Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 02z RAP accums at 20z tomorrow, still snowing considerably in east TN at this point: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z gfs was considerably colder here and likely is showing an all snow event. It also kept us at or below freezing all day tomorrow. At this point it is an outlier though, and I am expecting very little snow here. I am very worried that even a tiny amount of freezing rain will cause huge problems because everything is frozen solid right now. Haven't been above freezing since Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z gfs was considerably colder here and likely is showing an all snow event. It also kept us at or below freezing all day tomorrow. At this point it is an outlier though, and I am expecting very little snow here. I am very worried that even a tiny amount of freezing rain will cause huge problems because everything is frozen solid right now. Haven't been above freezing since Sunday afternoon. Last frame of the 02z HRRR has y'all in a mess: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18z gfs was considerably colder here and likely is showing an all snow event. It also kept us at or below freezing all day tomorrow. At this point it is an outlier though, and I am expecting very little snow here. I am very worried that even a tiny amount of freezing rain will cause huge problems because everything is frozen solid right now. Haven't been above freezing since Sunday afternoon. Good luck, looks like most 0z modeling is further south with the frozen stuff. Nice last minute trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Good luck, looks like most 0z modeling is further south with the frozen stuff. Nice last minute trend... Yup,thermals are better on the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 0z RGEM snow for what it's worth: Freezing Rain: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Well the dendrite growth relative humidity has improved, so we have that going for us, which is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 KTRI hit 14 last hour, which was the forecast low. Will be interesting to see if it has dipped any lower at the top of the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 0z Euro 2-3 inches on this one in the same favored areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I was at 15 earlier, but I'm at 20 now. Went from a huge ring around the moon to cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Nashville dropped a winter storm warning over a large part of it's cwa for 2-4 inches of snow and .10 of ice on top of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Woke to a dusting this morning atmosphere must be saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Mixed bag here.If the HRRR is right it should change over soon to sn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 War are you getting pretty good precip rates? What precip would you say is your primary precip type in that mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just light sleet here so far. No snow to speak of. Temp is 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 War are you getting pretty good precip rates? What precip would you say is your primary precip type in that mix? zr here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 zr here Started as snow here but the majority has been sleet - hopefully will have better luck with the Friday system - dont want a repeat of last Feb where we got 2 1'2" of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 All I've had is flurries and at some point during the night light snow about .25" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayCee Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Got about a half inch of snow here--about 6 miles east of Sevierville. All snow so far. Still falling very lightly. Awaiting the batch of heavier precip rates approaching from middle TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Started as snow here but the majority has been sleet - hopefully will have better luck with the Friday system - dont want a repeat of last Feb where we got 2 1'2" of sleet I think you and war will probably go back to snow for the last portion of heavier precip to your west. That bit of precip I don't think is in the stronger WAA region of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I think you and war will probably go back to snow for the last portion of heavier precip to your west. That bit of precip I don't think is in the stronger WAA region of the storm Not sure.850'S are still stuck up N and even the 925's are still warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That would be a shame, but you all look to do well with Friday night/Saturday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not sure.850'S are still stuck up N and even the 925's are still warm Friends reporting it has changed to snow in Gallatin about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Light to occasionally a burst of moderate snow in Erwin, TN. Temperature is 20 degrees and roads are snow and ice covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We always get this in Brentwood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It sounds like the area bridges are awful. Lots of accidents already and very little precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 It sounds like the area bridges are awful. Lots of accidents already and very little precip. Yeah looks like both Chatt and Nash has multiple accidents both cities with multi-vehicle accidents according to TDOT smartway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Sleet Snow mix now imby.... 13 miles south of I-40 near Kingston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Woke up to a nice covering here in Knoxville. I'm very pleased that the initial band that streaked across to east TN overcame the dry air rather quickly. At this point in time, the conditions are not unlike the 2014 storm where an inch or two fell at like 19 degrees and traffic conditions were horrible (I believe that was the crazy chatt/atlanta mess). It's 23 here and the snow is very dry. It'll be interesting to see if enough cold air stays trapped in this valley to keep it snow the rest of the day or if it converts to slop sooner rather than later. Regardless, this is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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