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JoMo

MO/KS/AR/OK 2019-2020 Winter Wonderland Discussion

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1 hour ago, MUWX said:

Did you see that on the NWS home page? If so, its a glitch. As far as I know, there was never an advisory for your area. 

Yep from the NWS homepage, was wondering what was up with it cause it didn't sit there long before it was taken down. Must have been a glitch cause it was there

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The Joplin metro is really struggling this winter in seeing more than just a dusting of snow. Seems when the temperature pattern is colder than normal, storm systems moving through the area lack moisture, or completely avoid the area. On the flip side, it seems when it's warmer than normal, there is usually plenty of moisture to work with (if we get a storm system) providing showers and even thunderstorms. We actually have a wetter than normal January in progress. 

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GFS shows something in the area around the 12 of Feb. It also shows that cold air is finally in the region.

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34 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said:

Who is ready for our next near miss next Wednesday?

I did'nt even mention it b/c Okc will be on the boarder again between cold and no cold enough.

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2 hours ago, Wx 24/7 said:

Who is ready for our next near miss next Wednesday?

The big one is coming, expect maybe 1" of melty snow!

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Jeesh this is one pathetic winter haha! Rdy for spring yet guys/ladies? lol Oh wait it felt like we went right from fall straight back to spring already!! JoMo mentioned something about being worried in October when we were so dang cold

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06 z Canadian for Okc on Wed a sleet storm and Thurs with Snow for SW Mo.

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Here’s a sobering comment in Tulsa’s overnight discussion.  Wettest month in 71 years and still no snow.  :facepalm:  

 

DISCUSSION...
A mainly dry stretch of weather is anticipated through the
forecast period, which is a welcome relief in many places that
have seen their wettest January in decades. Tulsa will end January
as the 4th wettest on record, and the wettest since 1949.

 

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1 minute ago, The Waterboy said:

Here’s a sobering comment in Tulsa’s overnight discussion.  Wettest month in 71 years and still no snow.  :facepalm:  

 

DISCUSSION...
A mainly dry stretch of weather is anticipated through the
forecast period, which is a welcome relief in many places that
have seen their wettest January in decades. Tulsa will end January
as the 4th wettest on record, and the wettest since 1949.

 

I feel your pain. Dallas is on track to have its 5th wettest January on record. We've had a whopping 0.2 inches of snow, which is 2/3rds of what has fallen since March of 2015. And now (of course) we're entering a dry period during the peak season for snowfall here. An utter disaster 

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In OKC we're having what would be average for Dallas, with a grand total of 9.6" of snow and four days of snow cover since March of 2015. Wait that's actually below normal even for Dallas. Lol. Tulsa's doing even worse than us, and they even average slightly more snow.

Springfield is also having snow amounts that are more in line with normal for Little Rock, and Wichita is having what would be considered below-normal years in OKC.

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All three models show light snow amounts on the 5th from Texas on up into parts of Sw Mo. 

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1 hour ago, lokee said:

All three models show light snow amounts on the 5th from Texas on up into parts of Sw Mo. 

Not getting my hopes up until I see it on radar. Even then it might be virga. :lol:

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Canadian has actually done really well this winter. Its sometimes been the first to sniff something out and then the euro comes around. Same deal here. Liking the latest Euro run!

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Rooting for the EURO. Funny how the 12Z GFS has the majority of snowfall south of I-44.  And that's not saying much. 

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9 years ago today most of us were under a blizzard warning. I wish we had a time machine! 

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Joplin 9 years ago today. 

19 minutes ago, MUWX said:

9 years ago today most of us were under a blizzard warning. I wish we had a time machine! 

 

5257851D-3328-485B-A5FD-FE636ACCB552.jpeg

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That’s it. I don’t care. I’m declaring this. “The One”. Yes, I know it’s the long range NAM, yes, I know the storm hasn’t been sampled yet, yes, I know there’s no science behind my claim.

But I don’t care. I’m going to will this to happen! Not these numbers necessarily, but I’m declaring this is the one that breaks our 3 inch snow drought!  C4F9E119-C6DC-4DE4-B4D9-9EF00AF2FBE1.thumb.png.df78a70b799925f0587b3237c5f607c2.png

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I expect the usual to happen. As soon as the storm system comes ashore and get sampled, models will start to shift even further north with the storm system as they usually do. 

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I suspect it'll snow somewhere on Wed. Not sure where the heaviest will be and how heavy it is though. 

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15 minutes ago, JoMo said:

I suspect it'll snow somewhere on Wed. Not sure where the heaviest will be and how heavy it is though. 

Well if the models are showing snow in TX then there's probably a 30% chance the snow makes it as far south as northern Kansas. Who knows!

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I keep telling my wife this is our best chance in the last few years.  I like that the GFS is still SE of us.  Gives us time for the NW shift that normally screws most of us.  
 

if this one falls apart I’m mentally preparing for Spring and allergy season.  
 

Edit: 06 Euro is too far NW for some of us.  

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10 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

if this one falls apart I’m mentally preparing for Spring and allergy season.  

It might hit 80 here in Dallas today. We haven't gone more than two months without an 80 degree day since summer began

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