JC-CT Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day off on the first day of met winter even if it will be 15 above-priceless.Lol. Nice, man. Happy bday in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thanks brother! 70 is old! It's not when you still get giggly about pounding winter dendrites.....enjoy man.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 It's not when you still get giggly about pounding winter dendrites.....enjoy man....Even at 70, I'm sure he's still pounding more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Just now, JC-CT said: Even at 70, I'm sure he's still pounding more than that. Well I was trying to keep some level of discretion but yeah I salute that..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 IDK rain on 11/30 is somewhat disappointing......wasted opportunity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 14 minutes ago, ice1972 said: IDK rain on 11/30 is somewhat disappointing......wasted opportunity You prob average around 1.5" of snow in November. So you have pretty unrealistic expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 20 minutes ago, ice1972 said: IDK rain on 11/30 is somewhat disappointing......wasted opportunity I'm okay with rain in November. Should it continue past midnight, then we'll have issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You prob average around 1.5" of snow in November. So you have pretty unrealistic expectations. I hear ya but it's 11/30.....what's the average 11/15-12/15? Has to be 6" at least here in West Hartford......lol.....right in the middle of that range and it's raining....lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I'm okay with rain in November. Should it continue past midnight, then we'll have issues. Exactly..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You prob average around 1.5" of snow in November. So you have pretty unrealistic expectations. Actually we had like almost an inch back in first or second week of November....soooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 1 minute ago, ice1972 said: Actually we had like almost an inch back in first or second week of November....soooo Your climo says rain is more likely on November 30th than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 8 minutes ago, ice1972 said: I hear ya but it's 11/30.....what's the average 11/15-12/15? Has to be 6" at least here in West Hartford......lol.....right in the middle of that range and it's raining....lame Normal should be around 4 to 4.5". Seems equally likely you see nothing in that window as you see double digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Your climo says rain is more likely on November 30th than snow. People have this perverted view of when winter sets in. HFD climo norm total snow up to Dec 11th is 4.1 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Just now, OceanStWx said: Normal should be around 4 to 4.5". Seems equally likely you see nothing in that window as you see double digits. 4.1 and that includes all of Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 4.1 and that includes all of Nov Yeah, I ran a graph on xmACIS that used the total threaded HFD history. So it's probably slightly off of the normal. The point is that it's definitely more likely to see less than 1" than it is to see more than 10" through mid Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 I checked BDL for the period 11/29-12/1...3 days. Going back to 1949, there was a total of 68 days with measurable precip on those dates. 10 out of those 68 days produced measurable snowfall. Only 3 of those 10 days were an inch or more. Rain is the overwhelming favorite to occur when any precip of significance occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Btw 11/29/95 was the high snowfall amount at 4.1". Just threw that out there since many prob remember that one...really kicked off that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah, I ran a graph on xmACIS that used the total threaded HFD history. So it's probably slightly off of the normal. The point is that it's definitely more likely to see less than 1" than it is to see more than 10" through mid Dec. Here ya go Icicles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Hey what's up with this wind behind this front moving north ,just had a heavy downpour then a big gust then calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Here ya go Icicles And most are ready to deleted their accounts if they only have 10" of snow by 1/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Snow obviously CAN occur now, but I think that makes us a little impatient with inflated expectations vs reality. Even at ORH in a much more favorable spot, the ratio of the measurable snow to measurable precip days in that same sample of 11/29-12/1 dates was 18/72. So 25% of the time there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: And most are ready to deleted their accounts if they only have 10" of snow by 1/1 Shorter por but kind of lucky lately too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Why doesn't the NWS have a climate center at CHH? PLus the 00z GFS is now suppressed with the major cutter, now showing a secondary low develop off the MD coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yea hey that wind came out of nowhere yowzer, maybe a mini microburst? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 1.4" two day total so far. My five year old asked me tonight when I thought "the sun would be back". Been a cloudy stretch the past week. Wife has the news on and one of the local mets said "if this rain had been snow it would have been well over a foot". WTF is that anyway? That logic has always driven me crazy because if a storm was snow instead of rain many of the atmospheric parameters would have been different and QPF might not have been the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2016 Author Share Posted December 1, 2016 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 1.4" two day total so far. My five year old asked me tonight when I thought "the sun would be back". Been a cloudy stretch the past week. Wife has the news on and one of the local mets said "if this rain had been snow it would have been well over a foot". WTF is that anyway? That logic has always driven me crazy because if a storm was snow instead of rain many of the atmospheric parameters would have been different and QPF might not have been the same. If my Aunt had balls she'd be my Uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: If my Aunt had balls she'd be my Uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 Just now, Ginx snewx said: If my Aunt had balls she'd be my Uncle If a bullfrog had wings it wouldn't bump it's booty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 00z GFS is coming in much colder and stormy, out to hour 180, the trough in the OH valley is getting deeper with the PV involved, we could have a snowstorm in the next 4 frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2016 Share Posted December 1, 2016 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Why doesn't the NWS have a climate center at CHH? PLus the 00z GFS is now suppressed with the major cutter, now showing a secondary low develop off the MD coastline. CHH still does balloon launches. They never had a full sfc obs climate site though. Only a coop. They did have the old radars there though in the 1970s and 1980s before the WSR-88D radar took over in Taunton. The old radars at CHH worked in conjunction with radars at ORH to cover the region. I can't remember if BOS had one but I'm not sure they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.