dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That storm is more a SWFE. Not cutter. Looked like it tried to pop a secondary late but it was still a snow producer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That clipper is a good bit south now compared to 18z and 12z on the gfs and Canadian. Looks like the Canadian manages to track it just south of us. light event... 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The low goes roughly from OH, to Elmira, NY, to Albany, then through s NH.....I'll brush up on my geography, but I think that's west of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That's kind of what I thought, but wasn't sure. What is missing this run that causes it to do that? Something to do with that piece of energy in Canada that was on the prior run? The lead s/w causes it to be a more SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The low goes roughly from OH, to Elmira, NY, to Albany, then through s NH.....I'll brush up on my geography, but I think that's west of us That thing had a secondary over us. SWFE climo. You using the kFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: The lead s/w causes it to be a more SWFE. Thanks... as dryslt noted... it almost looks like it wants to pop a secondary... but it happens way late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like the Canadian manages to track it just south of us. light event... 2-4 That s/w trended a little sharper and dug too. One to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Its NOT a cutter, It was more of a SWFE, We were not flooded with a southerly flow, But arguing semantics at this lead is a moot point, There is going to be an event of some significance around the 6th, Been modeled for several days, Lets keep it that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The gfs went ape****. It nukes the pna and polar regions lol. Tons of blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That thing had a secondary over us. SWFE climo. You using the kFS? Scott, I agree RE how it would likely play out....but on this wrong, the low goes over the nw corner of MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its NOT a cutter, It was more of a SWFE, We were not flooded with a southerly flow, But arguing semantics at this lead is a moot point, There is going to be an event of some significance around the 6th, Been modeled for several days, Lets keep it that way. I see what Ray is saying, but it clearly tries for a secondary. Anyways as you said, details this far out is silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Like coastal says, the clipper on Tuesday bares watching. I wouldn't sweat a storm 9-10 days off. It's on the playing field and that's all that can be asked at this lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Scott, I agree RE how it would likely play out....but on this wrong, the low goes over the nw corner of MA. Look at NE MA near Newburyport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I see what Ray is saying, but it clearly tries for a secondary. Anyways as you said, details this far out is silly. Its semantics at day 10. But if it plays out like that, it would be a SWFE. Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: Like coastal says, the clipper on Tuesday bares watching. I wouldn't sweat a storm 9-10 days off. It's on the playing field and that's all that can be asked at this lead time. Gets look decent too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its semantics at day 10. But if it plays out like that, it would be a SWFE. Absolutely. And going forward seems interesting too. Id hit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gets look decent too. Yup. This dog may hunt even if it ain't the big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Look at NE MA near Newburyport. That is clearly in its infantile stages. I did model PBP looking at the course CONUS map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The gfs went ape****. It nukes the pna and polar regions lol. Tons of blocking. I hope the clipper misses.....I'm good with clearing two inches of fluff off of the car before work...I'm done with that crap at this stage. Kev can have it....either keep it north, or go pike south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is clearly in its infantile stages. I did model PBP looking at the course CONUS map. Even the ****ty gfs which sucks with SWFE shows that, that's all. That's a good airmass prior to it. Hey it's worth watching anyways. That would definitely have you playing twister for a bit if it happened like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Even the ****ty gfs which sucks with SWFE shows that, that's all. That's a good airmass prior to it. Hey it's worth watching anyways. That would definitely have you playing twister for a bit if it happened like that. Yea, no argument RE how that would play out....doesn't even matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Wow...pretty cold airmass leading in....def. something to work with for that storm...I'd be surprised if it did not end up a decent event for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Gets look good for that. Dam I hate talking about things that far out, but I feel like ray called me from the Tobin and I need to talk him off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gets look good for that. Dam I hate talking about things that far out, but I feel like ray called me from the Tobin and I need to talk him off. Glad we don't live there. Dumping parachutes at pretty close to 1"/hr in a Ginxy WINDEX wonderland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gets look good for that. Dam I hate talking about things that far out, but I feel like ray called me from the Tobin and I need to talk him off. I have grown very frustrated.....no doubt....I'm glad I haven't ruined threads like I have in the past, though. GEM has a CJ event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Glad we don't live there. Dumping parachutes at pretty close to 1"/hr in a Ginxy WINDEX wonderland. Looks like another round incoming if it holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Glad we don't live there. Dumping parachutes at pretty close to 1"/hr in a Ginxy WINDEX wonderland. Pants on or off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have grown very frustrated.....no doubt....I'm glad I haven't ruined threads like I have in the past, though. GEM has a CJ event. I get it. Jan shat the bed minus my CJ, although I had nothing to show for that a few days later. Definitely not mansnow and didn't stand a chance with the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 I should change my name to Mansnow, but I may drive off the two women that post on this board. What a sausage board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pants on or off? Time to go measure. The snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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