40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Threat, ah we tone it down. Odds of you seeing anything in your hood approaching major are as slim as Kevin getting a real tornado in his. Everyone appreciates the raw power and met. You posted disappointment with a Cat 2 and wished for an Andrew into Florida. Hope you get your wish then I hope you volunteer your time and money to go rebuild or use your training to console those with PTSD. I wish for a Brett onlt a 5 hit in cow land myself. Plenty to see. I suppose that would disappoint many though. Sementics...I want a landfall of a major hurricane. Happy? Some of the most highly priced property is placed right on the beach fronts of barrier islands, not all low income, so I hope that those wealthy folks get the hell out should Irma reclaim some of that exorbitantly priced property for mother nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Odds of a major making LF in New England is like telling the deli clerk to slice the ham on #5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sementics...I want a landfall if a major hurricane. Some of the most highly priced property is placed right on the beach fronts of barrier islands, not all low income, so I hope that those wealthy folks get the hell out should Irma reclaim some of that exorbitantly priced property for mother nature. Especially since we subsidize that sh*t. Time for the wasps to get what is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: I was only 8 years old when Hurricane Carol hit in 1954, but I remember it well living at the time in the Roslindale section of Boston. It was a strong Cat 2 when it hit and winds did reach sustained levels of 80-110 mph with gusts to 125 across E MA. At the time, I guess it was the costliest hurricane in history, surpassing the 1938 hurricane. I remember my aunt hiding in a closet from the high winds, thunder and lightening, to say nothing of all the big tree branches coming down. It was worse in RI after it hit in Groton, CT at 956 mb. Those years in the 1950's seemed like NE was hurricane central. You really don't want to see what the devastation would be like if we were hit by a strong Cat 3. BTW, the potential track of Irma could be very similar to that of Carol. Great video out of Cuttyhunk Ma. Its shaky but watch on a full screen and check out the surge. Carol was a beast but would be a baby sister to what the GFS showed today for Irma. GEFS were surprisingly tightly clustered into the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sementics...I want a landfall of a major hurricane. Happy? Some of the most highly priced property is placed right on the beach fronts of barrier islands, not all low income, so I hope that those wealthy folks get the hell out should Irma reclaim some of that exorbitantly priced property for mother nature. This we agree. Barrier islands should have never been developed on and over the years constantly are reshaped. The people who built and live there have to accept the risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Steve is right that I root for cat 5 landfalls that I will never have to contend with....but rest assured, should a snowball ever thrive in hell and I should move south, it will not be within 100 miles if the ocean. Crazy thingis....the power to make that choice that we all possess is independent of social class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This we agree. Barrier islands should have never been developed on and over the years constantly are reshaped. The people who built and live there have to accept the risk That is all I am saying. The flooding is just unfortunate, but that area is more prone to that, though it can happen anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 I like being in the bullseye now, plenty of time to correct back to a Florida to Carolina strike. Anything close to an inland wind shield like 1938 would be disastrous in the CRV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 I guess everyone wont mind paying an extra .25 cents at the pump on gas and heating oil after the Harvey aftermath, And that's just the beginning, You will see this trickle down on all products in the coming months so hope for more catastrophic destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I guess everyone wont mind paying an extra .25 cents at the pump on gas and heating oil after the Harvey aftermath, And that's just the beginning, You will see this trickle down on all products in the coming months so hope for more catastrophic destruction. I'll pay...sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I guess everyone wont mind paying an extra .25 cents at the pump on gas and heating oil after the Harvey aftermath, And that's just the beginning, You will see this trickle down on all products in the coming months so hope for more catastrophic destruction. I wish I had shorted gas with what we knew 5 days before LF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I wish I had shorted gas with what we knew 5 days before LF The increase letters i received today from the resin mfg on polyethylene were pretty unprecedented as to how this is going to spike short term but is going to have a long term affect on the economy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 54 minutes ago, Paragon said: I have trouble believing that it could be anything higher than Cat 2 at this latitude. Right because there's never been one higher than category 2 at that latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll pay...sign me up. It won't be just at the pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It won't be just at the pump. I understand that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 GFS op out to lunch much? Wow on that consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 Man, Andrew found just about the only sparsely populated zone on the east coast of FL, too. Irma would not, at that latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 The bagginess is to the east, so the spread may be attributable to timing discrepancies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 Nobody wants to see anyone hurt, but we all have that desire where the power of Mother Nature is on display and we can't help but sit there and drool while our jaws hit the floor. It's something hard to explain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, Andrew found just about the only sparsely populated zone on the east coast of FL, too. Irma would not, at that latitude. Congrats Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Nobody wants to see anyone hurt, but we all have that desire where the power of Mother Nature is on display and we can't help but sit there and drool while our jaws hit the floor. It's something hard to explain. Yea, I know it may not make sense superficially, but I don't want anyone dead. Hopefully people heed warnings and stop living right on the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Nobody wants to see anyone hurt, but we all have that desire where the power of Mother Nature is on display and we can't help but sit there and drool while our jaws hit the floor. It's something hard to explain. Your drooling is expected and easily explained. Too many Zimas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 We see some more congealing of the EPS cluster tmw morning, and I think we can BEGIN to hone in on a general region...or at least I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Your drooling is expected and easily explained. Too many Zimas Redux underway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We see some more congealing of the EPS cluster tmw morning, and I think we can BEGIN to hone in on a general region...or at least I will. At seven or eight days out? Jesus why hasn't TPC contacted you ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: GFS op out to lunch much? Wow on that consensus That is just a hair south of the OP EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The bagginess is to the east, so the spread may be attributable to timing discrepancies. GEFS sends Jose into Florida too. Wonder if we are looking at a 04 type year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2017 Author Share Posted September 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: At seven or eight days out? Jesus why hasn't TPC contacted you ha ha ....because I can't solve for x... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Your drooling is expected and easily explained. Too many Zimas Not yet. But hey....we all love winter and how many people die in accidents from winter weather? I was just as bothered by the scenes out of TX like anyone else, but I was rooting for Harvey to intensify rapidly. If nothing else, then to see it defy all current guidance that we have. I like when we think we know everything about weather and then Mother Nature comes along and says f*ck you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 2, 2017 Share Posted September 2, 2017 ERC underway it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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