amount on the map Blizz posted OWD?

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

So from the looks of the euro maybe noyes is correct.  

I would be surprised if Boston got nothing to 1".

[8611Blizz]

Yeah i hear you,  but that east wind....

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Is that 10" amount on the map Blizz posted OWD?

Foxboro 

[WxBlue]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That's sort of a first initial wave of forcing. We'll get a second one later tonight and tomorrow. I don't know if I equate what's going on today and compare it to here tomorrow, but hopefully it works.

Yeah, that was more of a weenie comment. I don't think you can really compare what's going on in the South to our situation, but there's nothing wrong with hoping our second forcing will do the same thing. It's all about how the northern energy behave.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

Yeah i hear you,  but that east wind....

It won’t be easy though 

[WintersComing]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That clown in S CT. Joe I think 

Ya that was pretty funny

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Foxboro 

No airport in Foxboro...

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 8611Blizz said:

Yeah i hear you,  but that east wind....

There is no east wind. It goes from light NE to N. Unless this storm just backed 50 miles west...I don't see less than 1". Hey maybe I am wrong..but I would take the over on his call.

[8611Blizz]

Well to his credit he can always go up from zero.

[WintersComing]

Just now, 8611Blizz said:

Well to his credit he can always go up from zero.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

Yeah, that was more of a weenie comment. I don't think you can really compare what's going on in the South to our situation, but there's nothing wrong with hoping our second forcing will do the same thing. It's all about how the northern energy behave.

I think you will do fairly well. No question all snow...and no question is should stack nicely. I think you will be surprised at how well DAW can hold the cold. I can't wait to see your reaction when we get a real CAD situation and the models have you at 40F and it's 26 with ZR.

[WintersComing]

Hmmm....Maue has a new EPS Total snowfall model.  Its loading now