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4th Annual Fall/Winter Thread for the Mountains/Foothills


Met1985

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This moderate rain in AVL is worrisome. The wet bulb has been reached....I smell a horrible bust for this front end stuff. I hope the 850 cools as much as the models say...

 

It's worth noting HRRR doesn't change over to snow until 2 am. Still...  850 & 925 are awful indeed.

 

TNtB0MN.png

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Pulled this from the main discussion thread. (Credit to superjames1992)

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC COAST

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

PREFERENCE: NON-NAM COMPROMISE

CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE

THE 00Z NAM IS A NORTHWARD OUTLIER ALOFT SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE

BECOMING A SLOW OUTLIER THEREAFTER -- THE NAM HAS A BIAS OF

OCCASIONALLY BEING TOO SLOW. A COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z

ECMWF/12Z CANADIAN/12Z UKMET IS PREFERRED WITH ABOVE AVERAGE

CONFIDENCE.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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