BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2015 Author Share Posted December 7, 2015 Check out this forecast for Mount Rainier in WA. Today Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 24. Breezy, with a southwest wind 14 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 32 to 38 inches possible. Tonight Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 21. Windy, with a west southwest wind 32 to 38 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 20 to 26 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 25. Windy, with a southwest wind around 47 mph, with gusts as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible. Tuesday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 20. Windy, with a southwest wind 24 to 34 mph increasing to 38 to 48 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible. Wednesday Snow showers. High near 22. Windy, with a west southwest wind 43 to 48 mph decreasing to 36 to 41 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 2. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Wow. 300 inches of snow and 70 MPH winds. Day after tomorrow stuff right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRLady Posted December 7, 2015 Share Posted December 7, 2015 ?????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 This record might be impossible to beat. If the last one held for 100+ years and with this one beating it by at least 2 weeks... Interestingly, I read somewhere that the winter of 1899-1900 was a strong El Nino year, which followed a winter which had seen a brutally cold February. According to a book I have called "The Buffalo Blizzard Book", that winter went on to be the snowiest in Buffalo for 14 years, with most of the snow falling in February and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 Interestingly, I read somewhere that the winter of 1899-1900 was a strong El Nino year, which followed a winter which had seen a brutally cold February. According to a book I have called "The Buffalo Blizzard Book", that winter went on to be the snowiest in Buffalo for 14 years, with most of the snow falling in February and March. Where can I get a copy of that book, would love to add to my library. 1899-1900 the location for measuring snow was on the waterfront which receives much less than the current airport location. I wonder if there were quite a few good LES events during that time due to a warm lake so late in the year. What was Buffalos total snow for that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 Lake Erie this year Lake Erie last year at same time: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 With high 50s/60s forecast this weekend we will definitely be setting record warm lake temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottmartin49 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Being shallower, does Erie 'turnover' and stabilize like Ontario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 I know it's way out there, but some nice changes showing up on the 12Z GFS starting around 200 hrs. A ridge over Greenland starts to build west and connects with a ridge north of AK by about 300 hrs, resulting in a polar bomb near New York state on Christmas Eve. I know odds of this verifying at such a long lead time are practically nill, but this is the first sign of any promise I've seen in the long range in what feels like forever. Something to keep an eye on at least as we're working on our late season tans this weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Wasn't there an epic arctic outbreak that year? Some of the lowest temps ever recorded still stand today I think.. Interestingly, I read somewhere that the winter of 1899-1900 was a strong El Nino year, which followed a winter which had seen a brutally cold February. According to a book I have called "The Buffalo Blizzard Book", that winter went on to be the snowiest in Buffalo for 14 years, with most of the snow falling in February and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Being shallower, does Erie 'turnover' and stabilize like Ontario? There's less issues with overturn with erie compared to ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 I know it's way out there, but some nice changes showing up on the 12Z GFS starting around 200 hrs. A ridge over Greenland starts to build west and connects with a ridge north of AK by about 300 hrs, resulting in a polar bomb near New York state on Christmas Eve. I know odds of this verifying at such a long lead time are practically nill, but this is the first sign of any promise I've seen in the long range in what feels like forever. Something to keep an eye on at least as we're working on our late season tans this weekend... Much much better. Anything at -5 or below would be snow at this time of year with averages in mid December in the mid 30s. Euro still looks meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 The NAO and AO are still all over the place, but PNA seems consistent in going neutral/slightly negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 We want this, but tough to get in a record strong El Nino with a PAC dominated flow. We probably won't see this until February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 EURO ENS not to bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 EURO ENS not to bad. I'll believe it when i see it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Wasn't there an epic arctic outbreak that year? Some of the lowest temps ever recorded still stand today I think.. Yes, there was an epic arctic outbreak in February 1899, similar, but not identical to, the epic cold of February 2015. A strong El Nino then developed that summer and Buffalo had its latest first measurable snowfall...that is until this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Where can I get a copy of that book, would love to add to my library. 1899-1900 the location for measuring snow was on the waterfront which receives much less than the current airport location. I wonder if there were quite a few good LES events during that time due to a warm lake so late in the year. What was Buffalos total snow for that year? It looks like your best bet may be ebay - it seems to be out of print. The author is Paul K. Moore. http://www.ebay.ca/itm/The-Buffalo-Blizzard-Book-by-Paul-K-Moore-2011-/28080637937 Buffalo saw 99.1 inches of snow during the winter of 1899-1900, according to the book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Forecast for Heavenly Valley (check out the winds): Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Very windy, with a west wind 30 to 40 mph increasing to 40 to 50 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 75 mph. Wednesday A slight chance of rain and snow after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Strong and damaging winds, with a west wind 55 to 60 mph, with gusts as high as 95 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night A slight chance of rain and snow before 10pm, then snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Strong and damaging winds, with a southwest wind 50 to 60 mph increasing to 60 to 70 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Thursday Snow. High near 33. Strong and damaging winds, with a west wind 60 to 70 mph, with gusts as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Thursday Night Snow. Low around 16. Very windy, with a southwest wind 30 to 40 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 I'll believe it when i see it lol All aboard the train! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 All aboard the train! Looks like a potential Miller B... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 Warmest Autumn on record in USA. http://news.weathernationtv.com/2015/12/09/noaa-warmest-autumn-record-continental-u-s/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 The first synoptic clown of the season for our area is finally out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 You know it's bad when your looking at 240 hour clown maps for the first accumulating snow in the middle of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Will we ever be able to take advantage? Ontario Water temps are about even with mid-November climo values, and probably will be several degrees above average through the end of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 WOW 6z GFS goes to town with snow storms lol, it litearlly has 3 back to back major snowstorms with each capable of dropping 8"+... haha what are the odds lol. :arrowhead: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 WOW 6z GFS goes to town with snow storms lol, it litearlly has 3 back to back major snowstorms with each capable of dropping 8"+... haha what are the odds lol. :arrowhead: About the same odds as the Bills making the playoffs this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 WOW 6z GFS goes to town with snow storms lol, it litearlly has 3 back to back major snowstorms with each capable of dropping 8"+... haha what are the odds lol. :arrowhead: aaaand they're all gone by the 12z run. Ugh...what a winter. Almost time to go cut the lawn....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Jeopardy question of the day: "Flies, green grass, golfers, kids on bikes, robins" Answer: What are things you shouldn't see in Buffalo on December 10. But I've been seeing a lot of this all month...Sitting at +6 for the month after a +5 November. How high above normal can we get after this weekend? Double digits??? And how long can we extend the record for no measurable snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 On the flip side, some impressive cold air is present in the arctic. Several sites in AK are running below normal for the month. Check out this forecast for Arctic Village. Maybe this will stem some of the runaway torching that we constantly hear about in the far north... Today Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 10 to 25 below. Variable winds less than 15 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy. Lows 25 to 40 below. Variable winds less than 15 mph. Friday Partly cloudy. Highs 10 to 25 below. Variable winds less than 15 mph. Friday Night Partly cloudy. Lows 20 to 30 below. Variable winds less than 15 mph. Saturday Partly cloudy. Highs zero to 6 below. Variable winds less than 15 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy. Lows around 25 below. Sunday And Sunday Night Partly cloudy. Highs around 5 below. Lows 15 to 25 below. Monday Mostly cloudy. Highs around 5 above. Monday Night And Tuesday Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows around 10 below. Highs around 5 above. Tuesday Night Cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows around 10 below. Wednesday Mostly cloudy. Highs around 5 above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.