Jon Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 How's the timing of the northern stream energy? do you have access to the 500mb maps? http://supercellweat...f.blogspot.com/ @96h.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Did not see it posted yet, but 12z UKMET has a 1005mb near Tampa Bay at 120hrs, and 980mb at 144 hrs that splits the bill with NC and Bermuda per meteociel's site... http://www.meteociel...=1021&archive=0 UKMET looks very similar to the Feb 12th storm. As we await the 12z EURO to roll out, I could not help but notice just how many similarities there were with the 00z EURO run and Mar 2nd 1980. http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_reanal-u.cgi?re=namer≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&yy=1980&mm=03&dd=02&hh=00&overlay=no≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&yy=&mm=&dd=&hh= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Got the attention of all the folks on AmericanWX 1097 active user(s) (in the past 15 minutes) 710 members, 345 guests, 42 anonymous users Nice work americanWX!!! This is the type of off topic post that is ok But yeah, the numbers have been impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 @102 it might be a hair slower...looks the same as 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 http://supercellweat...f.blogspot.com/ @96h.... The euro and gfs are worlds apart The 12z gfs for the same time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 At 102hrs surface low trying to organize over New Orleans. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 102 hours 1012mb low near New Orleans, a lot of precip west of here- looking interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 @108 it might be a little south, but it looks like it's turning the corner. another close one I think it's a little slower then 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I am never good at predicting models, but based on the 102hr 500mb, it looks like a bomb might go off in the next couple of panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The euro and gfs are worlds apart The 12z gfs for the same time period. And through 72 hrs, both the UKMET and Canadian support the ECMWF, more so than the GFS. They do not show the level of interaction with the northern stream that the global does. The UKMET and Euro seem to be the most similar, with the GGEM splitting the difference with respect to H5 placement and interactions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 diggign northenr stream, looks like it will phase in the hair of time. 1008 low neear east of mobile. Wow looks like an explosion may devlop the next frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looks like at 00z on Sunday snow has started in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This PBP is killer folks. Great disco. No , freaking awesome disco right now!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 @114 our low is in the panhandle of Fl. snow is wide spread in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This one is a little suppressed, it's to be expected. Nothing like the GFS that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 diggign northenr stream, looks like it will phase in the hair of time. 1008 low neear east of mobile. Wow looks like an explosion may devlop the next frames. I am never good at predicting models, but based on the 102hr 500mb, it looks like a bomb might go off in the next couple of panels. If this is the case, then we have continuity over the past 4 runs. Like I mentioned earlier, +/- a couple hours could be huge, and for a model to resolve that at this stage, is highly unlikely. Still swimming in the dead zone for another 48 hrs, but the confidence continuity and ens mean agreement bring is sig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 @120 our low is off of CHS. Good run for CLT surrounding and points east that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 OMG -- 997 low of CHS at 120!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The Euro....OMG- perfect phase, a big one for a lot of us including ATL MUST NOT BELIEVE MUST NOT BELIEVE TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Dream situation for us folks in NC. The low bombs out and moisture just explodes....BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The Euro....OMG- perfect phase, a big one for a lot of us including ATL MUST NOT BELIEVE MUST NOT BELIEVE TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE DEAR GOD amazing low off chs 997! wow that 4 run in a row from the euro with snow in the se! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivanhater Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 How far south is the snow line on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 12Z euro major snow for ATL-AHN and south to MCN-Augusta. ~4-5" KATL to 5-6"+ central GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 At 120hrs low is beginning to rapidly deepen of the coast of Charleston. Throwing plenty of moisture west back into the Carolinas. I think this will be by far the best run yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The Euro....OMG- perfect phase, a big one for a lot of us including ATL MUST NOT BELIEVE MUST NOT BELIEVE TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE She's a beauty for sure. At 126 us folks in NC just get slammed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Very nice....low is rapidly deepening moving from just S of PNS to just east of Charleston. Phasing at just the right time to really crank interior SE snows. CAE even looks to get crushed this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If this is the case, then we have continuity over the past 4 runs. Like I mentioned earlier, +/- a couple hours could be huge, and for a model to resolve that at this stage, is highly unlikely. Still swimming in the dead zone for another 48 hrs, but the confidence continuity and ens mean agreement bring is sig. Totally agree. The euro being this consistent along with the others for this long is pretty significant and promising for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Where the fook is Jeremy at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
generelz Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The euro and gfs are worlds apart The 12z gfs for the same time period. I don't understand how the energy is just GONE on the GFS. Does it just get completely sheared out by the northern stream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 For ref... HAHA Where the fook is Jeremy at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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