Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Yea I never saw anything posted on the Euro or EPS. Must have missed something. I assumed it was crap lol. Yeah I was surprised nobody posted it. Here's the meteogram for Boone. Similar up your way. OP shows a nice finger of precip tomorrow night but the ENS aren't quite on board. Both have a big dog Tuesday though. Mean of 7 inches through Tue? I'll take that. Here's that finger of precip for tomorrow night as well.Similar to the NAM just further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hvward said: Nope EPS was awesome. Had an avg of 5" for both events combined at KAVL. We are right where you want to be imo with an approaching snowstorm. 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Yeah I was surprised nobody posted it. Here's the meteogram for Boone. Similar up your way. OP shows a nice finger of precip tomorrow night but the ENS aren't quite on board. Both have a big dog Tuesday though. Mean of 7 inches through Tue? I'll take that. Thanks guys for the info! I had no idea it looked that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 hour 84 on the NAM looks pretty for some, not for others. But that shows some serious banding possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 RGEM looks decent for SW NC incuding Asheville, it is usually one of if not the best short term model.. keep in mind it is still snowing in areas of NC at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 4km NAM also looks decent for us in SW NC including Asheville. Not so great for the Boone area though.3" at KAVL5" in Franklin1" in BooneTapatalk still dropping the ball on my photo uploads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Insane winds today! The doors are opening on the inside of the building I'm working at somehow because of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 12Z GFS lining up almost lock step with 12Z RGEM. Looks like 2-3" for much of Asheville area, with quite a bit less for Boone/Blowing Rock, but maybe 2-4" for SW NC. At this point, NAM is the outlier, so a safe estimate is 1-3" for wNC mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Insane winds today! The doors are opening on the inside of the building I'm working at somehow because of it. Boone had a max gust of 64 just a bit ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 12Z GFS lining up almost lock step with 12Z RGEM. Looks like 2-3" for much of Asheville area, with quite a bit less for Boone/Blowing Rock, but maybe 2-4" for SW NC. At this point, NAM is the outlier, so a safe estimate is 1-3" for wNC mountains. 00z Euro and 00z EPS support the NAM's idea of bringing in the overrunning a bit north of what the GFS shows. Also was relatively wet. GFS continues to resolve a snow hole on the Buncombe/Madison line that 7/10 times doesn't come to fruition. 00z Euro has that same location receiving 5"-6". Not sure we can completely toss the NAM at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Winds are ripping here today! Looks we are still on track for a 2-4 event with 6-8 for met and joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The Tuesday event is so close here. 32 degrees with heaviest precip overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Gonna lose my cool if I don't get the snow Saturday night then rain on tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 OH valley low is screwing up everything, need the southern stream to trend stronger and that northern stream to dig more or weaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 26 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: Gonna lose my cool if I don't get the snow Saturday night then rain on tuesday... If the Euro doesn't hold I'll join you on your cliff dive. Ready to deal with summer, rack em up and try again next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, Tyler Penland said: If the Euro doesn't hold I'll join you on your cliff dive. Ready to deal with summer, rack em up and try again next year. Plenty of room down here lol. But it's just one run, but it is one that would make sense to happen which is what concerns me. I want to see if Euro holds course to the 0z, but if it mirrors the GFS...yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Not gonna lie, I'm pretty excited about the Tuesday system. Won't take much for it to trend into a big dog especially for the NW Mtn's and points NESent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: Not gonna lie, I'm pretty excited about the Tuesday system. Won't take much for it to trend into a big dog especially for the NW Mtn's and points NE Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The only thing is the same thing that helps it become a big dog is the same thing that could help it become a big rain dog. It's a fine line, but very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 QPF for the Monday event is huge on the euro. Not sure if it's rain or snow though. But 1"+ for Northern mountains maybe slightly less farther south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, HKY1894 said: QPF for the Monday event is huge on the euro. Not sure if it's rain or snow though. But 1"+ for Northern mountains maybe slightly less farther south Yep, this is precip falling into a very cold wedge (850 T's below zero across the favored wedge areas). This puts Asheville at 11" by Monday evening, 4" falling by Sunday. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, HurricaneTracker said: Yep, this is precip falling into a very cold wedge (850 T's below zero across the favored wedge areas). This puts Asheville at 11" by Monday evening, 4" falling by Sunday. Wow. Very very dynamic system depicted at 500mb. Just a classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, HKY1894 said: Very very dynamic system depicted at 500mb. Just a classic. And we are only 96 hours from it going. Or, this is basically a continuation of the Sunday event as it goes offshore and then deepens quickly. This needs to be watched carefully as the GFS is starting to hint at this too. 12"+ for almost all mountain areas by Monday evening...significant tree damage and power outages a growing concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 14" for Boone on the euro after 2 tomorrow night. Please? Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 What does the euro have for the two events for the southern mtns? Thanks, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, franklin NCwx said: What does the euro have for the two events for the southern mtns? Thanks, This is where the wedge hurts you, since wedges typically don't make it far enough SW. So the Monday event is a swing and a miss for the southern mtns. This leaves the Saturday night into Sunday event as the "main show" for you, which still averages 2-4", perhaps 3-5" at higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Guess who just got over a foot on the Euro!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: Guess who just got over a foot on the Euro!!! *Stands up* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: This is where the wedge hurts you, since wedges typically don't make it far enough SW. So the Monday event is a swing and a miss for the southern mtns. This leaves the Saturday night into Sunday event as the "main show" for you, which still averages 2-4", perhaps 3-5" at higher elevations. Thanks, Yea cad usually doesn't make it west of the balsams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: Guess who just got over a foot on the Euro!!! LOL This is pretty much everyone from Haywood county all the way to Ashe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: *Stands up* Is that what it showed for marion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said: LOL This is pretty much everyone from Haywood county all the way to Ashe! Yea I may have gotten a little too excited for a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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