Juliancolton Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 I'm up at Bash Bish Falls and she's roaring today... mist soaking me and the camera hundreds of feet downwind. My guess is the falls and creeks in the area are at their highest discharge levels in a couple years. Hope to hit Kaaterskill and maybe a couple others in the next day or two while the runoff is still at peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 19 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: In other news, my latest hard freeze since moving here in May 2005 is 11/12/05, I have a feeling that 'record' will fall this year... You dont think you get there tmrw night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 20 minutes ago, BxEngine said: You dont think you get there tmrw night? Maybe. I did hit 31 a couple weeks ago but it wasn't a hard freeze, it didn't stay below freezing long enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 20 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Maybe. I did hit 31 a couple weeks ago but it wasn't a hard freeze, it didn't stay below freezing long enough. Closest i got was 34 but it managed to kill some of my potted plants and herbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: Closest i got was 34 but it managed to kill some of my potted plants and herbs. My tomato plants are still green, they don;t look so great but are still alive as are the marigolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 30, 2017 Share Posted October 30, 2017 10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: My tomato plants are still green, they don;t look so great but are still alive as are the marigolds. Yeah my tomatos are hanging on. I let the basil bloom a few days before the cold nights, that helped kill it anyway. The mint is still going strong. Parsley has pooped the bed lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 11 hours ago, Juliancolton said: I'm up at Bash Bish Falls and she's roaring today... mist soaking me and the camera hundreds of feet downwind. My guess is the falls and creeks in the area are at their highest discharge levels in a couple years. Hope to hit Kaaterskill and maybe a couple others in the next day or two while the runoff is still at peak. Cool, I've seen it running hard in the spring and it's like a much bigger falls when it's like that. Lake Mahopac is out of its banks right now, more than I remember it in the 21 years I've been here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 31, 2017 Share Posted October 31, 2017 Kaaterskill today was the highest I've seen it (though I wasn't there after Irene or Lee so that doesn't say much). Looking down the clove from the top of the falls, you could see mist billowing back up the entire height of the upper tier. Just a thunderous roar. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 36 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Kaaterskill today was the highest I've seen it (though I wasn't there after Irene or Lee so that doesn't say much). Looking down the clove from the top of the falls, you could see mist billowing back up the entire height of the upper tier. Just a thunderous roar. Very nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 This morning looks like it could be my first hard freeze but I'm still not positive. Does anyone know what the official definition of a hard freeze is for this neck of the woods? It seems like each NWS office has it's own definition. For IMBY I use a definition I found years ago but haven't been able to find recently which was a low of 28 or temps below freezing for at least three consecutive hours. My low was only 30 this morning but I think I might have been below freezing long enough for this morning to count. I know to most of you none of this matters LOL. So going with today ties me with 11/1/10 for the second latest freeze since moving into my current house in 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 I've always gone with the 3 hour parameter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 Often its a no brainer when the first hard freeze is and then there are years like this...for example, I know I got down to 30 this morning but I didn't see any frost on anything. I love those mornings when there's a heavy frost on everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 15 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Kaaterskill today was the highest I've seen it (though I wasn't there after Irene or Lee so that doesn't say much). Looking down the clove from the top of the falls, you could see mist billowing back up the entire height of the upper tier. Just a thunderous roar. You're very talented Julian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Often its a no brainer when the first hard freeze is and then there are years like this...for example, I know I got down to 30 this morning but I didn't see any frost on anything. I love those mornings when there's a heavy frost on everything. It seems I always go big with my first hard freeze and hit the 28 mark. The clouds really got in the way of things this time around though. Only hit 34. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 1, 2017 Author Share Posted November 1, 2017 28° for a low here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 3 hours ago, snywx said: 28° for a low here Same here. Loathsome though this wx may be, I can't think of a more fitting way to start November than 44F and stratiform drizzle. It just feels right. Sucks for the first day of lights installation though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 06z GFS had some snow in the long range. Long season ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 1, 2017 Share Posted November 1, 2017 13 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: 06z GFS had some snow in the long range. Long season ahead. We can only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 ...and back to humid and stuffy outside in November This climate change transition thing sux. Lets just get it over with and go warm until we get a devastating volcanic eruption somewhere to change it back to the old normal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 47 minutes ago, gravitylover said: ...and back to humid and stuffy outside in November This climate change transition thing sux. Lets just get it over with and go warm until we get a devastating volcanic eruption somewhere to change it back to the old normal. Yeah, glad it’s back because I SO missed humid weather...not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 18 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Yeah, glad it’s back because I SO missed humid weather...not. Yup, I mowed the lawn today in shorts. I'm tired of it and want to put the mower away and break out the snowblower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 2, 2017 Share Posted November 2, 2017 37 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Yup, I mowed the lawn today in shorts. I'm tired of it and want to put the mower away and break out the snowblower. Same here, hoping today is the last mow but I doubt it. There’s no point in putting the shorts away anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Anything can happen the next few months and I don't think any winter forecast is high confidence, but I am getting a sinking feeling of a much warmer than normal winter with much below normal snow. I hope I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 1 hour ago, White Gorilla said: Anything can happen the next few months and I don't think any winter forecast is high confidence, but I am getting a sinking feeling of a much warmer than normal winter with much below normal snow. I hope I am wrong. At least our advantage over the Mid-Atlantic and even the NY metro is that much above average doesn't necessarily mean decent snow is out of the question. We have a nice stretch when even like a +5F month can still support frozen most of the time. We're in a fairly stormy regime as of the last few weeks so if that keeps up, I'll take my chances. Even a mighty cutter is better than dry. Anything but dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 3, 2017 Author Share Posted November 3, 2017 2 hours ago, Juliancolton said: At least our advantage over the Mid-Atlantic and even the NY metro is that much above average doesn't necessarily mean decent snow is out of the question. We have a nice stretch when even like a +5F month can still support frozen most of the time. We're in a fairly stormy regime as of the last few weeks so if that keeps up, I'll take my chances. Even a mighty cutter is better than dry. Anything but dry. Exactly... I would much rather take my chances with N to AN temps than BN temps. BN temps usually spells suppression/depression around these parts while areas in the Mid-Atlantic party. We can get away with AN temps up here. Give us storm chances and we will be fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 8 hours ago, snywx said: Exactly... I would much rather take my chances with N to AN temps than BN temps. BN temps usually spells suppression/depression around these parts while areas in the Mid-Atlantic party. We can get away with AN temps up here. Give us storm chances and we will be fine Agree, he had a couple of events the last 2 years where the suppression squeezed our area out and areas to our south did well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Warm day ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 http://www.hudsonvalleyweather.com/2017-2018-hvw-winter-outlook/ I haven’t gone back to see how they did in the last with their winter outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Warm day ahead.Perfect day out for me to bring my wife and newborn home from the hospital :-)Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 3, 2017 Share Posted November 3, 2017 Mowed in shorts and got most of the leaves cleaned up in the front yard now on the the back Not looking forward to that at all so hopefully it's the last one for the year. Looks like a line of showers for this afternoon, what do you think the chances are it reaches as far south as the Westchester line? I'm trying to decide where to go ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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